比特币减半迫在眉睫，塑造叙事和市场预期

加密专家 Michaël van de Poppe 预计，在 4 月 19 日即将到来的减半事件之后，人们的注意力将会从比特币上转移。据 van de Poppe 称，叙述预计将集中在以太坊以及与 DePIN、RWA、AI 和 meme 币相关的项目上。短期内，预​​计比特币将反弹至 70,000 美元左右，但预计在减半后的几个月内将出现一段盘整期，未来可能会出现“抛物线上升趋势”。

Bitcoin Halving: A Narrative Shift and Market Expectations

比特币减半：叙事转变和市场预期

In anticipation of the imminent Bitcoin halving event scheduled for April 19, crypto expert Michaël van de Poppe offers insights into the potential market dynamics and narrative shifts that may follow.

预计 4 月 19 日即将到来的比特币减半事件，加密货币专家 Michaël van de Poppe 提供了对潜在市场动态和随后可能发生的叙述转变的见解。

Narrative Shift Post-Halving

减半后的叙事转变

Van de Poppe posits that as the halving approaches, the prevailing narrative surrounding Bitcoin may undergo a transformation. While he refrains from explicitly outlining the nature of this shift, he has previously indicated that Ethereum (ETH) and sectors like Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN), Real World Assets (RWA), Artificial Intelligence (AI), and meme coins could emerge as significant drivers in the crypto sphere.

Van de Poppe 认为，随着减半的临近，围绕比特币的流行叙事可能会发生转变。虽然他没有明确概述这一转变的性质，但他此前曾表示，以太坊（ETH）和去中心化物理基础设施网络（DePIN）、现实世界资产（RWA）、人工智能（AI）和模因币等领域可能会出现作为加密领域的重要驱动力。

Altcoin Performance

Van de Poppe emphasizes that altcoins, currently undervalued, are poised to experience a surge against their Bitcoin pairs once the halving hype subsides. This anticipated bullish performance is expected to extend through the second quarter and into the summer months, potentially followed by a period of correction in the third quarter.

Van de Poppe 强调，一旦减半炒作消退，目前被低估的山寨币相对于比特币货币对的价格将会飙升。这种预期的看涨表现预计将持续到第二季度和夏季，随后可能会在第三季度出现一段调整期。

Bitcoin Outlook

比特币展望

In the near term, Van de Poppe predicts a relief bounce for Bitcoin, targeting the $70,000 mark. However, his long-term outlook for the flagship cryptocurrency is less optimistic. He forecasts a period of consolidation that is unlikely to dissipate in the immediate future.

Van de Poppe 预测，短期内比特币将出现缓解性反弹，目标是 70,000 美元大关。然而，他对旗舰加密货币的长期前景并不乐观。他预测一段整合时期不太可能在不久的将来消失。

In a subsequent tweet, van de Poppe underscores Bitcoin's current status as a "waiting game," with its momentum waning. He anticipates continued retracement and consolidation, accompanied by positive price action for altcoins against Bitcoin.

在随后的推文中，van de Poppe 强调了比特币目前的状态是“等待游戏”，其势头正在减弱。他预计比特币将继续回撤和盘整，同时山寨币兑比特币的价格也会出现积极的走势。

Bitcoin Halving Phases

比特币减半阶段

This predicted consolidation phase aligns with the re-accumulation stage often observed in the aftermath of Bitcoin halvings. As noted by crypto analyst Rekt Capital, this period can prompt investor discouragement due to volatility and perceived lack of immediate returns on Bitcoin investments.

这种预测的整合阶段与比特币减半后经常观察到的重新积累阶段一致。正如加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 指出的那样，这一时期可能会因波动性和比特币投资缺乏即时回报而导致投资者灰心丧气。

Following the re-accumulation phase, Bitcoin is expected to embark on a "parabolic uptrend," a phase that Rekt Capital historically defines as lasting approximately one year. Historically, substantial price gains for Bitcoin have typically occurred within a six to twelve-month time frame following halving events.

在重新积累阶段之后，比特币预计将进入“抛物线上升趋势”，Rekt Capital 历史上将这一阶段定义为持续大约一年。从历史上看，比特币价格的大幅上涨通常发生在减半事件后的六到十二个月的时间内。

Investment Considerations

投资注意事项

It is crucial to note that this market analysis represents the opinions and projections of a single expert. Investment decisions should be informed by comprehensive research, due diligence, and a thorough understanding of the risks associated with cryptocurrency investments.

值得注意的是，该市场分析代表了单个专家的意见和预测。投资决策应基于全面的研究、尽职调查以及对加密货币投资相关风险的透彻了解。