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比特币有望结束低于$ 90000的一周,加强了盘旋市场的看跌感情
Bitcoin is on track to close another week below the $90,000 mark, summarizing a tale of persistent bearish sentiment that has affected the market in recent times. After facing a prolonged period of volatility and macro-driven uncertainty, Bitcoin continues to trade in a tight range, struggling to reclaim higher ground.
比特币有望结束低于90,000美元的一周,总结了近期影响市场的持续性看跌情绪的故事。在面对长时间的波动性和宏观驱动的不确定性之后,比特币继续处于紧密的范围内,努力地恢复了更高的地面。
The broader market remains cautious as global tensions escalate, particularly between the United States and China. With trade tariffs intensifying and fears of a global recession growing, investors are rotating away from high-risk assets and looking for stability.
随着全球紧张局势升级,特别是在美国和中国之间,更广泛的市场仍然谨慎。随着贸易关税加剧和对全球衰退的恐惧,投资者正在偏离高风险资产并寻求稳定。
However, not all signals are negative. Crypto analyst Daan shared insights on X, highlighting that Bitcoin is steadily grinding higher when measured relative to equities, particularly in the BTC/SPX chart. This relative strength is noteworthy amid ongoing market turmoil and signals that BTC may be showing early signs of resilience.
但是,并非所有信号都是负面的。加密分析师Daan在X上共享了见解,强调比特币相对于股票的测量,尤其是在BTC/SPX图表中,比特币稳步磨削。在持续的市场动荡中,这种相对的力量值得注意,并且表明BTC可能显示出早期的弹性迹象。
"BTC had a rough February (which is largely due to its strong January performance ahead of the political cycle). But holding up well against major stock indices is a positive takeaway. If this trend continues, may serve as a foundation for recovery - provided that equities don’t suffer another sharp leg down."
“ BTC的2月份艰难(这主要是由于其在政治周期之前的一月份表现强劲)。但是,与主要股票指数保持良好状态是一个积极的收获。如果这种趋势继续下去,则可以作为恢复的基础 - 前提是股票不会遭受另一个急剧的尖锐腿。”
Bitcoin is now trading at a critical level, consolidating between the $81,000 support and the $88,000 resistance zone. After weeks of sharp volatility and bearish pressure, bulls are beginning to regain momentum as BTC holds above essential support levels, signaling potential for stabilization.
比特币现在处于关键水平的交易,在81,000美元的支持和88,000美元的电阻区之间汇总。经过数周的急剧波动和看跌压力后,公牛开始恢复动量,因为BTC的支撑水平高于基本支撑水平,这是稳定潜力的信号。
Global Macro Uncertainty Weighs on Market Sentiment
全球宏观不确定性对市场情绪产生压力
While macroeconomic uncertainty continues to dominate headlines, the market is cautiously optimistic. Financial markets remain fragile, and the crypto sector is not immune. Investors are weighing the risks of prolonged geopolitical conflict and inflationary pressures against the long-term appeal of digital assets like Bitcoin.
尽管宏观经济不确定性继续主导着头条新闻,但市场谨慎乐观。金融市场仍然脆弱,加密货币部门没有免疫力。投资者正在权衡长期地缘政治冲突和通货膨胀压力的风险与比特币等数字资产的长期吸引力。
Despite this complex backdrop, some analysts remain confident in Bitcoin’s resilience. Daan shared an analysis comparing Bitcoin’s performance to US equities using the BTC/SPX chart. The data shows that Bitcoin is steadily grinding higher relative to traditional markets—a promising sign amid the ongoing financial instability.
尽管有这种复杂的背景,但一些分析师仍然对比特币的弹性充满信心。 Daan使用BTC/SPX图进行了分析,将比特币的绩效与美国股票进行了比较。数据表明,比特币相对于传统市场稳步磨削,这是在持续的金融不稳定中有希望的迹象。
"BTC had a rough February (which is largely due to its strong January performance ahead of the political inauguration). But holding up well against major stock indices is a positive takeaway. If this trend continues, may serve as a foundation for recovery - provided that equities don’t suffer another sharp leg down."
“ BTC的2月份艰难(这主要是由于其在政治就职典礼之前的一月份表现强劲)。但是,对主要股票指数的良好表现是一个积极的收获。如果这种趋势持续下去,可能会成为恢复的基础 - 前提是股票不会遭受另一个锋利的腿部。”
This analysis suggests that Bitcoin may be performing relatively well in a broader market context. As the consolidation phase matures, a breakout in either direction could define the next stage of the cycle.
该分析表明,在更广泛的市场情况下,比特币的性能可能相对较好。随着合并阶段的成熟,沿任一方向的突破都可以定义周期的下一个阶段。
Technical Details: Holding Above Key Support
技术详细信息:持有上面的主要支持
Bitcoin is trading at $85,200 after maintaining strength above the 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), both of which sit around the $84,000 level. This technical support has provided a solid floor over recent sessions, allowing bulls to defend against deeper pullbacks.
比特币保持高于4小时200天移动平均线(MA)和指数移动平均线(EMA)的强度后,比特币的交易价格为85,200美元,这两者都位于84,000美元左右。这种技术支持为最近的会议提供了坚实的地面,使得公牛可以防御更深的回调。
However, the broader trend remains uncertain, and momentum is beginning to stall just below major resistance. For bulls to confirm a sustained recovery, BTC must reclaim the $90,000 level in the coming days. A breakout above that mark would signal a fresh high and shift the structure toward a more bullish trend.
但是,更广泛的趋势仍然不确定,动量开始停滞在主要阻力之下。为了使公牛确认持续的恢复,BTC必须在未来几天内收回90,000美元的水平。超出该标记的突破将标志着新鲜的高度,并将结构转移到更看涨的趋势。
Currently, the $88,500 zone stands as a critical hurdle and needs to be cleared convincingly to open the path higher. On the flip side, if Bitcoin fails to break above $88,500 soon, bearish pressure may return. A failure to build momentum above this threshold could trigger a renewed selloff, potentially dragging the price back below the $81,000 support level.
目前,$ 88,500的区域是一个关键的障碍,需要令人信服地清除以打开更高的道路。另一方面,如果比特币很快不超过88,500美元,看跌压力可能会恢复。未能建立势头的动量可能会引发新的抛售,这可能会将价格拖回以下81,000美元的支持水平。
This would invalidate the short-term recovery narrative and reinforce fears of a deeper correction. For now, the market remains range-bound, with both sides waiting for a decisive move to define direction.
这将使短期恢复的叙述无效,并加剧了对更深层次的纠正的恐惧。目前,市场仍然存在范围,双方都在等待确定方向的决定性行动。
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