比特幣優勢（BTC.D）接近臨界點，標誌著Altcoin季節的開始

比特幣優勢（BTC.D）衡量了BTC在總加密市值中所佔的份額，它正接近一個關鍵點，市場可能正在為長期以來的替代替代賽季節做準備。

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), which measures BTC’s share of the total crypto market capitalization, is approaching a critical point that could pave the way for a dramatic shift in the market with the long-awaited altcoin season.

比特幣優勢（BTC.D）衡量了BTC在總加密市值中所佔的份額，它正在接近一個關鍵點，這可能會為期待已久的AltCoin季節鋪平市場的巨大變化。

A recent technical analysis, backed by historical patterns, suggests that Bitcoin’s current dominance could soon wane, setting the stage for a potential market explosion.

在歷史模式的支持下，最近的一項技術分析表明，比特幣目前的統治地位可能很快就會消失，為潛在的市場爆炸奠定了基礎。

Bitcoin Dominance Timeline For Next Altcoin Season

比特幣統治時間表下一個Altcoin賽季

According to a chart analysis shared by crypto analyst Astronomer on X (formerly Twitter), a gradual decline in Bitcoin Dominance is expected to kickstart the altcoin season explosion. Technical projections on the BTC.D weekly chart suggest that Bitcoin Dominance might complete a three-drive phase before collapsing toward crucial Fibonacci retracement zones.

根據Crypto分析師天文學家在X（以前為Twitter）上共享的圖表分析，預計比特幣優勢逐漸下降將啟動AltCoin季節的爆炸。 BTC.D每週圖表上的技術預測表明，比特幣優勢可能完成三驅動階段，然後才能塌陷至關鍵的斐波那契回溯區域。

For clarity, BTC.D is poised to decline through multiple key levels, beginning with the 50% psychological level, then 48%, potentially breaking down to the pivot zone at 40.68%, and finally to the bottom point at 36.03%. Notably, altcoin momentum typically intensifies once BTC.D falls below the 50% mark, with accelerated gains and explosive performance observed between 46% and 40%.

為了清楚起見，BTC.D有望通過多個關鍵水平下降，從50％的心理水平開始，然後是48％，可能以40.68％的速度分解到樞軸區，最後以36.03％的速度分解為最重要的一點。值得注意的是，一旦BTC.D降至50％以下，AltCoin動量通常會加劇，並且觀察到46％至40％的爆炸性增長和爆炸性性能。

This forecast aligns with the October-November 2023 price behavior, where traders initially doubted the initial rally, only to witness a strong explosion shortly after. A similar shift in sentiment is expected this cycle, especially considering the recent fluctuations in Bitcoin’s price and the unstable market.

這一預測與2023年10月至11月的價格行為保持一致，交易者最初懷疑最初的集會，只是在不久之後就見證了強烈的爆炸。預計這一周期也會發生類似的情緒轉變，尤其是考慮到比特幣價格最近的波動和不穩定的市場的波動。

Moving forward, the analyst anticipates that the market is still on track for a substantial Bitcoin price breakout, possibly in late spring or early summer. This breakout is expected to set off a rapid pump in altcoins.

展望未來，分析師預計，可能在春末或初夏，市場仍然有望進行大量比特幣價格突破。預計該突破將引發山寨幣的快速泵。

Until then, Bitcoin will likely continue its slow ascent, pulling BTC.D along with it until it reaches the top and begins to decline. In his post, Astronomer stated that the BTC price has already hit bottom, implying any delays to the start of altcoin season are primarily time-related rather than tied to price movements.

在此之前，比特幣可能會繼續緩慢上升，將BTC.D與它一起拉動，直到達到頂部並開始下降。天文學家在他的帖子中表示，BTC的價格已經達到最低點，這意味著到Altcoin季節開始的任何延誤主要是與價格轉向相關的，而不是與價格變動有關。

BTC.D Possible Fakeout To Open Path To Alt Season

BTC.D可能的假貨可以打開ALT季節的道路

The Bitcoin Dominance recently encountered a resistance zone at the 67%-70% level. This zone could be crucial for determining the potential of an altcoin season this bull cycle.

比特幣的優勢最近在67％-70％的水平上遇到了一個阻力區。該區域對於確定本公牛週期的山寨賽季節的潛力可能至關重要。

The resistance zone, identified in the chart analysis as the Quarterly Breaker Open, has historically marked the peak for Bitcoin Dominance before altcoins take the lead. After briefly touching this zone, BTC.D experienced a sharp reversal and is now at 64.62%. The rejection from this level aligns with the theory that the recent Bitcoin-led rally was a “fake breakout”—a move displaying strength before being quickly rejected.

在圖表分析中確定為季度斷路器的電阻區歷史上標誌著比特幣優勢的峰值。短暫觸摸了該區域後，BTC.D經歷了急劇的逆轉，現在為64.62％。這個層面的拒絕與以下理論相吻合，即最近由比特幣領導的集會是“假突破” - 在迅速被拒絕之前，這一舉動表現出了強度。

Astronomer mentioned that he anticipated BTC to rise and sweep the “wick,” which ultimately occurred, pushing BTC.D higher in the process. However, once BTC.D spikes and begins to decline, following the pattern of fakeouts, it could signal the start of altcoin season, where alternative coins begin outperforming Bitcoin.

天文學家提到，他預計BTC會崛起並掃除最終發生的“ Wick”，從而使BTC.D在此過程中提高。但是，一旦BTC.D尖峰並開始下降，遵循偽造的模式，它可能標誌著Altcoin季節的開始，替代硬幣開始優於比特幣。