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一項廣泛追蹤的動量指標自四月以來首次轉為正值。
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Another Bullish Signal Emerges as Prices Approach $70K Zone
比特幣價格分析:隨著價格接近 7 萬美元區域,另一個看漲訊號出現
A key momentum indicator has turned positive for the first time since April, suggesting further upside potential for bitcoin.
一項關鍵動能指標自 4 月以來首次轉為正值,顯示比特幣有進一步的上漲潛力。
A bitcoin indicator that signaled seller exhaustion in early September has now flipped bullish, strengthening the case for a move above the $70,000 zone.
9 月初顯示賣家疲憊不堪的比特幣指標現已轉為看漲,強化了突破 7 萬美元區域的理由。
Bitcoin Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram Turns Positive on the Weekly Chart
比特幣移動平均線收斂分歧(MACD)長條圖在周線圖上轉為正值
The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram, a technical analysis indicator used to measure trend strength and changes, has flipped positive on the weekly chart for the first time since April, as observed on the TradingView chart platform. This indicates a renewed upward shift in momentum, suggesting a bullish resolution to bitcoin's extended period of back and forth trading between $50,000 and $70,000.
從 TradingView 圖表平台觀察到,移動平均收斂散度 (MACD) 直方圖是一種用於衡量趨勢強度和變化的技術分析指標,自 4 月以來在周線圖上首次出現正值。這表明勢頭重新上行,表明比特幣在 50,000 美元至 70,000 美元之間長期來回交易的看漲解決方案。
This positive technical development aligns with the broader consensus that the Fed's pivot toward rate cuts, the increasing likelihood of pro-crypto Republican candidate Donald Trump winning the Nov. 5 U.S. election, and the weakness in the anti-risk Japanese yen are all setting the stage for bitcoin to potentially reach at least $100,000 by the end of December.
這種積極的技術發展與更廣泛的共識相一致,即聯準會轉向降息、支持加密貨幣的共和黨候選人唐納德·川普贏得11 月5 日美國大選的可能性越來越大,以及抗風險日元的疲軟都在設定到 12 月底,比特幣可能達到至少 10 萬美元。
The MACD is calculated by subtracting bitcoin's average price over the past 26 periods (weeks in this case) from the average over the past 12 weeks. The signal line is then calculated as a nine-week average of the MACD, and the difference between the MACD and signal lines is plotted as a histogram.
MACD 的計算方法是將過去 12 週的平均值減去過去 26 個週期(本例為週)的比特幣平均價格。然後將訊號線計算為 MACD 的九週平均值,並將 MACD 和訊號線之間的差異繪製為直方圖。
This indicator is widely followed by traders and analysts, and its movements in relation to bitcoin's price in the first half of September signaled the exhaustion of the downtrend.
該指標受到交易員和分析師的廣泛關注,其與 9 月上半月比特幣價格的關係表明下降趨勢已耗盡。
Bitcoin has risen almost 30% since hitting lows below $53,000 in early September. The leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization reached $69,500 during Monday's Asian trading hours.
自 9 月初觸及 53,000 美元以下的低點以來,比特幣已上漲近 30%。在周一的亞洲交易時間內,市值領先的加密貨幣達到 69,500 美元。
The latest bullish signal from the MACD follows a similar flash from the "line break chart" last week, indicating that bulls may finally succeed in establishing a foothold above the $70,000 mark, having failed to do so multiple times since the first quarter.
MACD 發出最新看漲信號之前,上週的「折線圖」也出現了類似的信號,這表明多頭可能最終成功在 70,000 美元大關上方站穩腳跟,而自第一季以來多次未能成功。
A similar MACD bull cross occurred in October last year as bitcoin moved past the long-standing $30,000 resistance, eventually reaching a record high of over $73,000 in March this year. The bull cross observed in late 2022 marked the bottom of the bear market.
去年 10 月,比特幣突破了長期的 30,000 美元阻力位,並最終在今年 3 月創下了超過 73,000 美元的歷史新高。 2022 年末出現的牛市交叉標誌著熊市的底部。
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