比特幣（BTC）隨機RSI印刷了一個看漲的十字架，其歷史上有急速籃板的歷史

隨機RSI基於價格變動相對於其在給定時期內的範圍進行穩定勢頭。這個經典指標在0到100之間運行

Bitcoin’s (BTC) stochastic RSI has printed a bullish cross with a history of preceding sharp price rebounds.

比特幣（BTC）隨機RSI印刷了一個看漲的十字架，其歷史上有急轉的籃板。

Stochastic RSI tracks momentum based on price movements relative to their range over a given period. This classic indicator operates between 0 and 100, with values above 80 considered overbought and below 20 deemed oversold.

隨機RSI基於價格變動相對於其在給定時期內的範圍進行穩定勢頭。這個經典指標在0到100之間運行，值高於80的值被認為是超買的，低於20的被視為超出售出。

BTC/USDT weekly price chart. Source: TradingView/Merjin The Trader

BTC/USDT每週價格表。資料來源：TradingView/Merjin交易者

A crossover of the blue %K line above the orange %D line from an oversold region technically suggests growing upward momentum.

從技術上來說，超出橙色％d線上的藍色％k線的跨越，從技術上講表明向上增長。

Another $120,000 BTC price target emerges

另外120,000美元的BTC價格目標還出現了

Historical fractals show that each time the weekly stochastic RSI made the bullish cross, Bitcoin underwent sharp price recoveries within three to five months. Its gains have averaged at around 56% during such rebounds, ̛including rallies that extended beyond the 90%-return mark.

歷史分形表明，每週一次的隨機RSI每次將Bullish Cross Cros置於三到五個月之內，比特幣都會進行急劇的價格回收率。在此類籃板中，它的收益平均約為56％，包括延伸超過90％返回的集會。

BTC/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USD每週價格圖表。資料來源：TradingView

That includes a roughly 90% rally from November 2022 lows, 92% gains in late 2023, and a staggering 98% move into Bitcoin’s recent all-time high of around $110,000 in January 2025.

這包括從2022年11月的低點開始大約90％的集會，2023年底的92％收益，以及2025年1月1月的Bitcoin最近有史以來110,000美元的歷史最高額度的驚人98％。

If history repeats, Bitcoin could see another parabolic rise by July or August, aligning with previous stochastic RSI bullish crosses that delivered outsized returns.

如果歷史重演，比特幣可能會在7月或8月看到另一個拋物線質量上升，與以前的隨機RSI看漲十字架保持一致，後者帶來了巨大的回報。

Market analyst Merjin the Trader says Bitcoin’s price can reach at least $120,000 if the Stochastic RSI fractal plays out as intended.

市場分析師Merjin The Trader表示，如果隨機RSI分形按預期發揮作用，比特幣的價格至少可以達到120,000美元。

If this fractal repeats, we're looking at at least 120k on BTC.

如果這種分形重複，我們在BTC上至少要查看120k。

The Stochastic RSI bullish cross has historically been followed by massive rallies (56% avg) in 3-5 months.

從歷史上看，隨機的RSI看漲十字架在3-5個月內進行了大規模集會（56％的AVG）。

Last time it crossed, BTC went on a 98% rally into the ATH.

上次越過它，BTC進入了ATH的98％集會。

Could we see another parabolic move by July/August? pic.twitter.com/7zVqNhw72p

我們能在7月/8月看到另一次拋物線措施嗎？ pic.twitter.com/7zvqnhw72p

— Merijn The Trader (@MerijnCrypto) July 2, 2025

-2025年7月2日

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s bullish reversal outlook receives further cues from its 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA; the red wave in the chart above) at around $77,230.

同時，比特幣的看漲逆轉前景從其50週的指數移動平均線（50週EMA；上圖中的紅波）獲得了進一步的線索，約為77,230美元。

The 50-week EMA wave has served as a strong accumulation zone for traders since October 2023.

自2023年10月以來，這場為期50週的EMA浪潮一直是交易者的強大積累區。

In case BTC’s price breaks decisively below the 50-week EMA, it could head toward the next support target at around the 200-week EMA (the blue wave), near $50,480, down approximately 40% from current prices.

如果BTC的價格果斷地低於50週的EMA，它可能會朝著200週EMA（藍波）左右的下一個支持目標邁進，接近50,480美元，比當前價格下降了約40％。

Bitcoin hedge funds are buying the dip

比特幣對沖基金正在購買蘸醬

Another bullish sign comes from hedge fund accumulation during the ongoing price correction.

另一個看漲的標誌來自對沖基金在持續的價格更正期間的積累。

Global crypto hedge funds are increasing their Bitcoin exposure, as seen in the latest rolling 20-day beta to BTC, which has shot up to a four-month high. This suggests that institutional investors are buying the dip, positioning themselves for potential upside.

正如最新的20天Beta播放到BTC中所示，全球加密對沖基金正在增加其比特幣的曝光率，後者已經達到了四個月的高點。這表明機構投資者正在購買DIP，將自己定位為潛在的上升空間。

Global crypto hedge funds rolling 1-month beta to Bitcoin. Source: Glassnode/Bloomberg

Global Crypto Hedge基金將1個月的Beta滾動到比特幣。資料來源：玻璃節/彭博

Beta measures how closely hedge fund returns track Bitcoin’s movements. When beta rises above 1.0, it indicates that the fund rises more than BTC’s price. Conversely, when the beta drops below 1.0, the fund moves less than Bitcoin.

Beta衡量對沖基金如何返回田徑比特幣的動作。當Beta上升到1.0以上時，這表明該基金上漲的價格高於BTC的價格。相反，當Beta降至1.0以下時，基金的移動少於比特幣。

Related: Peak 'FUD' hints at $70K floor — 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

相關：高峰“ FUD”提示為$ 70K的樓層 - 本週在比特幣中知道的5件事

The beta is now at a 4-month high, meaning hedge funds believe the recent Bitcoin dip is a buying opportunity and expect higher prices ahead, further supporting the $120,000 price outlook discussed above.

該測試版現在已經有4個月的高度，這意味著對沖基金認為，最近的比特幣下降是一個購買機會，預計價格更高，進一步支持上面討論的120,000美元的價格前景。

As Cointelegraph reported, the $120,000+ is becoming a popular target for summer 2025.

正如Cointelegraph所報導的那樣，這筆$ 120,000+正成為2025年夏季的流行目標。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。