比特幣牛市預計將創歷史新高

比特幣預計在當前牛市週期中將上漲 150%，可能達到 18 萬美元。這項預測得到了現貨比特幣 ETF、即將到來的減半後供應量減少以及美國金融政策改善等因素的支持。其他分析師也做出了類似的預測，目標範圍為 12 萬美元至 33.7 萬美元。 Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood 等知名人士甚至建議到 2030 年比特幣價格將達到 100 萬美元。比特幣在經歷了 10 天的下跌後最近重回 7 萬美元，表明了積極的趨勢。

Bitcoin Bull Market Projected to Reach New Heights

比特幣牛市預計將達到新高度

March 27, 2023

2023 年 3 月 27 日

Renowned quantitative trading expert and CEO of Acheron Trading, Laurent Benayoun, has forecasted a remarkable surge in Bitcoin (BTC) value during the current bull market cycle. Benayoun anticipates a potential price peak of $180,000 for BTC, driven by a confluence of factors.

著名量化交易專家、Acheron Trading 執行長 Laurent Benayoun 預測，在當前牛市週期中，比特幣 (BTC) 價值將大幅飆升。 Benayoun 預計，在多種因素的共同推動下，BTC 的潛在價格高峰將達到 18 萬美元。

Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Halving Fuel Price Boom

現貨比特幣 ETF 和減半燃料價格繁榮

The anticipated price rally stems from the introduction of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the upcoming Bitcoin halving. ETFs have introduced passive demand, attracting investors who are less sensitive to price fluctuations. The halving, which occurs approximately every four years, reduces the supply of new Bitcoins entering the market, creating upward price pressure.

預期的價格上漲源自於現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的推出和即將到來的比特幣減半。 ETF引入了被動需求，吸引了對價格波動較不敏感的投資者。大約每四年發生一次的減半會減少進入市場的新比特幣的供應，從而造成價格上漲的壓力。

Benayoun stated, "If we examine historical market performance, the multiplier on the all-time high tends to decrease with each cycle. By applying this rationale, we estimate a price range of $120,000 to $180,000 per unit."

Benayoun 表示：「如果我們檢視歷史市場表現，就會發現歷史最高點的乘數往往會隨著每個週期而下降。透過應用此原理，我們估計每單位的價格範圍為120,000 美元至180,000 美元。 」

Improving US Financial Policy Bolsters Bitcoin

改善美國金融政策提振比特幣

Benayoun also believes that improving financial policy in the United States will contribute to Bitcoin's price appreciation. He expects a reduction in interest rates, which have been relatively flat, leading to downward pressure on interest rates.

貝納永也認為，美國金融政策的改善將有助於比特幣價格升值。他預計，一直相對持平的利率將會下降，從而導致利率下行壓力。

Convergence of Price Predictions

價格預測的收斂

Benayoun's prediction aligns with several other recent forecasts. Bitfinex analysts project a price target of $120,000 by the end of 2024, citing passive demand from ETFs and a conservative market capitalization estimate.

貝納永的預測與最近的其他幾個預測一致。 Bitfinex 分析師基於 ETF 的被動需求和保守的市值估計，預計到 2024 年底目標價為 12 萬美元。

Wealth management giant Bernstein anticipates a breakout to around $150,000 following the halving by mid-2025. More bullish targets include Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo's prediction of a potential peak at $337,000 in the upper bound of his price model.

財富管理巨頭伯恩斯坦預計，到 2025 年中期減半後，比特幣價格將突破約 15 萬美元。更看漲的目標包括比特幣分析師 Willy Woo 預測其價格模型上限可能達到 337,000 美元的峰值。

Seven-Figure Price Targets Emerge

七位數的價格目標出現

Remarkably, seven-figure price targets are also gaining traction. Ark Invest's Cathie Wood has revised her earlier estimate of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2030, considering it too conservative in light of growing institutional involvement. Wood believes the incremental price associated with institutional investment has more than doubled.

值得注意的是，七位數的價格目標也越來越受到關注。 Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood 修正了她先前對 2030 年比特幣價格將達到 100 萬美元的估計，認為鑑於機構參與度的不斷增加，這一估計過於保守。伍德認為，與機構投資相關的增量價格已經增加了一倍以上。

Bitcoin Reclaims $70,000 Mark

比特幣重回 7 萬美元大關

On March 25, Bitcoin regained the $70,000 level for the first time in 10 days. The cryptocurrency has gained over 6.3% on the weekly chart, currently trading around $70,800.

3月25日，比特幣10天來首次重回7萬美元關口。該加密貨幣在周線圖上上漲超過 6.3%，目前交易價格約為 70,800 美元。

Disclaimer

免責聲明

This article is not intended as investment advice or recommendations. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, and investors are urged to conduct thorough research before making any financial decisions.

本文無意作為投資建議或建議。加密貨幣交易涉及重大風險，投資者在做出任何財務決策之前應進行徹底的研究。