Michaëlvan de poppe說

加密市場充滿了混合信號。但是，對於著名的交易員和分析師MichaëlVande Poppe而言，通往清晰的途徑很簡單：密切觀看比特幣（BTC），因為下一個Altcoin季節直到比特幣超過80,000美元才開始。

Renowned trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe is closely monitoring Bitcoin (BTC) for a crucial signal that could spark the next Altcoin Season. According to Van de Poppe, the crypto market is now at a critical juncture.

著名的交易員和分析師MichaëlVande Poppe正在密切監視比特幣（BTC）的關鍵信號，該信號可能會引發下一個Altcoin賽季。根據范德波普（Van de Poppe）的說法，加密貨幣市場現在處於關鍵時刻。

While many investors remain confused amid global economic uncertainty, Van de Poppe insists that the charts tell a clearer story than the headlines.

儘管在全球經濟不確定性的情況下，許多投資者仍然感到困惑，但范德·波普（Van de Poppe）堅持認為，圖表比頭條新聞更清晰。

Macro Factors Could Push Bitcoin Higher

宏因素可能會將比特幣提高

The macro environment is setting the stage for a major crypto breakout, with the conclusion of gold’s ongoing bullish run, potential quantitative easing (QE) from central banks, a weakening U.S. dollar, and lower oil prices all pushing risk assets like Bitcoin higher.

宏觀環境正在為重大加密突破奠定基礎，並結束了黃金正在進行的看漲奔跑，中央銀行的潛在量化寬鬆（QE），美元疲軟以及較低的石油價格都提高了諸如比特幣之類的風險資產。

suggesting that if these economic factors unfold as anticipated, could surge to new all-time highs.

表明，如果這些經濟因素按預期展開，可能會迅速升至新的高潮。

"I stretch the point again. It's very hard to cut out the noise, that's why the charts will always tell the real story,"

“我再次伸出了重點。很難削減噪音，這就是為什麼圖表總是講述真實故事的原因。”

"– Gold is getting towards the end of its current run.

“ - 黃金正朝著目前的運行結束。

– QE is about to start as the bond markets are cracking.

- 隨著債券市場的破裂，量化寬鬆即將開始。

– A deal or bounce up for the Yuan will weaken the dollar.

- 元人民幣的交易或反彈將削弱美元。

– Oil prices are going lower."

- 石油價格下降。 ”

Bitcoin Must Reclaim $85K Resistance First

比特幣必須首先收回$ 85K抵抗

However, Van de Poppe believes that Bitcoin must first reclaim the $85,000 resistance level before Ethereum ($ETH) and the rest of the altcoin market can follow.

但是，范德·波普（Van de Poppe）認為，比特幣必須首先在以太坊（$ eth）之前首先收回85,000美元的阻力水平，而替代山幣市場的其餘部分則可以接下來。

His argument is straightforward: Confidence returns to the crypto space when Bitcoin gains strength. This confidence will initially elevate Bitcoin, then Ethereum, and ultimately the broader altcoin market.

他的論點很簡單：當比特幣獲得力量時，信心返回加密貨幣空間。最初，這種信心將提升比特幣，然後是以太坊，最終會提升更廣泛的山寨幣市場。

According to Bitcoin is currently trading around $83,381, showing a slight recovery after a steep decline from its recent highs of over $100,000. The daily technical analysis summary from TradingView paints a mixed picture for Bitcoin. Oscillators remain mostly neutral while moving averages still indicate a bearish tendency.

根據比特幣的說法，目前的交易額約為83,381美元，在其最近的高價超過100,000美元的高度下降後，略有恢復。 TradingView的每日技術分析摘要繪製了比特幣的混合圖片。振盪器在移動平均時仍保持中性，仍然表明看跌趨勢。

However, the latest tweet from Van de Poppe shows a strong bullish divergence on Bitcoin’s price chart. He suggests that the $80,000 level was key support and provided a solid bounce upwards.

但是，Van de Poppe的最新推文在比特幣的價格表上表現出強烈的看漲分歧。他建議，80,000美元的水平是關鍵支持，並提供了穩固的反彈。

This confirmation opens the door for Bitcoin (BTC) to push towards $85,000 and potentially beyond, noted the trader.

交易員指出，這一確認為比特幣（BTC）朝85,000美元的售價打開了大門。

He added that Bitcoin could quickly accelerate towards that target within the coming week if a deal is struck on the macroeconomic front — possibly related to central bank intervention or a bounce in the Yuan against the dollar.

他補充說，如果在宏觀經濟方面達成協議，比特幣可以在接下來的一周內迅速加速到該目標，這可能與中央銀行的干預或元人民幣彈跳有關。

"Either way, BTC is going to massively continue the rally afterwards and we might see a $150K-$200K price range get realized in the first half of 2024."

“無論哪種方式，BTC之後都將大量繼續進行集會，我們可能會看到2024年上半年實現了15萬美元至20萬美元的價格範圍。”

After Bitcoin, Ethereum to Take Over

在比特幣之後，以太坊接管

The trader, known for his bold predictions in the crypto market, also drew attention to Ethereum’s current situation, particularly its performance against Bitcoin.

這位以他在加密市場上的大膽預測而聞名的商人也引起了以太坊當前狀況的關注，尤其是對比特幣的表現。

In another tweet, he shared the $ETH/$BTC chart on the weekly timeframe, highlighting that Ethereum has now hit its lowest Relative Strength Index (RSI) level since its existence.

在另一條推文中，他在每週的時間範圍內分享了$ ETH/$ BTC圖表，強調以太坊現在已經達到了其存在以來的最低相對強度指數（RSI）水平。

This exceptionally low RSI indicates that Ethereum is significantly oversold in comparison to Bitcoin, signaling that a trend reversal may be near.

與比特幣相比，這種異常低的RSI表明以太坊明顯超售，這表明趨勢逆轉可能接近。

"_The $ETH / $BTC chart, weekly timeframe, has hit its lowest RSI level since existence.

“ _ $ eth / $ btc圖表，每週的時間範圍，自存在以來已經達到了其最低的RSI水平。

That's how overextended the current price action, sentiment & valuation are."_

這就是當前價格行動，情感和估值的過度擴張。 ” _

However, according to Van de Poppe, the trigger for the Ethereum price recovery will only come after Bitcoin completes its next leg up.

但是，根據范德波普（Van de Poppe）的說法，只有在比特幣完成下一條腿之後，以太坊價格恢復的觸發因素才會出現。

"The interesting part is that this will only get sold after Bitcoin completes its next leg up and we're seeing a stabilization or consolidation for BTC at a higher price range."

“有趣的是，只有在比特幣完成下一條腿之後才能出售，我們看到BTC的穩定或鞏固在更高的價格範圍內。”

Ethereum has struggled in recent months, trading well below its highs. The ETH/BTC ratio has declined sharply, reflecting Bitcoin’s dominance in the current market cycle.

以太坊近幾個月來一直在掙扎，交易遠低於其最高點。 ETH/BTC的比率急劇下降，反映了比特幣在當前市場週期中的主導地位。

This scenario aligns with Van de Poppe’s thesis — Bitcoin must lead the rally. Once it stabilizes or consolidates after a breakout, capital will rotate into Ethereum and then flow into smaller altcoins. This sequence has historically played out in crypto bull markets.output:

這種情況與Van de Poppe的論文相吻合 - 比特幣必須領導集會。一旦突破後穩定或鞏固，資本將旋轉到以太坊，然後流入較小的山寨幣。從歷史上看，這個序列在加密牛市中發揮了作用。