比特币（BTC）显示了在降频道内结论其矫正波的迹象

比特币（BTC）显示出在下降通道内结论其矫正波的迹象。较高的时间范围表明波（4）的完成。

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of concluding its corrective wave and potentially starting a new five-wave structure in a higher time frame. The lower time frame, however, reveals a developing breakout attempt, which could either confirm a bullish reversal or lead to another leg lower before the next impulsive wave begins.

比特币（BTC）显示出结论其矫正波的迹象，并可能在较高的时间范围内开始新的五波结构。然而，较低的时间范围揭示了正在发展的突破尝试，这可以证实看涨的逆转，或者在下一个冲动浪潮开始之前导致另一只腿降低。

BTC is correcting in a descending channel after reaching a cycle high of $108,000, which completed wave (3). The price has bounced from the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $80,292, potentially indicating the end of wave (4).

BTC达到108,000美元的周期后，BTC正在降级通道中纠正，该循环完成了波浪（3）。价格从0.5的斐波那契回购弹起，价格为80,292美元，可能表明波（4）的结束。

Chart: BTC/USD

图表：BTC/USD

Typically, wave (4) corrections hold between 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels. In this case, the 0.382 Fib level is at $86,774, and the 0.5 Fib level is at $80,292. A break above 0.382 Fib could confirm the start of wave (5).

通常，波（4）校正在0.382和0.5斐波那契回缩水平之间保持。在这种情况下，0.382 FIB水平为86,774美元，0.5 FIB水平为80,292美元。超过0.382 FIB的断裂可以确认波的开始（5）。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still in neutral territory, showing that neither strong bullish nor bearish momentum has formed yet.

相对强度指数（RSI）仍处于中立领域，表明尚未形成强的看跌和看跌动量。

If BTC manages to close an hour candle above $86,774, it could confirm a shift in momentum, setting the stage for a final rally toward higher levels. The next resistance area is at the 0.236 Fib level of $94,795, which could be a stepping stone toward the all-time high zone of $107,760.

如果BTC设法将一个小时的蜡烛关闭在86,774美元以上，则可以确认动量的转变，为最终集会迈向更高的水平。下一个电阻区域为94,795美元的0.236 FIB水平，这可能是朝着107,760美元的历史高层区域的垫脚石。

However, if BTC fails to hold above $80,292, it could continue to fall to the 0.618 Fib level at $73,809 before the next bullish leg begins.

但是，如果BTC未能持有80,292美元以上，那么在下一个看涨腿开始之前，它可能会继续降至0.618 FIB水平，为73,809美元。

On the other hand, if BTC falls below $64,580, it would invalidate the bullish scenario. This level aligns with the 0.786 Fib retracement from the entire uptrend.

另一方面，如果BTC低于64,580美元，它将使看涨的情况无效。该级别与整个上升趋势的0.786 FIB回撤保持一致。

BTC is attempting to breakout from the descending channel in the 1-hour chart. If successful, it could form wave (i) of a new impulsive structure.

BTC试图从1小时图表中的降频道中分解。如果成功，它可能形成新的冲动结构的波（i）。

Chart: BTC/USD

图表：BTC/USD

However, BTC is currently testing resistance at the lower trendline of the channel, and a rejection could lead to another retracement (wave (ii)) before wave (iii) accelerates toward higher levels.

但是，BTC当前正在测试该通道较低趋势线的电阻，并且在波（III）之前的拒绝可能导致另一个回试（Wave（ii））加速到较高的水平。

For the bullish scenario to hold, BTC must break and close an hour candle above the 0.382 Fib level at $86,774, confirming a shift in momentum.

为了表现出现的情况，BTC必须打破并关闭一个小时以上的蜡烛，高于0.382 FIB水平，为86,774美元，这证实了动量的转变。

If wave (iii) extends, it could push toward the 0.236 Fib level at $94,795, with the next major target being the 0.1 Fib level at around $100,000.

如果Wave（III）延伸，它可能会以94,795美元的价格推向0.236 FIB水平，下一个主要目标是0.1 FIB水平，约为100,000美元。

But if BTC fails to maintain its breakout attempt, it could continue to fall to the 0.5 Fib level at $80,292, which is also the neckline of a potential head-and-shoulders pattern.

但是，如果BTC未能保持突破性尝试，则可能会继续以80,292美元的价格降至0.5 fib水平，这也是潜在的头和股模式的领口。

A sustained move below $80,292 would open the door for a deeper retracement to the 0.618 Fib level at $73,809, where another significant support level awaits.

低于$ 80,292的持续移动将为0.618 FIB水平的更深率开门，为73,809美元，另一个重要的支持水平正在等待。

On the other hand, a confirmed move above $94,795 would significantly strengthen the bullish outlook, setting the stage for a final wave (v) push toward the all-time high.

另一方面，确认的举动超过$ 94,795将大大增强看涨的前景，为最终浪潮（V）迈向历史最高水平。

If BTC manages to maintain its higher low structure and close an hour candle above $86,774, it could confirm the start of wave (5), positioning it for a new price discovery phase.

如果BTC设法保持其较高的低结构并在86,774美元以上关闭一个小时的蜡烛，则可以确认波（5）的开始，并将其定位为新的价格发现阶段。