比特幣減半在技術訊號中引發看漲預期

儘管由於宏觀經濟因素和地緣政治緊張局勢，比特幣減半事件的影響不大，但技術設定顯示該代幣看漲。分析師指出，平行通道模式表明價格可能上漲至 10 萬美元，而其他人則認為牛旗模式的上漲目標為 93,300 美元附近，上漲 41%。此外，BTC 價格已收復 50 日均線支撐，而 RSI 指標保持中性，表明有可能進一步上漲，或者如果看跌線索佔上風，則可能回調至 62,500 美元。

Bitcoin Halving Induces Optimism Amidst Technical Bullish Cues

比特幣減半在科技看漲暗示中引發樂觀情緒

NOIDA, India - The anticipated Bitcoin halving event has garnered mixed reactions, with the token's immediate performance failing to ignite a significant upward rally or establish a new all-time high. Nonetheless, analysts remain optimistic and are scrutinizing technical indicators for potential bullish signals.

印度諾伊達 - 預期的比特幣減半事件引起了不同的反應，該代幣的即時表現未能引發大幅上漲或創下新的歷史高點。儘管如此，分析師仍然保持樂觀，並正在仔細研究技術指標以尋找潛在的看漲訊號。

The 2024 Bitcoin halving, a predetermined reduction in the issuance of new Bitcoins, has generated subdued market activity due to prevailing geopolitical and macroeconomic factors, including reduced expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in the coming year. Compounding these uncertainties, rising tensions in the Middle East have further dampened market sentiment.

由於當前的地緣政治和宏觀經濟因素，包括對聯準會明年降息的預期降低，2024 年比特幣減半（即預定減少新比特幣發行量）導致市場活動低迷。中東緊張局勢升級進一步打擊了市場情緒，加劇了這些不確定性。

Despite the muted initial response, Bitcoin's price action before and after the halving has exhibited considerable volatility. The prime cryptocurrency briefly breached the $60,000 mark before recovering.

儘管最初反應平淡，但比特幣減半前後的價格走勢卻表現出相當大的波動。這種主要的加密貨幣曾經一度突破 6 萬美元大關，然後又回升。

Independent crypto analyst Tardigrade, active on the CoinMarketCap community page, has presented a technical chart showcasing Bitcoin's price movement within a parallel channel on the weekly timeframe. According to Tardigrade's analysis, the halving event could propel Bitcoin's price towards the coveted $100,000 level.

活躍在 CoinMarketCap 社群頁面上的獨立加密貨幣分析師 Tardigrade 展示了一張技術圖表，展示了比特幣在每週時間範圍內平行通道內的價格走勢。根據 Tardigrade 的分析，減半事件可能會將比特幣的價格推向令人垂涎的 10 萬美元水平。

The post-halving price trend aligns with historical patterns observed in previous halving cycles. The channel, delineated by two parallel, upward-sloping lines, represents Bitcoin's price trajectory. Tardigrade anticipates a bounce from the channel's support, followed by a rise towards the pattern's resistance. Should Bitcoin remain within the parallel channel, the bullish prediction suggests a price target of $150,000 towards the end of 2024.

減半後的價格趨勢與先前減半週期中觀察到的歷史模式一致。該通道由兩條平行的向上傾斜的線描繪而成，代表了比特幣的價格軌跡。緩步動物預計將從該通道的支撐位反彈，然後上漲至該模式的阻力位。如果比特幣保持在平行通道內，看漲預測顯示 2024 年底的目標價為 15 萬美元。

Another Bitcoin analyst, Captain Faibik, has identified a bullish technical setup on the daily timeframe, known as the "bull flag pattern." This pattern emerges when a period of consolidation follows a steep uptrend, forming the flag's pole. Despite the preceding vertical rally, the asset's price does not experience a significant decline, indicating sustained buying pressure from bulls. Consequently, the breakout from the flag pattern typically triggers a powerful uptrend.

另一位比特幣分析師 Captain Faibik 在每日時間框架上確定了看漲的技術設置，稱為「牛旗模式」。當陡峭的上升趨勢之後出現一段盤整期，形成旗形柱時，就會出現這種模式。儘管出現了先前的垂直上漲，但該資產的價格並未大幅下跌，顯示多頭持續存在買盤壓力。因此，旗形形態的突破通常會引發強勁的上升趨勢。

Captain Faibik highlights the formation of a bull flag pattern on Bitcoin's daily chart, predicting a potential breakout that could lead to a new all-time high in May. The completion of the pattern occurs when the price breaks out of the flag area, resuming the previous upward trend. Technical analysts employ the length of the flag pole to determine the price target of the breakout.

Captain Faibik 強調了比特幣日線圖上牛市旗形的形成，並預測可能會在 5 月創下新的歷史新高。當價格突破旗形區域，恢復先前的上升趨勢時，該形態就完成了。技術分析師利用旗桿的長度來確定突破的價格目標。

Adhering to the principles of technical analysis, Captain Faibik estimates a potential rally of over 41%, with Bitcoin targeting a theoretical price target of $93,300, which is proximal to the $100,000 level.

遵循技術分析原則，Captain Faibik 估計比特幣的潛在上漲幅度將超過 41%，比特幣的理論價格目標為 93,300 美元，接近 100,000 美元的水平。

Subsequent to a minor bull run following the halving event, Bitcoin's price has successfully reclaimed the 50-day EMA (exponential moving average) dynamic support. However, bears are actively defending the 20-day EMA trendline resistance. Bitcoin's price has ascended above $66,000 following a 3% surge from its intraday low of approximately $64,500 on April 22.

繼減半事件後的小牛市之後，比特幣價格已成功收復 50 日 EMA（指數移動平均線）動態支撐。然而，空頭正積極捍衛 20 日均線趨勢線阻力位。比特幣價格自 4 月 22 日約 64,500 美元的盤中低點飆升 3% 後，已升至 66,000 美元以上。

Should the bearish undertones dissipate, Bitcoin's price could potentially decline to a support level near $62,500. Additionally, a post-halving dip in Bitcoin's price could trigger market uncertainty, potentially leading to a retest of the support near $58,400 before recovery.

如果看跌情緒消散，比特幣的價格可能會跌至 62,500 美元附近的支撐位。此外，比特幣價格減半後的下跌可能引發市場不確定性，可能導致在恢復之前重新測試 58,400 美元附近的支撐位。

Conversely, the post-halving optimism could drive Bitcoin's price towards a resistance level of approximately $69,500. Breaking through and consolidating above this immediate resistance could foster confidence in Bitcoin's post-halving price trajectory, propelling the token towards a resistance target of $74,300.

相反，減半後的樂觀情緒可能會將比特幣的價格推向約 69,500 美元的阻力位。突破並鞏固這一直接阻力位可能會增強人們對比特幣減半後價格軌蹟的信心，推動該代幣邁向 74,300 美元的阻力目標。

The relative strength index (RSI), an indicator of price momentum, remains neutral for Bitcoin, currently hovering around 50.44 on the daily charts.

價格動能指標相對強弱指數（RSI）對比特幣保持中性，目前日線圖上徘徊在 50.44 左右。