比特币牛市将持续飙升，长期持有者发出信号

最近对长期比特币 (LTH) 持有者的分析表明，当前的牛市可能已完成约 40%。 LTH 持有代币超过六个月，通常会在牛市期间分配其持有的代币，而最近 LTH 供应量的下降与这一历史模式相符。分析表明，在此类抛售期间，LTH 供应量通常会下降 14% 左右，这表明当前周期可能已接近中点。

Bitcoin Bull Run Poised for Further Surge, Long-Term Holders Hint

长期持有者暗示，比特币牛市有望进一步飙升

A meticulous analysis of long-term Bitcoin holders' (LTHs) behavior suggests that the current bull run has traversed approximately 40% of its anticipated trajectory, portending substantial potential for further appreciation.

对长期比特币持有者 (LTH) 行为的细致分析表明，当前的牛市已经穿越了其预期轨迹的约 40%，预示着进一步升值的巨大潜力。

Long-Term Holders: Stalwart Guardians of Bitcoin

长期持有者：比特币的坚定守护者

LTHs, defined as investors who have held their Bitcoin for more than six months, are renowned for their steadfastness, rarely parting with their prized digital assets irrespective of market fluctuations. However, their sales, when they do occur, bear immense significance.

LTH 被定义为持有比特币超过六个月的投资者，他们以坚定而闻名，无论市场波动如何，都很少放弃宝贵的数字资产。然而，当它们真正发生时，它们的销售具有巨大的意义。

Historically, LTHs have initiated distributions during bull runs, coinciding with the breaching of Bitcoin's all-time high (ATH). Having accumulated substantial profits over extended holding periods, they capitalize on the heightened demand during bull rallies, selling their coins at advantageous prices.

从历史上看，LTH 会在牛市期间发起分配，恰逢比特币突破历史高点 (ATH)。在长期持有期间积累了大量利润后，他们利用牛市期间需求增加的机会，以优惠的价格出售代币。

Recent LTH Distribution and Historical Patterns

近期 LTH 分布和历史模式

The recent ATH breach by Bitcoin has mirrored previous patterns, with LTHs commencing their sales anew. Data from Glassnode reveals a decline in LTH supply, indicating active distribution.

比特币最近发生的 ATH 违规事件反映了之前的模式，LTH 重新开始销售。 Glassnode 的数据显示 LTH 供应量下降，表明分布活跃。

In past bull cycles, the surge in demand for Bitcoin has absorbed LTH sell-offs for approximately 6-8 months, fueling further price increases. Historically, LTH supply has undergone drawdowns of around 14% during these bull run selloffs.

在过去的牛市周期中，比特币需求的激增吸收了 LTH 约 6-8 个月的抛售，推动价格进一步上涨。从历史上看，在牛市抛售期间，LTH 供应量经历了约 14% 的下降。

Current Cycle Progress and Future Outlook

当前周期进展和未来展望

Applying this historical drawdown average to the current Bitcoin cycle, Glassnode's lead analyst, Checkmate, estimates that the cycle has progressed approximately 40%. This implies that significant upside potential remains.

Glassnode 的首席分析师 Checkmate 将这一历史回撤平均值应用于当前的比特币周期，估计该周期已进展约 40%。这意味着仍然存在巨大的上行潜力。

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Ascends to $71,800

技术分析：比特币升至 71,800 美元

Bolstering this bullish outlook, Bitcoin has experienced a notable surge in the past 24 hours, reclaiming its position above $71,800. This upward movement aligns with the broader market sentiment, indicating a potential continuation of the bull run.

比特币在过去 24 小时内经历了显着飙升，重新回到 71,800 美元上方的位置，支撑了这种看涨前景。这种上涨趋势与更广泛的市场情绪一致，表明牛市可能会持续。

Conclusion

结论

Based on the analysis of LTH behavior, historical patterns, and technical indicators, the current Bitcoin bull run appears poised for further substantial gains. While market volatility is inherent to any investment, the confluence of these positive factors suggests that Bitcoin's upward trajectory is far from over. Investors are advised to exercise due diligence and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions, but the signs point to a promising future for the world's leading cryptocurrency.

根据对 LTH 行为、历史模式和技术指标的分析，当前的比特币牛市似乎有望进一步大幅上涨。虽然市场波动是任何投资所固有的，但这些积极因素的综合表明，比特币的上升轨迹还远未结束。建议投资者在做出任何投资决定之前进行尽职调查并进行自己的研究，但迹象表明世界领先的加密货币前景光明。