比特币现金（BCH）的价格在2024年3月达到其高度高度，自那以后下降了

比特币现金在2024年3月达到了周期的高度，此后就下降了。价格在12月的高度降低，加速了下降速度。

Bitcoin Cash price dropped to a new cycle low in March 2024, and it has been falling since.

比特币现金价格在2024年3月下降到新的周期，此后一直在下降。

The rate of decrease accelerated in December, when BCH price formed a lower high.

12月，当BCH价格形成较低的高高时，降低率加速了。

Even though the BCH price fell by nearly 50% since then, it still trades above its main horizontal support area at $340. This support is critical for future trends, as a breakdown below confirms that BCH is in a bear market.

即使BCH的价格从那以后下跌了近50％，但它仍然以340美元的价格交易。这种支持对于未来的趋势至关重要，因为以下细分证实了BCH处于熊市。

With that in mind, let's analyze the price action and see if a breakdown or bounce is more likely.

考虑到这一点，让我们分析价格动作，看看是否更有可能发生故障或反弹。

BCH Price Breaks Down From Support Trend Line

BCH的价格从支持趋势线中断

The weekly time frame Bitcoin Cash chart shows that the price broke down from an ascending support trend line at the start of February. Before the breakdown, the trend line existed for 539 days.

每周时间框架比特币现金图表显示，2月初的上升支持趋势线的价格下降。在崩溃之前，趋势线存在539天。

While BCH broke down from this diagonal support, it prevented a breakdown from the $305 horizontal support area. BCH bounced but failed to reclaim the ascending support trend line, creating a long upper wick (red icon).

当BCH从这种对角线支撑上崩溃时，它阻止了305美元的水平支撑区域的崩​​溃。 BCH弹跳，但未能收回上升的支持趋势线，创建了一个长的上部灯芯（红色图标）。

So, either BCH breaks down below $305 or reclaims the ascending support trend line can decide the future trend's direction.

因此，要么BCH分解低于$ 305，要么收回上升支持趋势线可以决定未来趋势的方向。

Technical indicators support a breakdown. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are falling. The RSI is below 50, while the MACD is negative, signaling a bearish trend.

技术指标支持故障。相对强度指数（RSI）和移动平均收敛/发散（MACD）正在下降。 RSI低于50，而MACD为负，这表明看跌趋势。

Hence, the weekly chart gives a bearish BCH price prediction. A decisive close below $305 can trigger a decline to the next support at $195.

因此，每周图表给出了看跌的BCH价格预测。低于305美元的决定性关闭可能会导致下一个支持下降，为$ 195。

Is BCH Poised For Bounce Or Breakdown?

BCH是否准备反弹或崩溃？

BCH's daily time frame gives mixed signals. BCH broke out from a descending resistance trend line after the RSI and MACD generated bullish divergences (orange).

BCH的每日时间框架提供了混合信号。在RSI和MACD产生看涨的分歧（橙色）之后，BCH从下降的抵抗趋势线爆发。

However, the Bitcoin Cash price failed to sustain its increase, getting rejected from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement resistance at $414. This created an upward A-B-C structure (black), which could continue the bearish trend.

但是，比特币现金价格未能维持其上涨，从0.382的斐波那契回试抵抗中拒绝了414美元。这产生了向上的ABC结构（黑色），可以继续看跌趋势。

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想在您的投资组合中添加比特币现金吗？发现在您所在国家购买和销售比特币现金的领先平台。

While BCH still trades above the breakout level, it risks losing the minor support at $440, triggering a deeper decline. In the context of the long-term count, the increase could be wave X in a W-X-Y correction (red).

尽管BCH仍然超过突破水平的交易，但它有可能以440美元的价格失去次要支持，从而引发了更深的下降。在长期计数的背景下，增加的增加可能是WXY校正（红色）中的波X。

If the count is accurate, the BCH price has started wave Y. If it has 0.618 times the length of wave W, the BCH price will reach a low of $192, aligning with the long-term support at $195.

如果计数是准确的，则BCH价格已经开始Y。如果波浪的长度是W的0.618倍，则BCH价格将达到192美元的低点，与长期支持的一致性为195美元。

Alternatively, reclaiming the long-term ascending support trend line will mean the BCH trend is still bullish. Currently, this scenario is less likely.

另外，回收长期上升支持趋势线将意味着BCH趋势仍然是看好的。目前，这种情况不太可能。

Final Thoughts: Bitcoin Cash Price May Fall Further

最终想法：比特币现金价格可能进一步下跌

The BCH price prevented a breakdown by bouncing at the $340 horizontal support area. However, the failure to reclaim its long-term support trend line and the fib resistance point to a bearish trend.

BCH价格通过在340美元的水平支撑区域弹跳来防止崩溃。但是，未能恢复其长期支持趋势线和Fib阻力指向看跌趋势。

As a result, a decisive weekly close below $340 can trigger a significant downward movement that takes the BCH price to a new yearly low.

结果，每周的决定性每周低于$ 340，可以触发重大的下行移动，使BCH价格达到新的年度低点。