比特币（BTC）随机RSI印刷了一个看涨的十字架，其历史上有急速篮板的历史

随机RSI基于价格变动相对于其在给定时期内的范围进行稳定势头。这个经典指标在0到100之间运行

Bitcoin’s (BTC) stochastic RSI has printed a bullish cross with a history of preceding sharp price rebounds.

比特币（BTC）随机RSI印刷了一个看涨的十字架，其历史上有急转的篮板。

Stochastic RSI tracks momentum based on price movements relative to their range over a given period. This classic indicator operates between 0 and 100, with values above 80 considered overbought and below 20 deemed oversold.

随机RSI基于价格变动相对于其在给定时期内的范围进行稳定势头。这个经典指标在0到100之间运行，值高于80的值被认为是超买的，低于20的被视为超出售出。

BTC/USDT weekly price chart. Source: TradingView/Merjin The Trader

BTC/USDT每周价格表。资料来源：TradingView/Merjin交易者

A crossover of the blue %K line above the orange %D line from an oversold region technically suggests growing upward momentum.

从技术上来说，超出橙色％d线上的蓝色％k线的跨越，从技术上讲表明向上增长。

Another $120,000 BTC price target emerges

另外120,000美元的BTC价格目标还出现了

Historical fractals show that each time the weekly stochastic RSI made the bullish cross, Bitcoin underwent sharp price recoveries within three to five months. Its gains have averaged at around 56% during such rebounds, ̛including rallies that extended beyond the 90%-return mark.

历史分形表明，每周一次的随机RSI每次将Bullish Cross Cros置于三到五个月之内，比特币都会进行急剧的价格回收率。在此类篮板中，它的收益平均约为56％，包括延伸超过90％返回的集会。

BTC/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USD每周价格图表。资料来源：TradingView

That includes a roughly 90% rally from November 2022 lows, 92% gains in late 2023, and a staggering 98% move into Bitcoin’s recent all-time high of around $110,000 in January 2025.

这包括从2022年11月的低点开始大约90％的集会，2023年底的92％收益，以及2025年1月1月的Bitcoin最近有史以来110,000美元的历史最高额度的惊人98％。

If history repeats, Bitcoin could see another parabolic rise by July or August, aligning with previous stochastic RSI bullish crosses that delivered outsized returns.

如果历史重演，比特币可能会在7月或8月看到另一个抛物线质量上升，与以前的随机RSI看涨十字架保持一致，后者带来了巨大的回报。

Market analyst Merjin the Trader says Bitcoin’s price can reach at least $120,000 if the Stochastic RSI fractal plays out as intended.

市场分析师Merjin The Trader表示，如果随机RSI分形按预期发挥作用，比特币的价格至少可以达到120,000美元。

If this fractal repeats, we're looking at at least 120k on BTC.

如果这种分形重复，我们在BTC上至少要查看120k。

The Stochastic RSI bullish cross has historically been followed by massive rallies (56% avg) in 3-5 months.

从历史上看，随机的RSI看涨十字架在3-5个月内进行了大规模集会（56％的AVG）。

Last time it crossed, BTC went on a 98% rally into the ATH.

上次越过它，BTC进入了ATH的98％集会。

Could we see another parabolic move by July/August? pic.twitter.com/7zVqNhw72p

我们能在7月/8月看到另一次抛物线措施吗？ pic.twitter.com/7zvqnhw72p

— Merijn The Trader (@MerijnCrypto) July 2, 2025

-2025年7月2日

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s bullish reversal outlook receives further cues from its 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA; the red wave in the chart above) at around $77,230.

同时，比特币的看涨逆转前景从其50周的指数移动平均线（50周EMA；上图中的红波）获得了进一步的线索，约为77,230美元。

The 50-week EMA wave has served as a strong accumulation zone for traders since October 2023.

自2023年10月以来，这场为期50周的EMA浪潮一直是交易者的强大积累区。

In case BTC’s price breaks decisively below the 50-week EMA, it could head toward the next support target at around the 200-week EMA (the blue wave), near $50,480, down approximately 40% from current prices.

如果BTC的价格果断地低于50周的EMA，它可能会朝着200周EMA（蓝波）左右的下一个支持目标迈进，接近50,480美元，比当前价格下降了约40％。

Bitcoin hedge funds are buying the dip

比特币对冲基金正在购买蘸酱

Another bullish sign comes from hedge fund accumulation during the ongoing price correction.

另一个看涨的标志来自对冲基金在持续的价格更正期间的积累。

Global crypto hedge funds are increasing their Bitcoin exposure, as seen in the latest rolling 20-day beta to BTC, which has shot up to a four-month high. This suggests that institutional investors are buying the dip, positioning themselves for potential upside.

正如最新的20天Beta播放到BTC中所示，全球加密对冲基金正在增加其比特币的曝光率，后者已经达到了四个月的高点。这表明机构投资者正在购买DIP，将自己定位为潜在的上升空间。

Global crypto hedge funds rolling 1-month beta to Bitcoin. Source: Glassnode/Bloomberg

Global Crypto Hedge基金将1个月的Beta滚动到比特币。资料来源：玻璃节/彭博

Beta measures how closely hedge fund returns track Bitcoin’s movements. When beta rises above 1.0, it indicates that the fund rises more than BTC’s price. Conversely, when the beta drops below 1.0, the fund moves less than Bitcoin.

Beta衡量对冲基金如何返回田径比特币的动作。当Beta上升到1.0以上时，这表明该基金上涨的价格高于BTC的价格。相反，当Beta降至1.0以下时，基金的移动少于比特币。

Related: Peak 'FUD' hints at $70K floor — 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

相关：高峰“ FUD”提示为$ 70K的楼层 - 本周在比特币中知道的5件事

The beta is now at a 4-month high, meaning hedge funds believe the recent Bitcoin dip is a buying opportunity and expect higher prices ahead, further supporting the $120,000 price outlook discussed above.

该测试版现在已经有4个月的高度，这意味着对冲基金认为，最近的比特币下降是一个购买机会，预计价格更高，进一步支持上面讨论的120,000美元的价格前景。

As Cointelegraph reported, the $120,000+ is becoming a popular target for summer 2025.

正如Cointelegraph所报道的那样，这笔$ 120,000+正成为2025年夏季的流行目标。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。