由於地緣政治困境和市場逆風，比特幣減半未能引發飆升

比特幣最近的減半事件降低了新比特幣的創造速度，但對其價格的影響微乎其微。產業專家將此歸因於更廣泛的金融市場和地緣政治事件（例如中東當前的緊張局勢）的主導影響。儘管最初猜測減半將導致比特幣價值飆升，但比特幣價格相對保持不變，顯示對外部因素的依賴程度更大。

Bitcoin Halving Event Dampened by Geopolitical Turmoil and Market Sentiment

地緣政治動盪和市場情緒削弱了比特幣減半事件

London, April 25, 2023 (Reuters) - Bitcoin's highly anticipated halving event, a fundamental change to the cryptocurrency's creation rate, has had minimal impact on its price, with market observers attributing this to broader financial market conditions and geopolitical developments.

倫敦，2023 年4 月25 日（路透社）—備受期待的比特幣減半事件是加密貨幣創造速度的根本性變化，對其價格的影響微乎其微，市場觀察人士將其歸因於更廣泛的金融市場狀況和地緣政治發展。

Enthusiasts had eagerly anticipated the "halving," which occurred on Saturday at approximately 0014 GMT. This technological adjustment reduces the number of new bitcoins created by half every four years, and past halvings have been associated with substantial price increases.

愛好者們熱切地期待著週六格林威治標準時間 0014 左右發生的「減半」。這種技術調整使新比特幣的數量每四年減少一半，而過去的減半都與價格大幅上漲有關。

However, by Monday afternoon GMT, bitcoin's price had remained relatively stable at $66,300, showing no discernible impact from the halving. While it had gained 1.2% the previous week and 3.4% on Monday, it has struggled to sustain momentum since reaching an all-time high of $73,794 in March.

然而，到格林威治標準時間週一下午，比特幣的價格相對穩定在 66,300 美元，並沒有顯示出減半的明顯影響。儘管該股上週上漲 1.2%，週一上漲 3.4%，但自 3 月觸及 73,794 美元的歷史高點以來，該股一直難以維持勢頭。

Industry experts have pointed to the current geopolitical landscape as a more influential factor on bitcoin's trajectory than the halving event. "The geopolitical events unfolding at the minute are having a larger impact than any impact from the halving," said Mick Roche, senior trader at Zodia Markets, Standard Chartered's crypto arm. "So that'd be the perceived easing of tensions between Iran and Israel."

產業專家指出，目前的地緣政治格局對比特幣走勢的影響比減半事件更大。渣打銀行加密貨幣部門 Zodia Markets 的高級交易員米克·羅奇 (Mick Roche) 表示：“目前正在發生的地緣政治事件的影響比減半的影響更大。” “因此，伊朗和以色列之間的緊張局勢被認為有所緩解。”

Global stock markets have partially recovered from recent losses on Monday as investors unwind defensive positions taken amid fears of a wider conflict in the Middle East.

週一，全球股市已部分從近期跌勢中恢復過來，投資者因擔心中東地區發生更廣泛的衝突而解除了防禦性頭寸。

Eric Demuth, CEO of Austrian cryptocurrency broker Bitpanda, emphasized bitcoin's growing dependence on broader market sentiment. "Crypto is so similar to stocks already. The same people that are trading stocks and tech stocks are also into crypto," he said.

奧地利加密貨幣經紀商 Bitpanda 執行長 Eric Demuth 強調，比特幣越來越依賴更廣泛的市場情緒。 「加密貨幣已經與股票非常相似了。交易股票和科技股票的人也熱衷於加密貨幣，」他說。

Last year, the prospect of regulatory approval for spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States provided a significant boost to bitcoin's recovery from a series of price crashes in 2022.

去年，美國監管部門批准現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的前景為比特幣從 2022 年一系列價格暴跌中復甦提供了重大推動力。

"For bitcoin, the focus is now on 'institutionalization'," said Ben Laidler, global markets strategist at eToro. While retail investors currently dominate the bitcoin market, Laidler believes future regulatory changes could facilitate ownership by companies, banks, and central banks.

eToro 全球市場策略師 Ben Laidler 表示：“對於比特幣來說，現在的重點是‘制度化’。”雖然散戶目前主導比特幣市場，但萊德勒認為未來的監管變化可能會促進公司、銀行和央行的所有權。

Despite its growth, the cryptocurrency sector remains a niche asset class, with a combined market value of approximately $2.5 trillion, according to data from CoinGecko. Financial regulators continue to caution investors about their speculative nature, limited real-world applications, and inherent risks.

根據 CoinGecko 的數據，儘管加密貨幣行業不斷增長，但它仍然是一個利基資產類別，總市值約為 2.5 兆美元。金融監管機構繼續警告投資者註意其投機性質、有限的現實應用以及固有風險。

The crypto markets eagerly await the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's decision on spot ETFs for ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency. However, Demuth and Roche suggest that hopes of approval in May are waning.

加密貨幣市場熱切等待美國證券交易委員會對第二大加密貨幣以太幣現貨 ETF 的決定。然而，Demuth 和 Roche 表示，五月獲得批准的希望正在減弱。