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随着历史模式、市场动态和强有力的机构支持的共同作用,比特币在 11 月达到新 ATH 的可能性似乎越来越大。
As Bitcoin (BTC) approaches a potential bullish market phase, trading at approximately $66,000, investors are eagerly awaiting new all-time highs (ATHs) in the fourth quarter of 2024. Several key market signals are hinting at the possibility of significant upward momentum on the horizon.
随着比特币 (BTC) 接近潜在的牛市阶段(交易价格约为 66,000 美元),投资者热切等待 2024 年第四季度创下新的历史高点 (ATH)。几个关键的市场信号暗示比特币可能出现显着的上涨势头。地平线。
One of the primary indicators garnering attention is the 2-week Ichimoku Cloud, a tool renowned for its ability to predict significant price movements in the crypto market. Historically, this indicator has accurately forecasted Bitcoin’s ATHs in previous cycles.
引起关注的主要指标之一是为期 2 周的 Ichimoku Cloud,该工具以其预测加密货币市场重大价格变动的能力而闻名。从历史上看,该指标准确地预测了比特币在之前周期中的 ATH。
With the current market cycle progressing ahead of expectations, analysts believe that there’s no need to wait for moving averages to cross. Instead, the leading spans of the Ichimoku Cloud suggest a new high may materialize as early as November.
由于当前市场周期的进展超出预期,分析师认为没有必要等待移动平均线交叉。相反,一目均衡图的领先跨度表明新高最早可能在 11 月出现。
The Ichimoku Cloud provides a comprehensive view of market trends and potential support and resistance levels. When the price is consistently above the cloud, it typically signals bullish momentum. Currently, BTC’s position above the Ichimoku Cloud indicates a strong upward trend, reinforcing the notion that it may soon reach new heights.
Ichimoku 云提供了市场趋势以及潜在支撑位和阻力位的全面视图。当价格持续高于云端时,通常预示着看涨势头。目前,比特币位于一目均衡图上方的位置表明了强劲的上升趋势,强化了比特币可能很快达到新高的观点。
Support for the idea of a November rally is bolstered by the recent repetition of patterns observed in Bitcoin’s historical data. Notably, the Gaussian Channel on the 3-day BTC chart has turned red, a phenomenon that has only occurred twice before: during the Covid-19 crash and in the second phase of Bitcoin’s prior bull run.
最近在比特币历史数据中观察到的模式的重复增强了对 11 月反弹想法的支持。值得注意的是,3 天 BTC 图表上的高斯通道已经变成红色,这种现象之前只发生过两次:在 Covid-19 崩盘期间和比特币之前牛市的第二阶段。
When this pattern last emerged during the pandemic, it triggered a substantial rally that ultimately led to new ATHs. If history is any guide, we might be on the brink of a significant price surge.
当这种模式上次在大流行期间出现时,它引发了大幅反弹,最终导致了新的 ATH。如果以史为鉴,我们可能正处于价格大幅上涨的边缘。
Moreover, the timing of these signals coincides with the traditional end-of-year bullish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. Investors often look to capitalize on year-end gains, creating additional upward pressure on prices as trading volumes increase. This seasonality could amplify any momentum generated by the Ichimoku Cloud and historical patterns.
此外,这些信号的出现时机与加密货币市场传统的年底看涨情绪相吻合。投资者往往希望利用年终收益,随着交易量的增加,对价格造成额外的上行压力。这种季节性可能会放大一目均衡表云和历史模式产生的任何动力。
Another factor influencing Bitcoin’s potential ascent is the behavior surrounding borrowed USDT (Tether). Traders have been aggressively borrowing USDT to invest in Bitcoin, which initially led to a decline in price due to over-leveraged positions. However, this shake-up often precedes a major upward movement.
影响比特币潜在上涨的另一个因素是围绕借用 USDT(Tether)的行为。交易员一直在积极借用 USDT 来投资比特币,最初由于杠杆过高而导致价格下跌。然而,这种变动往往先于重大的上升走势。
As retail traders are liquidated and shaken out, the stage could be set for Bitcoin to recover and climb to new highs. This pattern of liquidation creates an opportunity for institutional investors and long-term holders to accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices. Historically, this has led to significant rebounds in price once the liquidations have run their course, establishing a strong base for future rallies.
