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比特幣(BTC)一直在吸引人,但是經驗豐富的商人彼得·布蘭特(Peter Brandt)對其在十年結束之前超過20萬美元的能力仍然令人懷疑。
Seasoned trader Peter Brandt has expressed doubts about Bitcoin's ability to reach $200,000 by the end of the decade, despite the cryptocurrency's recent rally. In his latest analysis, Brandt highlights technical challenges that could hinder Bitcoin's ascent to this ambitious valuation. However, he emphasizes that his observations are speculative in nature and not intended as trade recommendations.
經驗豐富的商人彼得·布蘭特(Peter Brandt)對比特幣在十年末達到200,000美元的能力表示懷疑,儘管加密貨幣最近的集會。布蘭特在他的最新分析中重點介紹了技術挑戰,這可能會阻礙比特幣的提升到這一雄心勃勃的估值。但是,他強調他的觀察本質上是投機性的,而不是作為貿易建議。
Bitcoin trades at $96,789 at the time of Brandt's report, notching a modest 0.17% gain for the day but a 2.85% loss over the past week. As Bitcoin attempts to recover, it faces crucial resistance levels that need to be breached to sustain the bullish momentum towards the $200K projections.
比特幣在布蘭特報告時的交易價格為96,789美元,當天的收益率為0.17%,在過去一周中損失2.85%。隨著比特幣試圖恢復的嘗試,它面臨著需要破壞的關鍵抵抗水平,以維持看漲的勢頭,以兌現200萬美元的預測。
Brandt's analysis follows Bitcoin's price movements since 2012, revealing a long-term ascending channel defined by two crucial trendlines acting as resistance and support. Throughout its history, Bitcoin has experienced several parabolic surges, each followed by sharp corrections before the next bullish cycle.
布蘭特的分析遵循比特幣自2012年以來的價格變動,揭示了由兩個至關重要的趨勢線定義的長期上升渠道,這些渠道是阻力和支持。在其歷史上,比特幣經歷了幾次拋物線浪潮,隨後在下一個看漲週期之前進行了銳利的校正。
At present, Bitcoin appears to be forming another parabolic rise similar to previous cycles. However, Brandt's chart raises a flag as Bitcoin approaches the upper channel resistance, a level that has historically preceded downturns.
目前,比特幣似乎正在形成與以前的周期相似的另一個拋物線上升。但是,隨著比特幣接近上層通道阻力,勃蘭特的圖表升高了旗幟,這種水平在歷史上一直在衰退之前。
Bitcoin encounters significant resistance around $97,633, marked by the 8-week moving average. Failure to trade above this level could amplify bearish pressure.
比特幣遇到的明顯阻力約為97,633美元,標誌著8週的移動平均線。不超過此水平的交易可能會增加看跌壓力。
Key technical indicators include:
關鍵技術指標包括:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): After a recent bullish divergence, the RSI is now approaching overbought territory, indicating a potential slowdown in the bullish momentum.
相對強度指數(RSI):在最近看漲的分歧之後,RSI現在正接近超買的領土,表明看漲的勢頭可能會放緩。
Stochastic oscillator: The oscillator is flattening out after forming a bullish crossover, suggesting a loss of directional momentum.
隨機振盪器:形成看漲的跨界後,振盪器正在變平,表明方向動量損失。
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD): The MACD line remains above the signal line, forming a bullish histogram, although it's worth noting a recent bearish divergence.
移動平均收斂差異(MACD):MACD線保持在信號線上,形成了看漲的直方圖,儘管值得注意的是最近的看跌差異。
If Bitcoin fails to trade above its upper resistance levels and maintain acceleration, historical trends suggest extended periods of consolidation or potential downturns.
如果比特幣未能超過其高層阻力水平並保持加速度,則歷史趨勢表明延長了整合或潛在的衰退時期。
Bitcoin is now approaching a crucial resistance zone between $100K and $120K. Failure to break through this range may trigger a reversal, pushing prices lower. On the downside, Bitcoin has strong support between $60K and $70K, acting as a buffer against potential corrections. In an extreme scenario, the lower boundary of Bitcoin’s long-term channel, ranging from $40K to $50K, could be revisited.
比特幣現在正在接近至關重要的抵抗區,在$ 10萬美元至12萬美元之間。未能突破這一範圍可能會引發逆轉,從而降低價格。不利的一面是,比特幣在$ 60,000至7萬美元之間的大力支持,可緩衝潛在的更正。在極端情況下,可以重新審視比特幣長期渠道的下邊界,範圍從4萬美元到5萬美元不等。
Despite the bullish narrative surrounding Bitcoin's potential to reach $200K, the cryptocurrency faces formidable resistance levels. Brandt's skepticism is informed by historical trends and current technical indicators, suggesting that for Bitcoin to reach $200K, a significant increase in momentum and volume is necessary. Traders and investors should closely monitor these key levels to navigate market movements effectively.
儘管圍繞比特幣有可能達到20萬美元的敘述,但加密貨幣仍面臨著強大的阻力水平。勃蘭特的懷疑是由歷史趨勢和當前的技術指標所告知的,這表明要使比特幣達到200k美元,需要大幅提高動量和數量。貿易商和投資者應密切監視這些關鍵水平,以有效地導航市場運動。
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