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世界上最大的加密货币比特币(BTC)可以用作通货膨胀对冲
Bitcoin (BTC) could come to serve as an inflation hedge if President Donald Trump’s tariff-driven trade tensions erode the U.S. dollar’s global supremacy, analysis by crypto research firm Messari has claimed.
Crypto Research公司Messari声称,如果唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税贸易紧张局势侵蚀了美元的全球至高无上,比特币(BTC)可能会成为对冲的通胀对冲。
“Over time, we believe [tariffs] could lead to Bitcoin decoupling from U.S. equities,” said Dylan Bane, Enterprise Research Analyst at Messari. “It may increasingly be viewed not as a tech stock proxy or risk-on trade, but as a credible inflation hedge and long-term store of value.”
“随着时间的流逝,我们认为[关税]可能导致比特币与美国股票的取消,”梅萨里企业研究分析师迪伦·贝恩(Dylan Bane)说。 “越来越多地将其视为技术股票代理或风险贸易,而是可靠的通货膨胀对冲和长期价值存储。”
Although Messari expects Bitcoin to maintain its high correlation with the U.S. equity market in the near future, it forecasts a major shift in the long-term.
尽管梅萨里(Messari)预计比特币将在不久的将来与美国股票市场保持较高的关系,但它可以预测长期的重大转变。
“Continued tariffs will catalyze structural economic change, leading to a decoupling of Bitcoin from traditional assets as it gains recognition as an independent store of value,” Messari’s Bane said.
Messari's Bane说:“持续关税将催化结构性的经济变化,从而导致比特币与传统资产的脱钩,因为它获得了作为价值的独立商店的认可。”
Currently, investors view Bitcoin as closely tied to the S&P 500, with its correlation sometimes reaching more than 70%. “Most investors do not view Bitcoin as a truly independent store of value,” Bane said, adding that tariffs could serve as a catalyst for undermining the “U.S. dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency.”
目前,投资者认为比特币与标准普尔500指数紧密相关,其相关性有时达到70%以上。贝恩说:“大多数投资者都不认为比特币是真正独立的价值商店。”他补充说,关税可能是破坏“美元作为世界储备货币的作用”的催化剂。
Trump tariffs could finally turn Bitcoin into an inflation hedge
特朗普的关税终于可以将比特币变成通货膨胀对冲
Tokenized real estate opens up opportunity for everyone, says Altitude DP execs
Altitude DP高管说,令牌房地产为每个人打开了机会
Michael Saylor calls for $13 million BTC — Pantera CEO says $745K is ‘realistic’
迈克尔·塞勒(Michael Saylor)要求1300万美元的BTC - Pantera首席执行官说745K $ 745K是“现实的”
It’s a viewpoint increasingly echoed by financial leaders. Last month, Larry Fink, the CEO of the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, said that the U.S. dollar was in danger of ceding ground to Bitcoin. “If the U.S. doesn't get its debt under control, if deficits keep ballooning, America risks losing [its reserve status] position to digital assets like Bitcoin,” Fink said.
这是财务领导者越来越回应的观点。上个月,世界上最大的资产经理贝莱德(Blackrock)的首席执行官拉里·芬克(Larry Fink)表示,美元有可能将基地割让给比特币的危险。芬克说:“如果美国没有控制债务,如果赤字保持膨胀,美国有可能在像比特币这样的数字资产中失去[储备金]地位。”
The news comes amid mounting U.S. concerns over inflation, with the Federal Reserve chairman this week citing “high uncertainty" amid ongoing trade tensions. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell drew the ire of Trump on Thursday, after highlighting that his tariffs might exacerbate inflation and create an economic slowdown. “Powell’s termination cannot come fast enough!” Trump said on social media.
这一消息是在美国对通货膨胀的关注之中的出现,而美联储主席本周以持续的贸易紧张局势为“高度不确定性”。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)在周四强调他的关税可能加剧通货膨胀并造成经济放缓之后,引起了特朗普的愤怒。 “鲍威尔的终止不能足够快!”特朗普在社交媒体上说。
Amid these developments, Bitcoin analysts see opportunities for renewed interest in cryptocurrency, especially as an alternative to centralized and traditional monetary systems.
在这些发展中,比特币分析师看到了对加密货币的重新兴趣的机会,尤其是作为集中式和传统货币体系的替代方案。
“The broader economic uncertainty and institutional distrust that come... could also drive greater interest in crypto more broadly as financial infrastructure not reliant on any single government or monetary authority,” Bane said.
贝恩说:“随着金融基础设施不依赖任何单一的政府或货币当局,更广泛的经济不确定性和制度不信任也可能会更广泛地引起人们对加密货币的更大兴趣。”
Bitcoin is currently trading at a price around $84,000 after surpassing a new all-time high price of $109,000 this January.
比特币今年1月超过了109,000美元的新历史高价,目前以84,000美元的价格交易。
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