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一项广泛追踪的动量指标自四月份以来首次转为正值。
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Another Bullish Signal Emerges as Prices Approach $70K Zone
比特币价格分析:随着价格接近 7 万美元区域,另一个看涨信号出现
A key momentum indicator has turned positive for the first time since April, suggesting further upside potential for bitcoin.
一项关键动量指标自 4 月份以来首次转为正值,表明比特币有进一步的上涨潜力。
A bitcoin indicator that signaled seller exhaustion in early September has now flipped bullish, strengthening the case for a move above the $70,000 zone.
9 月初表明卖家疲惫不堪的比特币指标现已转为看涨,强化了突破 70,000 美元区域的理由。
Bitcoin Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram Turns Positive on the Weekly Chart
比特币移动平均线收敛分歧(MACD)柱状图在周线图上转为正值
The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram, a technical analysis indicator used to measure trend strength and changes, has flipped positive on the weekly chart for the first time since April, as observed on the TradingView chart platform. This indicates a renewed upward shift in momentum, suggesting a bullish resolution to bitcoin's extended period of back and forth trading between $50,000 and $70,000.
从 TradingView 图表平台观察到,移动平均收敛散度 (MACD) 直方图是一种用于衡量趋势强度和变化的技术分析指标,自 4 月份以来在周线图上首次出现正值。这表明势头重新上行,表明比特币在 50,000 美元至 70,000 美元之间长期来回交易的看涨解决方案。
This positive technical development aligns with the broader consensus that the Fed's pivot toward rate cuts, the increasing likelihood of pro-crypto Republican candidate Donald Trump winning the Nov. 5 U.S. election, and the weakness in the anti-risk Japanese yen are all setting the stage for bitcoin to potentially reach at least $100,000 by the end of December.
这种积极的技术发展与更广泛的共识相一致,即美联储转向降息、支持加密货币的共和党候选人唐纳德·特朗普赢得 11 月 5 日美国大选的可能性越来越大,以及抗风险日元的疲软都在设定到 12 月底,比特币可能达到至少 10 万美元。
The MACD is calculated by subtracting bitcoin's average price over the past 26 periods (weeks in this case) from the average over the past 12 weeks. The signal line is then calculated as a nine-week average of the MACD, and the difference between the MACD and signal lines is plotted as a histogram.
MACD 的计算方法是用过去 12 周的平均值减去过去 26 个周期(本例中为周)的比特币平均价格。然后将信号线计算为 MACD 的九周平均值,并将 MACD 和信号线之间的差异绘制为直方图。
This indicator is widely followed by traders and analysts, and its movements in relation to bitcoin's price in the first half of September signaled the exhaustion of the downtrend.
该指标受到交易员和分析师的广泛关注,其与 9 月上半月比特币价格的关系表明下降趋势已经耗尽。
Bitcoin has risen almost 30% since hitting lows below $53,000 in early September. The leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization reached $69,500 during Monday's Asian trading hours.
自 9 月初触及 53,000 美元以下的低点以来,比特币已上涨近 30%。在周一的亚洲交易时间内,市值领先的加密货币达到 69,500 美元。
The latest bullish signal from the MACD follows a similar flash from the "line break chart" last week, indicating that bulls may finally succeed in establishing a foothold above the $70,000 mark, having failed to do so multiple times since the first quarter.
MACD 发出最新看涨信号之前,上周的“折线图”也出现了类似的信号,这表明多头可能最终成功在 70,000 美元大关上方站稳脚跟,而自第一季度以来多次未能成功。
A similar MACD bull cross occurred in October last year as bitcoin moved past the long-standing $30,000 resistance, eventually reaching a record high of over $73,000 in March this year. The bull cross observed in late 2022 marked the bottom of the bear market.
去年 10 月,比特币突破了长期存在的 30,000 美元阻力位,并最终在今年 3 月创下了超过 73,000 美元的历史新高。 2022 年末出现的牛市交叉标志着熊市的底部。
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