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比特币(BTC)一直在吸引人,但是经验丰富的商人彼得·布兰特(Peter Brandt)对其在十年结束之前超过20万美元的能力仍然令人怀疑。
Seasoned trader Peter Brandt has expressed doubts about Bitcoin's ability to reach $200,000 by the end of the decade, despite the cryptocurrency's recent rally. In his latest analysis, Brandt highlights technical challenges that could hinder Bitcoin's ascent to this ambitious valuation. However, he emphasizes that his observations are speculative in nature and not intended as trade recommendations.
经验丰富的商人彼得·布兰特(Peter Brandt)对比特币在十年末达到200,000美元的能力表示怀疑,尽管加密货币最近的集会。布兰特在他的最新分析中重点介绍了技术挑战,这可能会阻碍比特币的提升到这一雄心勃勃的估值。但是,他强调他的观察本质上是投机性的,而不是作为贸易建议。
Bitcoin trades at $96,789 at the time of Brandt's report, notching a modest 0.17% gain for the day but a 2.85% loss over the past week. As Bitcoin attempts to recover, it faces crucial resistance levels that need to be breached to sustain the bullish momentum towards the $200K projections.
比特币在布兰特报告时的交易价格为96,789美元,当天的收益率为0.17%,在过去一周中损失2.85%。随着比特币试图恢复的尝试,它面临着需要破坏的关键抵抗水平,以维持看涨的势头,以兑现200万美元的预测。
Brandt's analysis follows Bitcoin's price movements since 2012, revealing a long-term ascending channel defined by two crucial trendlines acting as resistance and support. Throughout its history, Bitcoin has experienced several parabolic surges, each followed by sharp corrections before the next bullish cycle.
布兰特的分析遵循比特币自2012年以来的价格变动,揭示了由两个至关重要的趋势线定义的长期上升渠道,这些渠道是阻力和支持。在其历史上,比特币经历了几次抛物线浪潮,随后在下一个看涨周期之前进行了锐利的校正。
At present, Bitcoin appears to be forming another parabolic rise similar to previous cycles. However, Brandt's chart raises a flag as Bitcoin approaches the upper channel resistance, a level that has historically preceded downturns.
目前,比特币似乎正在形成与以前的周期相似的另一个抛物线上升。但是,随着比特币接近上层通道阻力,勃兰特的图表升高了旗帜,这种水平在历史上一直在衰退之前。
Bitcoin encounters significant resistance around $97,633, marked by the 8-week moving average. Failure to trade above this level could amplify bearish pressure.
比特币遇到的明显阻力约为97,633美元,标志着8周的移动平均线。不超过此水平的交易可能会增加看跌压力。
Key technical indicators include:
关键技术指标包括:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): After a recent bullish divergence, the RSI is now approaching overbought territory, indicating a potential slowdown in the bullish momentum.
相对强度指数(RSI):在最近看涨的分歧之后,RSI现在正接近超买的领土,表明看涨的势头可能会放缓。
Stochastic oscillator: The oscillator is flattening out after forming a bullish crossover, suggesting a loss of directional momentum.
随机振荡器:形成看涨的跨界后,振荡器正在变平,表明方向动量损失。
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD): The MACD line remains above the signal line, forming a bullish histogram, although it's worth noting a recent bearish divergence.
移动平均收敛差异(MACD):MACD线保持在信号线上,形成了看涨的直方图,尽管值得注意的是最近的看跌差异。
If Bitcoin fails to trade above its upper resistance levels and maintain acceleration, historical trends suggest extended periods of consolidation or potential downturns.
如果比特币未能超过其高层阻力水平并保持加速度,则历史趋势表明延长了整合或潜在的衰退时期。
Bitcoin is now approaching a crucial resistance zone between $100K and $120K. Failure to break through this range may trigger a reversal, pushing prices lower. On the downside, Bitcoin has strong support between $60K and $70K, acting as a buffer against potential corrections. In an extreme scenario, the lower boundary of Bitcoin’s long-term channel, ranging from $40K to $50K, could be revisited.
比特币现在正在接近至关重要的抵抗区,在$ 10万美元至12万美元之间。未能突破这一范围可能会引发逆转,从而降低价格。不利的一面是,比特币在$ 60,000至7万美元之间的大力支持,可作为防止潜在更正的缓冲。在极端情况下,可以重新审视比特币长期渠道的下边界,范围从4万美元到5万美元不等。
Despite the bullish narrative surrounding Bitcoin's potential to reach $200K, the cryptocurrency faces formidable resistance levels. Brandt's skepticism is informed by historical trends and current technical indicators, suggesting that for Bitcoin to reach $200K, a significant increase in momentum and volume is necessary. Traders and investors should closely monitor these key levels to navigate market movements effectively.
尽管围绕比特币有可能达到20万美元的叙述,但加密货币仍面临着强大的阻力水平。勃兰特的怀疑是由历史趋势和当前的技术指标所告知的,这表明要使比特币达到200k美元,需要大幅提高动量和数量。贸易商和投资者应密切监视这些关键水平,以有效地导航市场运动。
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