由于地缘政治困境和市场逆风，比特币减半未能引发飙升

比特币最近的减半事件降低了新比特币的创造速度，但对其价格的影响微乎其微。行业专家将此归因于更广泛的金融市场和地缘政治事件（例如中东当前的紧张局势）的主导影响。尽管最初猜测减半将导致比特币价值飙升，但比特币价格相对保持不变，表明对外部因素的依赖程度更大。

Bitcoin Halving Event Dampened by Geopolitical Turmoil and Market Sentiment

地缘政治动荡和市场情绪削弱了比特币减半事件

London, April 25, 2023 (Reuters) - Bitcoin's highly anticipated halving event, a fundamental change to the cryptocurrency's creation rate, has had minimal impact on its price, with market observers attributing this to broader financial market conditions and geopolitical developments.

伦敦，2023 年 4 月 25 日（路透社）——备受期待的比特币减半事件是加密货币创造速度的根本性变化，对其价格的影响微乎其微，市场观察人士将其归因于更广泛的金融市场状况和地缘政治发展。

Enthusiasts had eagerly anticipated the "halving," which occurred on Saturday at approximately 0014 GMT. This technological adjustment reduces the number of new bitcoins created by half every four years, and past halvings have been associated with substantial price increases.

爱好者们热切地期待着周六格林威治标准时间 0014 左右发生的“减半”。这种技术调整使新比特币的数量每四年减少一半，而过去的减半都与价格大幅上涨有关。

However, by Monday afternoon GMT, bitcoin's price had remained relatively stable at $66,300, showing no discernible impact from the halving. While it had gained 1.2% the previous week and 3.4% on Monday, it has struggled to sustain momentum since reaching an all-time high of $73,794 in March.

然而，到格林威治标准时间周一下午，比特币的价格相对稳定在 66,300 美元，没有显示出减半的明显影响。尽管该股上周上涨 1.2%，周一上涨 3.4%，但自 3 月份触及 73,794 美元的历史高点以来，该股一直难以维持势头。

Industry experts have pointed to the current geopolitical landscape as a more influential factor on bitcoin's trajectory than the halving event. "The geopolitical events unfolding at the minute are having a larger impact than any impact from the halving," said Mick Roche, senior trader at Zodia Markets, Standard Chartered's crypto arm. "So that'd be the perceived easing of tensions between Iran and Israel."

行业专家指出，当前的地缘政治格局对比特币走势的影响比减半事件更大。渣打银行加密货币部门 Zodia Markets 的高级交易员米克·罗奇 (Mick Roche) 表示：“目前正在发生的地缘政治事件的影响比减半的影响更大。” “因此，伊朗和以色列之间的紧张局势被认为有所缓解。”

Global stock markets have partially recovered from recent losses on Monday as investors unwind defensive positions taken amid fears of a wider conflict in the Middle East.

周一，全球股市已部分从近期跌势中恢复过来，投资者因担心中东地区发生更广泛的冲突而解除了防御性头寸。

Eric Demuth, CEO of Austrian cryptocurrency broker Bitpanda, emphasized bitcoin's growing dependence on broader market sentiment. "Crypto is so similar to stocks already. The same people that are trading stocks and tech stocks are also into crypto," he said.

奥地利加密货币经纪商 Bitpanda 首席执行官埃里克·德穆斯 (Eric Demuth) 强调，比特币越来越依赖于更广泛的市场情绪。 “加密货币已经与股票非常相似了。交易股票和科技股票的人也热衷于加密货币，”他说。

Last year, the prospect of regulatory approval for spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States provided a significant boost to bitcoin's recovery from a series of price crashes in 2022.

去年，美国监管部门批准现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的前景为比特币从 2022 年一系列价格暴跌中复苏提供了重大推动力。

"For bitcoin, the focus is now on 'institutionalization'," said Ben Laidler, global markets strategist at eToro. While retail investors currently dominate the bitcoin market, Laidler believes future regulatory changes could facilitate ownership by companies, banks, and central banks.

eToro 全球市场策略师 Ben Laidler 表示：“对于比特币来说，现在的重点是‘制度化’。”虽然散户投资者目前主导比特币市场，但莱德勒认为未来的监管变化可能会促进公司、银行和央行的所有权。

Despite its growth, the cryptocurrency sector remains a niche asset class, with a combined market value of approximately $2.5 trillion, according to data from CoinGecko. Financial regulators continue to caution investors about their speculative nature, limited real-world applications, and inherent risks.

根据 CoinGecko 的数据，尽管加密货币行业不断增长，但它仍然是一个利基资产类别，总市值约为 2.5 万亿美元。金融监管机构继续警告投资者注意其投机性质、有限的现实应用以及固有风险。

The crypto markets eagerly await the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's decision on spot ETFs for ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency. However, Demuth and Roche suggest that hopes of approval in May are waning.

加密货币市场热切等待美国证券交易委员会对第二大加密货币以太币现货 ETF 的决定。然而，Demuth 和 Roche 表示，五月份获得批准的希望正在减弱。