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尽管比特币在金融市场中的存在日益增长,但全球采用率仍然相对较低,只有4%的全球人口持有BTC。
Despite Bitcoin's (BTC) increasing footprint in financial markets, a new report from Bitcoin financial services firm River indicates that global adoption remains relatively low, with only 4% of the world's population currently holding the digital asset.
尽管比特币(BTC)在金融市场上的占地面积增加,但比特币金融服务公司河的一份新报告表明,全球采用率仍然相对较低,目前只有4%的全球人口持有数字资产。
The U.S. leads in Bitcoin ownership, with an estimated 14% of individuals in the country holding BTC, according to the report titled "Bitcoin Futures: The Final Frontier." Other regions, such as Canada and China, show varying degrees of adoption, ranging from 10% to 1.6%.
根据标题为“比特币期货:最终边界”的报告,美国占据了比特币所有权的领导,据估计该国拥有BTC的个人有14%。加拿大和中国等其他地区的收养程度不同,范围从10%到1.6%。
Among major economic zones, North America showcases the highest adoption rates among both individuals and institutions, while Africa lags behind, with 1.6% of the population engaging with Bitcoin.
在主要的经济区中,北美展示了个人和机构中最高的采用率,而非洲则落后,其中1.6%的人口与比特币接触。
Moreover, River's analysis suggests that Bitcoin's overall adoption is still in its infancy, reaching just 3% of its potential global adoption level. This calculation considers Bitcoin's total addressable market, encompassing institutional participation, corporate holdings, and government allocations—currently minimal, amounting to just 1%.
此外,River的分析表明,比特币的整体采用仍处于起步阶段,仅占其潜在全球采用水平的3%。该计算考虑了比特币的总可寻址市场,包括机构参与,公司持有和政府的分配,目前最少,仅1%。
Furthermore, the firm notes that institutions and individual ownership rates are likely understated in its assessment, further highlighting the significant potential for Bitcoin adoption to increase.
此外,该公司指出的是,机构和个人所有权率可能在评估中被低估了,进一步强调了比特币采用的巨大潜力增加。
As the administration pivots toward crypto, economists warn of the risks to U.S. financial dominance.
随着政府对加密货币的枢纽,经济学家警告说,美国财务上的统治地位。
The Trump administration's surprising pivot toward cryptocurrencies could have major implications for the U.S. dollar and the country's financial standing in the long term, according to economists.
经济学家称,特朗普政府对加密货币的惊人枢纽可能会对美元和该国的长期财务状况产生重大影响。
During his presidency, Trump expressed skepticism towards Bitcoin and other digital currencies, famously comparing them to "a scam" and linking them to illegal activity. However, in the final months of his term, there was a shift in attitude.
在担任总统期间,特朗普对比特币和其他数字货币表示怀疑,将其与“骗局”进行了比较,并将其与非法活动联系起来。但是,在任期的最后几个月中,态度发生了变化。
This change was partly due to the influence of economists like Steve Mnuchin, who came to view crypto as a potential tool for U.S. financial innovation and dominance.
这一变化部分是由于史蒂夫·姆努钦(Steve Mnuchin)等经济学家的影响,后者将加密货币视为美国金融创新和主导地位的潜在工具。
With China clamping down on crypto and showing interest in its own digital currency, Mnuchin and other administration officials began to see an opportunity for the U.S. to take the lead in the evolving landscape of money.
随着中国对加密货币的限制并表现出对自己的数字货币的兴趣,姆努钦和其他行政官员开始为美国提供了一个带头发展中不断发展的货币景观的机会。
This pivot was also driven by bipartisan support in Congress for crypto regulation and the growing mainstream acceptance of Bitcoin and other digital assets.
该枢纽还受到国会对加密监管的两党支持以及对比特币和其他数字资产的主流接受的越来越多的驱动的。
While the administration did not introduce any significant legislation on crypto during Trump's term, the administration officials' statements and actions suggest a growing awareness of the importance of crypto in the U.S. financial system.
虽然政府在特朗普任期内没有对加密货币提出任何重要的立法,但政府官员的陈述和行动表明,人们对加密在美国金融体系中的重要性越来越认识。
This pivot could have lasting consequences for the dollar and the U.S. financial system, economists say.
