比特幣現金（BCH）的價格在2024年3月達到其高度高度，自那以後下降了

比特幣現金在2024年3月達到了周期的高度，此後就下降了。價格在12月的高度降低，加速了下降速度。

Bitcoin Cash price dropped to a new cycle low in March 2024, and it has been falling since.

比特幣現金價格在2024年3月下降到新的周期，此後一直在下降。

The rate of decrease accelerated in December, when BCH price formed a lower high.

12月，當BCH價格形成較低的高高時，降低率加速了。

Even though the BCH price fell by nearly 50% since then, it still trades above its main horizontal support area at $340. This support is critical for future trends, as a breakdown below confirms that BCH is in a bear market.

即使BCH的價格從那以後下跌了近50％，但它仍然以340美元的價格交易。這種支持對於未來的趨勢至關重要，因為以下細分證實了BCH處於熊市。

With that in mind, let's analyze the price action and see if a breakdown or bounce is more likely.

考慮到這一點，讓我們分析價格動作，看看是否更有可能發生故障或反彈。

BCH Price Breaks Down From Support Trend Line

BCH的價格從支持趨勢線中斷

The weekly time frame Bitcoin Cash chart shows that the price broke down from an ascending support trend line at the start of February. Before the breakdown, the trend line existed for 539 days.

每週時間框架比特幣現金圖表顯示，2月初的上升支持趨勢線的價格下降。在崩潰之前，趨勢線存在539天。

While BCH broke down from this diagonal support, it prevented a breakdown from the $305 horizontal support area. BCH bounced but failed to reclaim the ascending support trend line, creating a long upper wick (red icon).

當BCH從這種對角線支撐上崩潰時，它阻止了305美元的水平支撐區域的崩​​潰。 BCH彈跳，但未能收回上升的支持趨勢線，創建了一個長的上部燈芯（紅色圖標）。

So, either BCH breaks down below $305 or reclaims the ascending support trend line can decide the future trend's direction.

因此，要么BCH分解低於$ 305，要么收回上升支持趨勢線可以決定未來趨勢的方向。

Technical indicators support a breakdown. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are falling. The RSI is below 50, while the MACD is negative, signaling a bearish trend.

技術指標支持故障。相對強度指數（RSI）和移動平均收斂/發散（MACD）正在下降。 RSI低於50，而MACD為負，這表明看跌趨勢。

Hence, the weekly chart gives a bearish BCH price prediction. A decisive close below $305 can trigger a decline to the next support at $195.

因此，每週圖表給出了看跌的BCH價格預測。低於305美元的決定性關閉可能會導致下一個支持下降，為$ 195。

Is BCH Poised For Bounce Or Breakdown?

BCH是否準備反彈或崩潰？

BCH's daily time frame gives mixed signals. BCH broke out from a descending resistance trend line after the RSI and MACD generated bullish divergences (orange).

BCH的每日時間框架提供了混合信號。在RSI和MACD產生看漲的分歧（橙色）之後，BCH從下降的抵抗趨勢線爆發。

However, the Bitcoin Cash price failed to sustain its increase, getting rejected from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement resistance at $414. This created an upward A-B-C structure (black), which could continue the bearish trend.

但是，比特幣現金價格未能維持其上漲，從0.382的斐波那契回試抵抗中拒絕了414美元。這產生了向上的ABC結構（黑色），可以繼續看跌趨勢。

Want to add BITCOIN CASH to your portfolio? Discover the leading platforms for buying and selling BITCOIN CASH in your country.

想在您的投資組合中添加比特幣現金嗎？發現在您所在國家購買和銷售比特幣現金的領先平台。

While BCH still trades above the breakout level, it risks losing the minor support at $440, triggering a deeper decline. In the context of the long-term count, the increase could be wave X in a W-X-Y correction (red).

儘管BCH仍然超過突破水平的交易，但它有可能以440美元的價格失去次要支持，從而引發了更深的下降。在長期計數的背景下，增加的增加可能是WXY校正（紅色）中的波X。

If the count is accurate, the BCH price has started wave Y. If it has 0.618 times the length of wave W, the BCH price will reach a low of $192, aligning with the long-term support at $195.

如果計數是準確的，則BCH價格已經開始Y。如果波浪的長度是W的0.618倍，則BCH價格將達到192美元的低點，與長期支持的一致性為195美元。

Alternatively, reclaiming the long-term ascending support trend line will mean the BCH trend is still bullish. Currently, this scenario is less likely.

另外，回收長期上升支持趨勢線將意味著BCH趨勢仍然是看好的。目前，這種情況不太可能。

Final Thoughts: Bitcoin Cash Price May Fall Further

最終想法：比特幣現金價格可能進一步下跌

The BCH price prevented a breakdown by bouncing at the $340 horizontal support area. However, the failure to reclaim its long-term support trend line and the fib resistance point to a bearish trend.

BCH價格通過在340美元的水平支撐區域彈跳來防止崩潰。但是，未能恢復其長期支持趨勢線和Fib阻力指向看跌趨勢。

As a result, a decisive weekly close below $340 can trigger a significant downward movement that takes the BCH price to a new yearly low.

結果，每週的決定性每週低於$ 340，可以觸發重大的下行移動，使BCH價格達到新的年度低點。