随着散户交易者被清算并被淘汰,比特币可能会复苏并攀升至新高。这种清算模式为机构投资者和长期持有者以较低的价格积累比特币创造了机会。从历史上看,一旦清算结束,这就会导致价格大幅反弹,为未来的反弹奠定坚实的基础。
Additionally, the current wave of borrowing USDT suggests that retail interest in Bitcoin remains robust, even amidst short-term price fluctuations.
此外,当前借入 USDT 的浪潮表明,即使在短期价格波动的情况下,散户对比特币的兴趣仍然强劲。
The ongoing accumulation of Bitcoin by institutional players, particularly BlackRock, adds further weight to the bullish sentiment. Just this past week, BlackRock purchased 4,460 BTC worth $289 million, bringing their total Bitcoin holdings to over 362,000 BTC.
机构投资者(尤其是贝莱德)持续积累比特币,进一步增强了看涨情绪。就在上周,贝莱德购买了 4,460 个比特币,价值 2.89 亿美元,使其持有的比特币总数超过 362,000 个比特币。
This trend continued with additional purchases of 1,434 BTC and 5,894 BTC, totaling approximately 363,626 BTC valued at around $23.68 billion. BlackRock’s sustained investment in Bitcoin suggests a strong belief in its potential price appreciation, possibly in the near term.
这一趋势继续持续,额外购买了 1,434 BTC 和 5,894 BTC,总计约 363,626 BTC,价值约 236.8 亿美元。贝莱德对比特币的持续投资表明对其潜在价格升值(可能在短期内)的坚定信念。
The involvement of institutional investors like BlackRock also lends credibility to Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. Their participation encourages more traditional investors to enter the market, potentially leading to further price increases. As more institutions adopt Bitcoin into their portfolios, the narrative surrounding it shifts from speculative to mainstream, attracting a broader audience of investors.
贝莱德等机构投资者的参与也增强了比特币作为合法资产类别的可信度。他们的参与鼓励更多传统投资者进入市场,可能导致价格进一步上涨。随着越来越多的机构将比特币纳入其投资组合,围绕它的叙述从投机转向主流,吸引了更广泛的投资者。
The regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is also evolving, with discussions around Bitcoin ETFs gaining traction. Should the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approve a Bitcoin ETF, it could open the floodgates for institutional investment, pushing Bitcoin’s price even higher.
围绕加密货币的监管环境也在不断变化,围绕比特币 ETF 的讨论越来越受欢迎。如果美国证券交易委员会(SEC)批准比特币 ETF,可能会为机构投资打开大门,从而推高比特币的价格。
Additionally, as more countries begin to recognize Bitcoin as a valid form of payment and store of value, the overall acceptance of Bitcoin increases. This growing legitimacy helps to stabilize the market and attract long-term investors, who are less likely to panic during market downturns.
此外,随着越来越多的国家开始承认比特币是一种有效的支付方式和价值储存手段,比特币的整体接受度也在增加。这种日益增长的合法性有助于稳定市场并吸引长期投资者,他们在市场低迷期间不太可能感到恐慌。
With historical patterns, market dynamics, and strong institutional backing all converging, the possibility of Bitcoin reaching new ATHs in November appears increasingly likely. As traders and investors keep a close eye on market developments, the combination of the Ichimoku Cloud indicator, the Gaussian Channel’s signal, and BlackRock’s significant purchases create a robust foundation for a potential bullish run.
随着历史模式、市场动态和强有力的机构支持的共同作用,比特币在 11 月达到新 ATH 的可能性似乎越来越大。随着交易者和投资者密切关注市场发展,一目均衡表云指标、高斯通道信号以及贝莱德的大量购买的结合为潜在的看涨奠定了坚实的基础。
If these factors align effectively, Bitcoin may not only achieve new highs but also solidify its position in higher price ranges as 2024 progresses. With a growing community of both retail and institutional investors, Bitcoin’s journey toward new all-time highs may be just beginning.
如果这些因素有效结合,随着 2024 年的进展,比特币不仅可能创下新高,而且还会巩固其在更高价格区间的地位。随着散户和机构投资者群体的不断壮大,比特币迈向历史新高的旅程可能才刚刚开始。
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