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此次降息是自四年多前 COVID-19 大流行擾亂全球經濟以來的首次降息。
Bitcoin (BTC) price experienced significant volatility following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to slash borrowing rates for the first time in four years.
在聯準會決定四年來首次大幅削減借貸利率後,比特幣(BTC)價格經歷了大幅波動。
The move, announced on Sept. 18, saw the Fed cut its benchmark federal funds rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5%, a decision that was largely anticipated by the market.
聯準會於9月18日宣布,將基準聯邦基金利率下調50個基點至4.75%-5%,這項決定在市場很大程度上已預料到。
However, the magnitude of the rate cut and its impact on various asset classes surprised many traders.
然而,降息的幅度及其對各種資產類別的影響令許多交易者感到驚訝。
Bitcoin price rises after Fed rate cut
聯準會降息後比特幣價格上漲
The Fed’s decision to implement a 50 basis point reduction was met with mixed reactions from the crypto community.
聯準會實施降息 50 個基點的決定引起了加密貨幣社群的不同反應。
While many analysts believed that the interest rate reductions were already factored into the pricing of riskier assets like bitcoin, figures like Arthur Hayes argued that such moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve could ultimately harm the market.
儘管許多分析師認為降息已被納入比特幣等風險較高資產的定價中,但阿瑟·海耶斯等人士認為,聯準會的此類舉措最終可能會損害市場。
Before the official announcement, Bitcoin had already climbed from $57,600 to $60,000. Following the Fed’s decision, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, with its price fluctuating up and down several times in the hours immediately after the announcement.
在官方宣布之前,比特幣已經從 57,600 美元攀升至 60,000 美元。聯準會決定發布後,比特幣經歷了大幅波動,價格在宣布後的幾個小時內多次上下波動。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) has settled down and is trading at $61,969, up 2.8% according to data from crypto.news. The crypto asset’s daily trading volume had increased by 17%, hovering around $48.2 billion, while its market cap stood at $1.22 trillion.
根據 crypto.news 的數據,截至撰寫本文時,比特幣 (BTC) 已經穩定下來,交易價格為 61,969 美元,上漲 2.8%。該加密資產的每日交易量增加了 17%,徘徊在 482 億美元左右,而其市值為 1.22 兆美元。
Liquidations have surged to $200 million daily, with the majority coming from short positions. Bitcoin is at the forefront with $75 million in liquidated positions, followed by Ethereum with $35 million.
每日清算額激增至 2 億美元,其中大部分來自空頭部位。比特幣以 7,500 萬美元的清算部位位居榜首,其次是以太坊,為 3,500 萬美元。
According to Alternative data, the Bitcoin fear and greed index has now moved from fear to neutral.
根據Alternative數據,比特幣恐懼和貪婪指數現在已從恐懼轉向中性。
The Fed’s decision follows signals from Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium last month, where he hinted at the need for a policy shift amid cooling inflation and rising unemployment.
在聯準會做出這項決定之前,聯準會主席鮑威爾在上個月的傑克遜霍爾研討會上發出了信號,他在會上暗示,在通膨降溫和失業率上升的情況下需要進行政策轉變。
Market sentiment ahead of Wednesday’s decision was split. Traders were divided on whether the Fed would deliver a 25 bps or a more substantial 50 bps cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market had priced in a 40% chance of a smaller cut and a 60% probability of the larger 50 bps reduction, which ultimately materialized.
週三決定之前的市場情緒存在分歧。交易員對於聯準會是否會降息 25 個基點還是更大幅降息 50 個基點存在分歧。根據 CME FedWatch 工具,市場已消化了 40% 的可能性進行較小幅度的降息,以及 60% 的可能性進行較大程度的 50 個基點降息,最終實現了這一點。
The rate cut also spurred heightened volatility in the precious metals market, with gold prices initially surging from $2,550 per ounce to a record high of $2,600, before dipping back to $2,545 and finally settling at $2,567.
降息也加劇了貴金屬市場的波動,金價最初從每盎司2,550美元飆升至2,600美元的歷史新高,然後回落至2,545美元,最終穩定在2,567美元。
Similarly, the U.S. stock market initially saw gains but later experienced slight declines. The S&P 500 began the day at 5,641, peaked near 5,680, but ultimately closed at 5,618. The Nasdaq Composite followed a comparable pattern, opening at 17,663, climbing above 17,800, and finishing at 17,573. The Dow Jones Industrial Average saw less fluctuation yet still concluded the day with a small loss.
同樣,美國股市先是上漲,但隨後出現小幅下跌。標普 500 指數當天開盤價為 5,641 點,最高點接近 5,680 點,但最終收在 5,618 點。那斯達克指數也遵循類似的模式,開盤價為 17,663 點,隨後攀升至 17,800 點之上,最終收在 17,573 點。道瓊工業平均指數波動較小,但仍以小幅下跌收盤。
While it may be premature to draw broad conclusions, the initial 12-hour period post-rate cut suggests that riskier assets, like cryptocurrencies, have initially benefited from the Fed’s decision. However, only time will reveal if this will prove to be a positive trend or if Hayes’s longer-term pessimistic forecast holds true.
雖然現在得出廣泛的結論可能還為時過早,但降息後最初的 12 小時表明,加密貨幣等風險較高的資產最初已從聯準會的決定中受益。然而,只有時間才能證明這是否會被證明是一個積極的趨勢,或者海耶斯的長期悲觀預測是否成立。
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