這個比特幣指標看起來「非常」像 2016 年，這就是為什麼 3 月不是 BTC 價格週期頂部的原因

加密貨幣分析師 CryptoCon 分享了對比特幣價格趨勢的見解，挑戰了 2024 年 3 月標誌著其周期頂峰的觀點。

Crypto analyst CryptoCon shared his thoughts on Bitcoin’s price movements, arguing against the idea that March 2024 marked the peak of its cycle.

加密貨幣分析師 CryptoCon 分享了他對比特幣價格走勢的看法，反對 2024 年 3 月標誌著其周期頂峰的觀點。

According to his analysis, the event was a “power move” rather than the cycle top, suggesting that BTC still has room to grow.

根據他的分析，該事件是一次“權力波動”，而不是周期頂部，表明 BTC 仍有成長空間。

The technical indicators, specifically the Monthly Fisher Transform, support this outlook, drawing comparisons to Bitcoin’s market behavior in 2016.

技術指標，特別是每月費雪變換，支持了這一前景，並與 2016 年比特幣的市場行為進行了比較。

March 2024’s ‘Power Move’ and Halving Cycles

2024 年 3 月的「權力轉移」與減半週期

CryptoCon’s tweet introduces the concept of a “power move” within Bitcoin cycles, highlighting that these mid-cycle spikes are notable but not final. The chart by Crypto Con outlines past Bitcoin halving events, which typically occur every four years, decreasing the mining rewards and influencing the cryptocurrency’s price trajectory.

CryptoCon 的推文引入了比特幣週期內「權力轉移」的概念，強調這些週期中期的峰值是值得注意的，但不是最終的。 Crypto Con 的圖表概述了過去的比特幣減半事件，這些事件通常每四年發生一次，從而減少了挖礦獎勵並影響了加密貨幣的價格軌跡。

March 2024 was not a #Bitcoin cycle top, it was what I like to call a "power move". All cycles have them, and they are completely different from the first and final cycle top which is still on the horizon.

2024 年 3 月並不是 #Bitcoin 週期的頂峰，而是我所說的「權力舉動」。所有周期都有它們，而且它們與仍然在地平線上的第一個和最後一個週期頂部完全不同。

The Monthly Fisher Transform shows us that now is very much like 2016… pic.twitter.com/X2JuEB5ajA

每月費雪轉換向我們展示了現在非常像 2016 年… pic.twitter.com/X2JuEB5ajA

These halving cycles are represented by color-coded sine waves in CryptoCon’s analysis, marking each period between halvings. The analyst points out that while March 2024 saw a considerable price rise, it mirrors similar movements in 2016 and earlier cycles.

在 CryptoCon 的分析中，這些減半週期由顏色編碼的正弦波表示，標記了減半之間的每個週期。該分析師指出，雖然 2024 年 3 月價格大幅上漲，但它反映了 2016 年及之前週期的類似走勢。

These moments, dubbed “mid-cycle power moves,” occurred in June 2011, June 2016, and June 2019, and were followed by more substantial growth leading to the actual cycle peak.

這些被稱為「週期中期動力變動」的時刻發生在 2011 年 6 月、2016 年 6 月和 2019 年 6 月，隨後出現更大幅度的增長，導致實際的週期高峰。

Monthly Fisher Transform and 2025 Projections

每月費雪變換和 2025 年預測

The Monthly Fisher Transform indicator plays a key role in CryptoCon’s outlook, helping to identify market reversals. This technical tool shows oscillating lines that track false crossovers, which can mislead investors about a market’s turning point.

每月費雪變換指標在 CryptoCon 的前景中發揮關鍵作用，有助於識別市場逆轉。該技術工具顯示追蹤虛假交叉的振盪線，這可能會誤導投資者關於市場轉折點的資訊。

According to CryptoCon, the market conditions in 2024 closely resemble those in 2016, when a mid-cycle power move occurred but did not mark the cycle’s final peak.

據 CryptoCon 稱，2024 年的市場狀況與 2016 年非常相似，當時出現了周期中期的電力變動，但並未標誌著該週期的最終高峰。

Looking ahead, CryptoCon anticipates the first and final cycle top between October and December 2025. The chart projects this peak based on past cycle trends, indicating that Bitcoin’s highest price point in this cycle has yet to be reached.

展望未來，CryptoCon 預計2025 年10 月至12 月之間將出現第一個也是最後一個週期頂部。 。

Doge2014 raises 500K in days celebrating Dogecoin. Make potentially big profits and get in on exclusive airdrop!

Doge2014 在慶祝狗狗幣的幾天內籌集了 50 萬美元。賺取潛在的巨額利潤並獲得獨家空投！

Read also: SEI Price Explodes, But Will SEI Mirror SUI and Solana’s Runs?

另請閱讀：SEI 價格爆炸，但 SEI 會效仿 SUI 和 Solana 的趨勢嗎？

Optimistic Outlook for Bitcoin’s Bull Market

比特幣牛市前景樂觀

CryptoCon’s analysis aligns with the belief that March 2024 was not Bitcoin’s final high but a precursor to a more substantial bull market ahead. His comparison of current market conditions to 2016 strengthens this view, suggesting that the real bull run is still to come.

CryptoCon 的分析與這樣的信念一致：2024 年 3 月不是比特幣的最終高點，而是未來更大規模牛市的前兆。他將當前市場狀況與 2016 年進行的比較強化了這一觀點，表明真正的牛市尚未到來。

While March 24 witnessed a “power move,” CryptoCon emphasizes that higher prices are expected before Bitcoin’s cycle top is reached, leaving room for further growth in the coming years.

雖然 3 月 24 日見證了“權力變動”，但 CryptoCon 強調，在比特幣達到週期頂部之前，預計價格將會上漲，從而為未來幾年的進一步增長留下空間。

Follow us on X (Twitter), CoinMarketCap and Binance Square for more daily crypto updates.

在 X (Twitter)、CoinMarketCap 和 Binance Square 上關注我們，以了解更多每日加密貨幣更新。

Get all our future calls by joining our FREE Telegram group.

加入我們的免費 Telegram 群組即可接聽我們未來的所有電話。