经济学家说,这个枢轴可能会对美元和美国金融体系产生持久的后果。
"If the U.S. does not adapt to the changing tides of finance and technology, it could lose its status as the world's leading economic power," said Paul Krugman, Nobel laureate in economics.
诺贝尔经济奖获得者保罗·克鲁格曼(Paul Krugman)表示:“如果美国不适应金融和技术的变化潮流,它可能会失去其作为世界领先的经济力量的地位。”
Krugman and other economists have argued that the dollar's dominance is largely based on a "network effect"—a self-reinforcing cycle where more people using the dollar leads to even more adoption.
克鲁格曼(Krugman)和其他经济学家认为,美元的统治地位主要基于“网络效应”,这是一个自我增强的周期,越来越多的人使用美元的人会导致更多的采用。
However, they say this dominance is not guaranteed and could be threatened by new technologies and economic shifts.
但是,他们说这种主导地位不能保证,可能会受到新技术和经济转变的威胁。
"The U.S. is not immune to the same forces that have toppled empires throughout history," said Michael Pilhoffer, an economist at Deutsche Bank.
德意志银行的经济学家迈克尔·皮尔霍夫(Michael Pilhoffer)说:“美国并不能免疫在整个历史上都推翻帝国的力量。”
Pilhoffer and other economists say that China's economic rise and technological advancements pose a challenge to U.S. financial hegemony.
皮尔霍夫(Pilhoffer)和其他经济学家说,中国的经济崛起和技术进步对美国金融霸权构成了挑战。
China has been investing heavily in research and development, and its technological capabilities are rapidly catching up to those of the U.S., they add.
他们补充说,中国一直在研究和发展上投入大量投资,其技术能力正在迅速赶上美国。
"If China manages to create a successful digital currency and gains significant global adoption, it could siphon off demand for the dollar and reduce the U.S.'s influence in the global financial system," Pilhoffer explained.
Pilhoffer解释说:“如果中国设法建立了成功的数字货币并获得了大量的全球采用,那么它可能会减少对美元的需求,并减少美国在全球金融体系中的影响力。”
This scenario could unfold if major institutions and countries decide to hold a portion of their reserves in the Chinese digital currency, diverting some of the demand currently directed towards the dollar.
如果主要的机构和国家决定以中国数字货币持有部分储备,将目前针对美元的一些需求转移到了中国数字货币,则可能会发生这种情况。
"It would be a gradual process of erosion, not an immediate collapse," Pilhoffer noted.
皮尔霍夫指出:“这将是逐渐侵蚀的过程,而不是立即崩溃的过程。”
The Trump administration's pivot towards crypto might be a desperate attempt to retain U.S. financial dominance in the face of these challenges.
在面对这些挑战时,特朗普政府对加密货币的枢纽可能是拼命的努力。
But some economists remain skeptical.
但是一些经济学家仍然持怀疑态度。
"It's a bit late in the game," said Lawrence Summers, former U.S. Treasury secretary. Summers is skeptical that crypto can solve the major macroeconomic problems that the world economy faces.
前美国财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯(Lawrence Summers)说:“在比赛中有点晚。”萨默斯对加密可以解决世界经济面临的主要宏观经济问题。
"We're in the midst of a debt crisis, a productivity downturn, and climate change—problems that require large-scale government intervention and cooperation, not a new class of financial assets."
“我们正处于债务危机,生产力的低迷和气候变化的境地,这需要大规模的政府干预和合作,而不是新的金融资产。”
Despite these concerns, the Trump administration's pivot towards crypto signals a growing recognition in the U.S. of the importance of innovation and adaptation in maintaining economic leadership. As the world financial order continues to evolve, the role of crypto will undoubtedly be a subject of ongoing debate and analysis among economists and policymakers.output: Despite Bitcoin's (BTC) increasing footprint in financial markets, a new report from Bitcoin financial services
尽管有这些担忧,但特朗普政府对加密货币的枢纽表示,在美国,人们对创新和适应在维持经济领导方面的重要性越来越多。随着世界金融秩序的不断发展,加密货币的作用无疑将成为经济学家和政策制定者之间正在进行的辩论和分析的主题。外面:尽管比特币(BTC)在金融市场中增加了足迹,但比特币金融服务的新报告
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