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此次降息是自四年多前 COVID-19 大流行扰乱全球经济以来的首次降息。
Bitcoin (BTC) price experienced significant volatility following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to slash borrowing rates for the first time in four years.
在美联储决定四年来首次大幅削减借贷利率后,比特币(BTC)价格经历了大幅波动。
The move, announced on Sept. 18, saw the Fed cut its benchmark federal funds rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5%, a decision that was largely anticipated by the market.
9月18日,美联储宣布将基准联邦基金利率下调50个基点至4.75%-5%,这一决定在市场很大程度上已预料到。
However, the magnitude of the rate cut and its impact on various asset classes surprised many traders.
然而,降息的幅度及其对各种资产类别的影响令许多交易者感到惊讶。
Bitcoin price rises after Fed rate cut
美联储降息后比特币价格上涨
The Fed’s decision to implement a 50 basis point reduction was met with mixed reactions from the crypto community.
美联储实施降息 50 个基点的决定引起了加密货币社区的不同反应。
While many analysts believed that the interest rate reductions were already factored into the pricing of riskier assets like bitcoin, figures like Arthur Hayes argued that such moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve could ultimately harm the market.
尽管许多分析师认为降息已被纳入比特币等风险较高资产的定价中,但阿瑟·海耶斯等人士认为,美联储的此类举措最终可能会损害市场。
Before the official announcement, Bitcoin had already climbed from $57,600 to $60,000. Following the Fed’s decision, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, with its price fluctuating up and down several times in the hours immediately after the announcement.
在官方宣布之前,比特币已经从 57,600 美元攀升至 60,000 美元。美联储决定发布后,比特币经历了大幅波动,价格在宣布后的几个小时内多次上下波动。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) has settled down and is trading at $61,969, up 2.8% according to data from crypto.news. The crypto asset’s daily trading volume had increased by 17%, hovering around $48.2 billion, while its market cap stood at $1.22 trillion.
根据 crypto.news 的数据,截至撰写本文时,比特币 (BTC) 已经稳定下来,交易价格为 61,969 美元,上涨 2.8%。该加密资产的日交易量增长了 17%,徘徊在 482 亿美元左右,而其市值为 1.22 万亿美元。
Liquidations have surged to $200 million daily, with the majority coming from short positions. Bitcoin is at the forefront with $75 million in liquidated positions, followed by Ethereum with $35 million.
每日清算额激增至 2 亿美元,其中大部分来自空头头寸。比特币以 7500 万美元的清算头寸位居榜首,其次是以太坊,为 3500 万美元。
According to Alternative data, the Bitcoin fear and greed index has now moved from fear to neutral.
根据Alternative数据,比特币恐惧和贪婪指数现已从恐惧转向中性。
The Fed’s decision follows signals from Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium last month, where he hinted at the need for a policy shift amid cooling inflation and rising unemployment.
美联储做出这一决定之前,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在上个月的杰克逊霍尔研讨会上发出了信号,他在会上暗示,在通胀降温和失业率上升的情况下需要进行政策转变。
Market sentiment ahead of Wednesday’s decision was split. Traders were divided on whether the Fed would deliver a 25 bps or a more substantial 50 bps cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market had priced in a 40% chance of a smaller cut and a 60% probability of the larger 50 bps reduction, which ultimately materialized.
周三决定之前的市场情绪存在分歧。交易员对于美联储是否会降息 25 个基点还是更大幅降息 50 个基点存在分歧。根据 CME FedWatch 工具,市场已消化了 40% 的可能性进行较小幅度的降息,以及 60% 的可能性进行较大程度的 50 个基点降息,最终实现了这一点。
The rate cut also spurred heightened volatility in the precious metals market, with gold prices initially surging from $2,550 per ounce to a record high of $2,600, before dipping back to $2,545 and finally settling at $2,567.
降息还加剧了贵金属市场的波动,金价最初从每盎司2,550美元飙升至2,600美元的历史新高,然后回落至2,545美元,最终稳定在2,567美元。
Similarly, the U.S. stock market initially saw gains but later experienced slight declines. The S&P 500 began the day at 5,641, peaked near 5,680, but ultimately closed at 5,618. The Nasdaq Composite followed a comparable pattern, opening at 17,663, climbing above 17,800, and finishing at 17,573. The Dow Jones Industrial Average saw less fluctuation yet still concluded the day with a small loss.
同样,美国股市先是上涨,但随后出现小幅下跌。标准普尔 500 指数当天开盘价为 5,641 点,最高点接近 5,680 点,但最终收于 5,618 点。纳斯达克综合指数也遵循类似的模式,开盘价为 17,663 点,随后攀升至 17,800 点之上,最终收于 17,573 点。道琼斯工业平均指数波动较小,但仍以小幅下跌收盘。
While it may be premature to draw broad conclusions, the initial 12-hour period post-rate cut suggests that riskier assets, like cryptocurrencies, have initially benefited from the Fed’s decision. However, only time will reveal if this will prove to be a positive trend or if Hayes’s longer-term pessimistic forecast holds true.
虽然现在得出广泛的结论可能还为时过早,但降息后最初的 12 小时表明,加密货币等风险较高的资产最初已从美联储的决定中受益。然而,只有时间才能证明这是否会被证明是一个积极的趋势,或者海耶斯的长期悲观预测是否成立。
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