比特币减半在技术信号中引发看涨预期

尽管由于宏观经济因素和地缘政治紧张局势，比特币减半事件的影响不大，但技术设置表明该代币看涨。分析师指出，平行通道模式表明价格可能上涨至 100,000 美元，而其他人则认为牛旗模式的上涨目标为 93,300 美元附近，上涨 41%。此外，BTC 价格已收复 50 日均线支撑，而 RSI 指标保持中性，表明有可能进一步上涨，或者如果看跌线索占上风，则可能回调至 62,500 美元。

Bitcoin Halving Induces Optimism Amidst Technical Bullish Cues

比特币减半在技术看涨暗示中引发乐观情绪

NOIDA, India - The anticipated Bitcoin halving event has garnered mixed reactions, with the token's immediate performance failing to ignite a significant upward rally or establish a new all-time high. Nonetheless, analysts remain optimistic and are scrutinizing technical indicators for potential bullish signals.

印度诺伊达 - 预期的比特币减半事件引起了不同的反应，该代币的即时表现未能引发大幅上涨或创下新的历史高点。尽管如此，分析师仍然保持乐观，并正在仔细研究技术指标以寻找潜在的看涨信号。

The 2024 Bitcoin halving, a predetermined reduction in the issuance of new Bitcoins, has generated subdued market activity due to prevailing geopolitical and macroeconomic factors, including reduced expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in the coming year. Compounding these uncertainties, rising tensions in the Middle East have further dampened market sentiment.

由于当前的地缘政治和宏观经济因素，包括对美联储明年降息的预期降低，2024 年比特币减半（即预定减少新比特币发行量）导致市场活动低迷。中东紧张局势升级进一步打击了市场情绪，加剧了这些不确定性。

Despite the muted initial response, Bitcoin's price action before and after the halving has exhibited considerable volatility. The prime cryptocurrency briefly breached the $60,000 mark before recovering.

尽管最初反应平淡，但比特币减半前后的价格走势却表现出相当大的波动。这种主要的加密货币曾一度突破 60,000 美元大关，然后又回升。

Independent crypto analyst Tardigrade, active on the CoinMarketCap community page, has presented a technical chart showcasing Bitcoin's price movement within a parallel channel on the weekly timeframe. According to Tardigrade's analysis, the halving event could propel Bitcoin's price towards the coveted $100,000 level.

活跃在 CoinMarketCap 社区页面上的独立加密货币分析师 Tardigrade 展示了一张技术图表，展示了比特币在每周时间范围内平行通道内的价格走势。根据 Tardigrade 的分析，减半事件可能会将比特币的价格推向令人垂涎的 10 万美元水平。

The post-halving price trend aligns with historical patterns observed in previous halving cycles. The channel, delineated by two parallel, upward-sloping lines, represents Bitcoin's price trajectory. Tardigrade anticipates a bounce from the channel's support, followed by a rise towards the pattern's resistance. Should Bitcoin remain within the parallel channel, the bullish prediction suggests a price target of $150,000 towards the end of 2024.

减半后的价格趋势与之前减半周期中观察到的历史模式一致。该通道由两条平行的向上倾斜的线描绘而成，代表了比特币的价格轨迹。缓步动物预计将从该通道的支撑位反弹，然后上涨至该模式的阻力位。如果比特币保持在平行通道内，看涨预测表明 2024 年底的价格目标为 150,000 美元。

Another Bitcoin analyst, Captain Faibik, has identified a bullish technical setup on the daily timeframe, known as the "bull flag pattern." This pattern emerges when a period of consolidation follows a steep uptrend, forming the flag's pole. Despite the preceding vertical rally, the asset's price does not experience a significant decline, indicating sustained buying pressure from bulls. Consequently, the breakout from the flag pattern typically triggers a powerful uptrend.

另一位比特币分析师 Captain Faibik 在每日时间框架上确定了看涨的技术设置，称为“牛旗模式”。当陡峭的上升趋势之后出现一段盘整期，形成旗形柱时，就会出现这种模式。尽管出现了之前的垂直上涨，但该资产的价格并未出现大幅下跌，表明多头持续存在买盘压力。因此，旗形形态的突破通常会引发强劲的上升趋势。

Captain Faibik highlights the formation of a bull flag pattern on Bitcoin's daily chart, predicting a potential breakout that could lead to a new all-time high in May. The completion of the pattern occurs when the price breaks out of the flag area, resuming the previous upward trend. Technical analysts employ the length of the flag pole to determine the price target of the breakout.

Captain Faibik 强调了比特币日线图上牛市旗形的形成，并预测可能会在 5 月份创下新的历史新高。当价格突破旗形区域，恢复之前的上升趋势时，该形态就完成了。技术分析师利用旗杆的长度来确定突破的价格目标。

Adhering to the principles of technical analysis, Captain Faibik estimates a potential rally of over 41%, with Bitcoin targeting a theoretical price target of $93,300, which is proximal to the $100,000 level.

遵循技术分析原则，Captain Faibik 估计比特币的潜在上涨幅度将超过 41%，比特币的理论价格目标为 93,300 美元，接近 100,000 美元的水平。

Subsequent to a minor bull run following the halving event, Bitcoin's price has successfully reclaimed the 50-day EMA (exponential moving average) dynamic support. However, bears are actively defending the 20-day EMA trendline resistance. Bitcoin's price has ascended above $66,000 following a 3% surge from its intraday low of approximately $64,500 on April 22.

继减半事件后的小牛市之后，比特币价格已成功收复 50 日 EMA（指数移动平均线）动态支撑。然而，空头正在积极捍卫 20 日均线趋势线阻力位。比特币价格自 4 月 22 日约 64,500 美元的盘中低点飙升 3% 后，已升至 66,000 美元以上。

Should the bearish undertones dissipate, Bitcoin's price could potentially decline to a support level near $62,500. Additionally, a post-halving dip in Bitcoin's price could trigger market uncertainty, potentially leading to a retest of the support near $58,400 before recovery.

如果看跌情绪消散，比特币的价格可能会跌至 62,500 美元附近的支撑位。此外，比特币价格减半后的下跌可能引发市场不确定性，可能导致在恢复之前重新测试 58,400 美元附近的支撑位。

Conversely, the post-halving optimism could drive Bitcoin's price towards a resistance level of approximately $69,500. Breaking through and consolidating above this immediate resistance could foster confidence in Bitcoin's post-halving price trajectory, propelling the token towards a resistance target of $74,300.

相反，减半后的乐观情绪可能会将比特币的价格推向约 69,500 美元的阻力位。突破并巩固这一直接阻力位可能会增强人们对比特币减半后价格轨迹的信心，推动该代币迈向 74,300 美元的阻力目标。

The relative strength index (RSI), an indicator of price momentum, remains neutral for Bitcoin, currently hovering around 50.44 on the daily charts.

价格动能指标相对强弱指数（RSI）对比特币保持中性，目前日线图上徘徊在 50.44 左右。