比特币牛市预计将创历史新高

比特币预计在当前牛市周期中将上涨 150%，可能达到 18 万美元。这一预测得到了现货比特币 ETF、即将到来的减半后供应量减少以及美国金融政策改善等因素的支持。其他分析师也做出了类似的预测，目标范围为 120,000 美元至 337,000 美元。 Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood 等知名人士甚至建议到 2030 年比特币价格将达到 100 万美元。比特币在经历了 10 天的下跌后最近重回 7 万美元，表明了积极的趋势。

Bitcoin Bull Market Projected to Reach New Heights

比特币牛市预计将达到新高度

March 27, 2023

2023 年 3 月 27 日

Renowned quantitative trading expert and CEO of Acheron Trading, Laurent Benayoun, has forecasted a remarkable surge in Bitcoin (BTC) value during the current bull market cycle. Benayoun anticipates a potential price peak of $180,000 for BTC, driven by a confluence of factors.

著名量化交易专家、Acheron Trading 首席执行官 Laurent Benayoun 预测，在当前牛市周期中，比特币 (BTC) 价值将大幅飙升。 Benayoun 预计，在多种因素的共同推动下，BTC 的潜在价格峰值将达到 180,000 美元。

Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Halving Fuel Price Boom

现货比特币 ETF 和减半燃料价格繁荣

The anticipated price rally stems from the introduction of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the upcoming Bitcoin halving. ETFs have introduced passive demand, attracting investors who are less sensitive to price fluctuations. The halving, which occurs approximately every four years, reduces the supply of new Bitcoins entering the market, creating upward price pressure.

预期的价格上涨源于现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的推出和即将到来的比特币减半。 ETF引入了被动需求，吸引了对价格波动不太敏感的投资者。大约每四年发生一次的减半会减少进入市场的新比特币的供应，从而造成价格上涨的压力。

Benayoun stated, "If we examine historical market performance, the multiplier on the all-time high tends to decrease with each cycle. By applying this rationale, we estimate a price range of $120,000 to $180,000 per unit."

Benayoun 表示：“如果我们考察历史市场表现，就会发现历史最高点的乘数往往会随着每个周期而下降。通过应用这一原理，我们估计每单位的价格范围为 120,000 美元至 180,000 美元。”

Improving US Financial Policy Bolsters Bitcoin

改善美国金融政策提振比特币

Benayoun also believes that improving financial policy in the United States will contribute to Bitcoin's price appreciation. He expects a reduction in interest rates, which have been relatively flat, leading to downward pressure on interest rates.

贝纳永还认为，美国金融政策的改善将有助于比特币价格升值。他预计，一直相对持平的利率将会下降，从而导致利率下行压力。

Convergence of Price Predictions

价格预测的收敛

Benayoun's prediction aligns with several other recent forecasts. Bitfinex analysts project a price target of $120,000 by the end of 2024, citing passive demand from ETFs and a conservative market capitalization estimate.

贝纳永的预测与最近的其他几个预测一致。 Bitfinex 分析师基于 ETF 的被动需求和保守的市值估计，预计到 2024 年底目标价格为 120,000 美元。

Wealth management giant Bernstein anticipates a breakout to around $150,000 following the halving by mid-2025. More bullish targets include Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo's prediction of a potential peak at $337,000 in the upper bound of his price model.

财富管理巨头伯恩斯坦预计，到 2025 年中期减半后，比特币价格将突破 15 万美元左右。更看涨的目标包括比特币分析师 Willy Woo 预测其价格模型上限可能达到 337,000 美元的峰值。

Seven-Figure Price Targets Emerge

七位数的价格目标出现

Remarkably, seven-figure price targets are also gaining traction. Ark Invest's Cathie Wood has revised her earlier estimate of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2030, considering it too conservative in light of growing institutional involvement. Wood believes the incremental price associated with institutional investment has more than doubled.

值得注意的是，七位数的价格目标也越来越受到关注。 Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood 修正了她之前对 2030 年比特币价格将达到 100 万美元的估计，认为鉴于机构参与度的不断增加，这一估计过于保守。伍德认为，与机构投资相关的增量价格已经增加了一倍多。

Bitcoin Reclaims $70,000 Mark

比特币重回 70,000 美元大关

On March 25, Bitcoin regained the $70,000 level for the first time in 10 days. The cryptocurrency has gained over 6.3% on the weekly chart, currently trading around $70,800.

3月25日，比特币10天来首次重回7万美元关口。该加密货币在周线图上上涨超过 6.3%，目前交易价格约为 70,800 美元。

Disclaimer

免责声明

This article is not intended as investment advice or recommendations. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, and investors are urged to conduct thorough research before making any financial decisions.

本文无意作为投资建议或建议。加密货币交易涉及重大风险，投资者在做出任何财务决策之前应进行彻底的研究。