比特币优势（BTC.D）接近临界点，标志着Altcoin季节的开始

比特币优势（BTC.D）衡量了BTC在总加密市值中所占的份额，它正接近一个关键点，市场可能正在为长期以来的替代替代赛季节做准备。

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), which measures BTC’s share of the total crypto market capitalization, is approaching a critical point that could pave the way for a dramatic shift in the market with the long-awaited altcoin season.

比特币优势（BTC.D）衡量了BTC在总加密市值中所占的份额，它正在接近一个关键点，这可能会为期待已久的AltCoin季节铺平市场的巨大变化。

A recent technical analysis, backed by historical patterns, suggests that Bitcoin’s current dominance could soon wane, setting the stage for a potential market explosion.

在历史模式的支持下，最近的一项技术分析表明，比特币目前的统治地位可能很快就会消失，为潜在的市场爆炸奠定了基础。

Bitcoin Dominance Timeline For Next Altcoin Season

比特币统治时间表下一个Altcoin赛季

According to a chart analysis shared by crypto analyst Astronomer on X (formerly Twitter), a gradual decline in Bitcoin Dominance is expected to kickstart the altcoin season explosion. Technical projections on the BTC.D weekly chart suggest that Bitcoin Dominance might complete a three-drive phase before collapsing toward crucial Fibonacci retracement zones.

根据Crypto分析师天文学家在X（以前为Twitter）上共享的图表分析，预计比特币优势逐渐下降将启动AltCoin季节的爆炸。 BTC.D每周图表上的技术预测表明，比特币优势可能完成三驱动阶段，然后才能塌陷至关键的斐波那契回溯区域。

For clarity, BTC.D is poised to decline through multiple key levels, beginning with the 50% psychological level, then 48%, potentially breaking down to the pivot zone at 40.68%, and finally to the bottom point at 36.03%. Notably, altcoin momentum typically intensifies once BTC.D falls below the 50% mark, with accelerated gains and explosive performance observed between 46% and 40%.

为了清楚起见，BTC.D有望通过多个关键水平下降，从50％的心理水平开始，然后是48％，可能以40.68％的速度分解到枢轴区，最后以36.03％的速度分解为最重要的一点。值得注意的是，一旦BTC.D降至50％以下，AltCoin动量通常会加剧，并且观察到46％至40％的爆炸性增长和爆炸性性能。

This forecast aligns with the October-November 2023 price behavior, where traders initially doubted the initial rally, only to witness a strong explosion shortly after. A similar shift in sentiment is expected this cycle, especially considering the recent fluctuations in Bitcoin’s price and the unstable market.

这一预测与2023年10月至11月的价格行为保持一致，交易者最初怀疑最初的集会，只是在不久之后就见证了强烈的爆炸。预计这一周期也会发生类似的情绪转变，尤其是考虑到比特币价格最近的波动和不稳定的市场的波动。

Moving forward, the analyst anticipates that the market is still on track for a substantial Bitcoin price breakout, possibly in late spring or early summer. This breakout is expected to set off a rapid pump in altcoins.

展望未来，分析师预计，可能在春末或初夏，市场仍然有望进行大量比特币价格突破。预计该突破将引发山寨币的快速泵。

Until then, Bitcoin will likely continue its slow ascent, pulling BTC.D along with it until it reaches the top and begins to decline. In his post, Astronomer stated that the BTC price has already hit bottom, implying any delays to the start of altcoin season are primarily time-related rather than tied to price movements.

在此之前，比特币可能会继续缓慢上升，将BTC.D与它一起拉动，直到达到顶部并开始下降。天文学家在他的帖子中表示，BTC的价格已经达到最低点，这意味着到Altcoin季节开始的任何延误主要是与价格转向相关的，而不是与价格变动有关。

BTC.D Possible Fakeout To Open Path To Alt Season

BTC.D可能的假货可以打开ALT季节的道路

The Bitcoin Dominance recently encountered a resistance zone at the 67%-70% level. This zone could be crucial for determining the potential of an altcoin season this bull cycle.

比特币的优势最近在67％-70％的水平上遇到了一个阻力区。该区域对于确定本公牛周期的山寨赛季节的潜力可能至关重要。

The resistance zone, identified in the chart analysis as the Quarterly Breaker Open, has historically marked the peak for Bitcoin Dominance before altcoins take the lead. After briefly touching this zone, BTC.D experienced a sharp reversal and is now at 64.62%. The rejection from this level aligns with the theory that the recent Bitcoin-led rally was a “fake breakout”—a move displaying strength before being quickly rejected.

在图表分析中确定为季度断路器的电阻区历史上标志着比特币优势的峰值。短暂触摸了该区域后，BTC.D经历了急剧的逆转，现在为64.62％。这个层面的拒绝与以下理论相吻合，即最近由比特币领导的集会是“假突破” - 在迅速被拒绝之前，这一举动表现出了强度。

Astronomer mentioned that he anticipated BTC to rise and sweep the “wick,” which ultimately occurred, pushing BTC.D higher in the process. However, once BTC.D spikes and begins to decline, following the pattern of fakeouts, it could signal the start of altcoin season, where alternative coins begin outperforming Bitcoin.

天文学家提到，他预计BTC会崛起并扫除最终发生的“ Wick”，从而使BTC.D在此过程中提高。但是，一旦BTC.D尖峰并开始下降，遵循伪造的模式，它可能标志着Altcoin季节的开始，替代硬币开始优于比特币。