Michaëlvan de poppe说

加密市场充满了混合信号。但是，对于著名的交易员和分析师MichaëlVande Poppe而言，通往清晰的途径很简单：密切观看比特币（BTC），因为下一个Altcoin季节直到比特币超过80,000美元才开始。

Renowned trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe is closely monitoring Bitcoin (BTC) for a crucial signal that could spark the next Altcoin Season. According to Van de Poppe, the crypto market is now at a critical juncture.

著名的交易员和分析师MichaëlVande Poppe正在密切监视比特币（BTC）的关键信号，该信号可能会引发下一个Altcoin赛季。根据范德波普（Van de Poppe）的说法，加密货币市场现在处于关键时刻。

While many investors remain confused amid global economic uncertainty, Van de Poppe insists that the charts tell a clearer story than the headlines.

尽管在全球经济不确定性的情况下，许多投资者仍然感到困惑，但范德·波普（Van de Poppe）坚持认为，图表比头条新闻更清晰。

Macro Factors Could Push Bitcoin Higher

宏因素可能会将比特币提高

The macro environment is setting the stage for a major crypto breakout, with the conclusion of gold’s ongoing bullish run, potential quantitative easing (QE) from central banks, a weakening U.S. dollar, and lower oil prices all pushing risk assets like Bitcoin higher.

宏观环境正在为重大加密突破奠定基础，并结束了黄金正在进行的看涨奔跑，中央银行的潜在量化宽松（QE），美元疲软以及较低的石油价格都提高了诸如比特币之类的风险资产。

suggesting that if these economic factors unfold as anticipated, could surge to new all-time highs.

表明，如果这些经济因素按预期展开，可能会迅速升至新的高潮。

"I stretch the point again. It's very hard to cut out the noise, that's why the charts will always tell the real story,"

“我再次伸出了重点。很难削减噪音，这就是为什么图表总是讲述真实故事的原因。”

"– Gold is getting towards the end of its current run.

“ - 黄金正朝着目前的运行结束。

– QE is about to start as the bond markets are cracking.

- 随着债券市场的破裂，量化宽松即将开始。

– A deal or bounce up for the Yuan will weaken the dollar.

- 元人民币的交易或反弹将削弱美元。

– Oil prices are going lower."

- 石油价格下降。”

Bitcoin Must Reclaim $85K Resistance First

比特币必须首先收回$ 85K抵抗

However, Van de Poppe believes that Bitcoin must first reclaim the $85,000 resistance level before Ethereum ($ETH) and the rest of the altcoin market can follow.

但是，范德·波普（Van de Poppe）认为，比特币必须首先在以太坊（$ eth）之前首先收回85,000美元的阻力水平，而替代山币市场的其余部分则可以接下来。

His argument is straightforward: Confidence returns to the crypto space when Bitcoin gains strength. This confidence will initially elevate Bitcoin, then Ethereum, and ultimately the broader altcoin market.

他的论点很简单：当比特币获得力量时，信心返回加密货币空间。最初，这种信心将提升比特币，然后是以太坊，最终会提升更广泛的山寨币市场。

According to Bitcoin is currently trading around $83,381, showing a slight recovery after a steep decline from its recent highs of over $100,000. The daily technical analysis summary from TradingView paints a mixed picture for Bitcoin. Oscillators remain mostly neutral while moving averages still indicate a bearish tendency.

根据比特币的说法，目前的交易额约为83,381美元，在其最近的高价超过100,000美元的高度下降后，略有恢复。 TradingView的每日技术分析摘要绘制了比特币的混合图片。振荡器在移动平均时仍保持中性，仍然表明看跌趋势。

However, the latest tweet from Van de Poppe shows a strong bullish divergence on Bitcoin’s price chart. He suggests that the $80,000 level was key support and provided a solid bounce upwards.

但是，Van de Poppe的最新推文在比特币的价格表上表现出强烈的看涨分歧。他建议，80,000美元的水平是关键支持，并提供了稳固的反弹。

This confirmation opens the door for Bitcoin (BTC) to push towards $85,000 and potentially beyond, noted the trader.

交易员指出，这一确认为比特币（BTC）朝85,000美元的售价打开了大门。

He added that Bitcoin could quickly accelerate towards that target within the coming week if a deal is struck on the macroeconomic front — possibly related to central bank intervention or a bounce in the Yuan against the dollar.

他补充说，如果在宏观经济方面达成协议，比特币可以在接下来的一周内迅速加速到该目标，这可能与中央银行的干预或元人民币弹跳有关。

"Either way, BTC is going to massively continue the rally afterwards and we might see a $150K-$200K price range get realized in the first half of 2024."

“无论哪种方式，BTC之后都将大量继续进行集会，我们可能会看到2024年上半年实现了15万美元至20万美元的价格范围。”

After Bitcoin, Ethereum to Take Over

在比特币之后，以太坊接管

The trader, known for his bold predictions in the crypto market, also drew attention to Ethereum’s current situation, particularly its performance against Bitcoin.

这位以他在加密市场上的大胆预测而闻名的商人也引起了以太坊当前状况的关注，尤其是对比特币的表现。

In another tweet, he shared the $ETH/$BTC chart on the weekly timeframe, highlighting that Ethereum has now hit its lowest Relative Strength Index (RSI) level since its existence.

在另一条推文中，他在每周的时间范围内分享了$ ETH/$ BTC图表，强调以太坊现在已经达到了其存在以来的最低相对强度指数（RSI）水平。

This exceptionally low RSI indicates that Ethereum is significantly oversold in comparison to Bitcoin, signaling that a trend reversal may be near.

与比特币相比，这种异常低的RSI表明以太坊明显超售，这表明趋势逆转可能接近。

"_The $ETH / $BTC chart, weekly timeframe, has hit its lowest RSI level since existence.

“ _ $ eth / $ btc图表，每周的时间范围，自存在以来已经达到了其最低的RSI水平。

That's how overextended the current price action, sentiment & valuation are."_

这就是当前价格行动，情感和估值的过度扩张。” _

However, according to Van de Poppe, the trigger for the Ethereum price recovery will only come after Bitcoin completes its next leg up.

但是，根据范德波普（Van de Poppe）的说法，只有在比特币完成下一条腿之后，以太坊价格恢复的触发因素才会出现。

"The interesting part is that this will only get sold after Bitcoin completes its next leg up and we're seeing a stabilization or consolidation for BTC at a higher price range."

“有趣的是，只有在比特币完成下一条腿之后才能出售，我们看到BTC的稳定或巩固在更高的价格范围内。”

Ethereum has struggled in recent months, trading well below its highs. The ETH/BTC ratio has declined sharply, reflecting Bitcoin’s dominance in the current market cycle.

以太坊近几个月来一直在挣扎，交易远低于其最高点。 ETH/BTC的比率急剧下降，反映了比特币在当前市场周期中的主导地位。

This scenario aligns with Van de Poppe’s thesis — Bitcoin must lead the rally. Once it stabilizes or consolidates after a breakout, capital will rotate into Ethereum and then flow into smaller altcoins. This sequence has historically played out in crypto bull markets.output:

这种情况与Van de Poppe的论文相吻合 - 比特币必须领导集会。一旦突破后稳定或巩固，资本将旋转到以太坊，然后流入较小的山寨币。从历史上看，这个序列在加密牛市中发挥了作用。