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比特币的复苏面临 70,000 美元的阻力,但分析师仍持乐观态度,预计其价格可能飙升至 120,000 美元至 180,000 美元之间。比特币交易所交易基金的出现和预期的比特币减半事件等因素被视为积极的推动因素。然而,QCP Capital 警告称,近期趋势似乎正在失去动力,可能使多头难以维持涨势。尽管如此,Acheron Trading 的 Laurent Benayoun 和 Bitwise 的 Matthew Hougan 建议投资者保持长远眼光,强调如果全球财富管理机构将其投资组合的 1% 分配给比特币,就有可能出现大量资本涌入。
Bitcoin's Bulls Remain Undeterred Despite Temporary Respite
尽管暂时喘息,但比特币的多头仍未被吓倒
As Bitcoin's (BTC) resurgence momentarily falters around the $70,000 threshold, the bulls maintain their unwavering stance against the bears. Industry experts remain optimistic about the ongoing bull market's potential, predicting a peak between $120,000 and $180,000.
随着比特币 (BTC) 的复苏暂时在 70,000 美元的关口附近徘徊,多头对空头保持了坚定不移的立场。行业专家对当前牛市的潜力仍持乐观态度,预测峰值将在 120,000 美元至 180,000 美元之间。
Factors Fueling Bitcoin's Ascension
推动比特币崛起的因素
Supporting this bullish outlook are several pivotal factors:
支持这种看涨前景的有几个关键因素:
- Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): The advent of Bitcoin ETFs, such as the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF and the Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF, has increased accessibility to Bitcoin for institutional investors, bringing significant capital into the market.
- Halving Event: The upcoming Bitcoin halving event, scheduled for May 2024, is expected to reduce the supply of newly issued Bitcoins by half, potentially driving up its price.
- Interest Rate Decrease: The anticipation of a possible decrease in interest rates by central banks could make Bitcoin a more attractive investment option compared to traditional assets.
Long-Term Perspective Remains Paramount
比特币交易所交易基金(ETF):比特币 ETF(例如 ProShares 比特币策略 ETF 和 Valkyrie 比特币策略 ETF)的出现,提高了机构投资者对比特币的可及性,为市场带来了大量资金。 减半事件:即将到来定于 2024 年 5 月举行的比特币减半事件预计将使新发行的比特币供应量减少一半,从而可能推高其价格。 利率下降:对央行可能降低利率的预期可能会使比特币更具吸引力与传统资产相比的投资选择。长期视角仍然至关重要
Despite the recent pause in Bitcoin's upward trajectory, Matthew Hougan, the chief investment officer at Bitwise, advises investment experts to remain composed and adopt a long-term perspective. Hougan postulates that a mere 1% allocation of global wealth managers' portfolios to Bitcoin could result in a capital influx of approximately $1 trillion into the market.
尽管最近比特币的上涨轨迹出现了停滞,但 Bitwise 首席投资官 Matthew Hougan 建议投资专家保持冷静并采取长期观点。 Hougan 假设,全球财富管理机构投资组合中仅 1% 的比特币配置就可能导致约 1 万亿美元的资本涌入市场。
Warning Signs Amidst the Optimism
乐观中的警告信号
QCP Capital, a trading entity, cautions that the recent trend appears to be losing momentum, potentially making it difficult for the bulls to sustain the rally. The narrow range of movement between $71,748 and $68,557 suggests a standoff between buyers and sellers, with neither side gaining a clear advantage.
交易实体 QCP Capital 警告称,近期趋势似乎正在失去动力,可能使多头难以维持涨势。 71,748 美元至 68,557 美元之间的窄幅波动表明买家和卖家之间存在僵局,双方都没有获得明显的优势。
Technical Analysis Provides Insights
技术分析提供见解
Bitcoin (BTC):
比特币(BTC):
- The neutral trend of the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $70,100 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around the midline indicate equilibrium.
- A breakout above the $71.7K-$74K range could trigger a surge towards $80,000, while a decline below $63K may lead to a drop to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
Jito (JTO):
20 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 位于 70,100 美元的中性趋势和中线附近的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 表明均衡。突破 71,700-74,000 美元区间可能会引发价格飙升至 80,000 美元,而下跌低于 63,000 美元可能会导致跌至 50 日简单移动平均线 (SMA)。 Jito (JTO):
- After breaking through immediate resistance channels, JTO has soared over 34.5% in the last 24 hours, currently trading at $4.4.
- A breakthrough above $5 could signal the beginning of another upward phase, while a recovery for the bears requires defending the $5 mark and pulling the pair below the 20-day EMA of $3.6.
Axelar (AXL):
在突破直接阻力通道后,JTO 在过去 24 小时内飙升了 34.5% 以上,目前交易价格为 4.4 美元。突破 5 美元上方可能标志着另一个上涨阶段的开始,而空头的复苏需要捍卫 5 美元大关并拉升该货币对低于 3.6 美元的 20 日均线。Axelar (AXL):
- AXL price has hovered around the 20-day EMA at $2 for several days, indicating indecision.
- Buyers managed to push the price above the 20-day EMA, but a decline below this level may trigger a drop towards $1.5.
Solana (SOL):
AXL 价格连续几天在 2 美元的 20 日均线附近徘徊,表明犹豫不决。买家设法将价格推高至 20 日均线上方,但跌破该水平可能会引发跌向 1.5 美元的情况。Solana (SOL):
- Solana is facing resistance along the declining trend line, with bulls attempting to push the price above the uptrend line near the support channel.
- A reversal and drop beneath the 20-day EMA at $195 would shift momentum to sellers, while a breakout beyond the declining trend line could mark the beginning of an upward phase towards $250.
Dogecoin (DOGE):
Solana 在下降趋势线上面临阻力,多头试图将价格推高至支撑通道附近的上升趋势线之上。反转并跌破 195 美元的 20 日均线将把动力转向卖家,而突破下降趋势线趋势线可能标志着向 250 美元上涨阶段的开始。狗狗币 (DOGE):
- Dogecoin's upward trajectory has experienced a slight decline, with investors securing profits at the resistance level of $0.23.
- Buyers prevented a drop by holding the price above the 23.6% Fib level at $0.19.
- A fall below $0.19 could lead to a decrease to the 200-day EMA at $0.16.
Conclusion
狗狗币的上升轨迹经历了小幅下滑,投资者在 0.23 美元的阻力位获得利润。买家通过将价格保持在 23.6% 斐波那契水平以上 0.19 美元来防止下跌。跌破 0.19 美元可能会导致价格跌至 200-日内 EMA 价格为 0.16 美元。结论
While Bitcoin's resurgence has temporarily paused around $70,000, the bulls remain optimistic about the ongoing bull market's potential. Factors such as Bitcoin ETFs, halving events, and interest rate decreases are expected to fuel its upward trajectory in the second quarter of 2024. However, trading entity QCP Capital warns of a potential loss of momentum, emphasizing the importance of close monitoring and technical analysis.
尽管比特币的复苏暂时停留在 70,000 美元附近,但多头仍然对持续牛市的潜力持乐观态度。比特币 ETF、减半事件和利率下降等因素预计将推动其在 2024 年第二季度的上升轨迹。然而,交易实体 QCP Capital 警告称,比特币可能会失去动力,并强调密切监控和技术分析的重要性。
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