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隨著歷史模式、市場動態和強大的機構支持的共同作用,比特幣在 11 月達到新 ATH 的可能性似乎越來越大。
As Bitcoin (BTC) approaches a potential bullish market phase, trading at approximately $66,000, investors are eagerly awaiting new all-time highs (ATHs) in the fourth quarter of 2024. Several key market signals are hinting at the possibility of significant upward momentum on the horizon.
隨著比特幣(BTC) 接近潛在的多頭階段(交易價格約為66,000 美元),投資者熱切等待2024 年第四季創下新的歷史高點(ATH)。出現顯著的上漲勢頭。
One of the primary indicators garnering attention is the 2-week Ichimoku Cloud, a tool renowned for its ability to predict significant price movements in the crypto market. Historically, this indicator has accurately forecasted Bitcoin’s ATHs in previous cycles.
引起關注的主要指標之一是為期 2 週的 Ichimoku Cloud,該工具以其預測加密貨幣市場重大價格變動的能力而聞名。從歷史上看,該指標準確地預測了比特幣在之前週期中的 ATH。
With the current market cycle progressing ahead of expectations, analysts believe that there’s no need to wait for moving averages to cross. Instead, the leading spans of the Ichimoku Cloud suggest a new high may materialize as early as November.
由於目前市場週期的進展超出預期,分析師認為沒有必要等待移動平均線交叉。相反,一目均衡圖的領先跨度表明新高最早可能在 11 月出現。
The Ichimoku Cloud provides a comprehensive view of market trends and potential support and resistance levels. When the price is consistently above the cloud, it typically signals bullish momentum. Currently, BTC’s position above the Ichimoku Cloud indicates a strong upward trend, reinforcing the notion that it may soon reach new heights.
Ichimoku 雲提供了市場趨勢以及潛在支撐位和阻力位的全面視圖。當價格持續高於雲端時,通常預示著看漲勢頭。目前,比特幣位於一目均衡圖上方的位置顯示了強勁的上升趨勢,強化了比特幣可能很快就會達到新高的觀點。
Support for the idea of a November rally is bolstered by the recent repetition of patterns observed in Bitcoin’s historical data. Notably, the Gaussian Channel on the 3-day BTC chart has turned red, a phenomenon that has only occurred twice before: during the Covid-19 crash and in the second phase of Bitcoin’s prior bull run.
最近在比特幣歷史數據中觀察到的模式的重複增強了對 11 月反彈想法的支持。值得注意的是,3 天 BTC 圖表上的高斯通道已經變成紅色,這種現象之前只發生過兩次:在 Covid-19 崩盤期間和比特幣之前牛市的第二階段。
When this pattern last emerged during the pandemic, it triggered a substantial rally that ultimately led to new ATHs. If history is any guide, we might be on the brink of a significant price surge.
當這種模式上次在疫情期間出現時,它引發了大幅反彈,最終導致了新的 ATH。如果以史為鑑,我們可能正處於價格大幅上漲的邊緣。
Moreover, the timing of these signals coincides with the traditional end-of-year bullish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. Investors often look to capitalize on year-end gains, creating additional upward pressure on prices as trading volumes increase. This seasonality could amplify any momentum generated by the Ichimoku Cloud and historical patterns.
此外,這些訊號的出現時機與加密貨幣市場傳統的年底看漲情緒相吻合。投資人往往希望利用年終收益,隨著交易量的增加,對價格造成額外的上行壓力。這種季節性可能會放大一目均衡表雲和歷史模式產生的任何動力。
Another factor influencing Bitcoin’s potential ascent is the behavior surrounding borrowed USDT (Tether). Traders have been aggressively borrowing USDT to invest in Bitcoin, which initially led to a decline in price due to over-leveraged positions. However, this shake-up often precedes a major upward movement.
影響比特幣潛在上漲的另一個因素是圍繞著借用 USDT(Tether)的行為。交易員一直在積極借用 USDT 來投資比特幣,最初由於槓桿過高而導致價格下跌。然而,這種變動往往先於重大的上升走勢。
As retail traders are liquidated and shaken out, the stage could be set for Bitcoin to recover and climb to new highs. This pattern of liquidation creates an opportunity for institutional investors and long-term holders to accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices. Historically, this has led to significant rebounds in price once the liquidations have run their course, establishing a strong base for future rallies.
隨著散戶交易者被清算並被淘汰,比特幣可能會復甦並攀升至新高。這種清算模式為機構投資者和長期持有者以較低的價格累積比特幣創造了機會。從歷史上看,一旦清算結束,這就會導致價格大幅反彈,為未來的反彈奠定堅實的基礎。
Additionally, the current wave of borrowing USDT suggests that retail interest in Bitcoin remains robust, even amidst short-term price fluctuations.
此外,目前借入 USDT 的浪潮表明,即使在短期價格波動的情況下,散戶對比特幣的興趣仍然強勁。
The ongoing accumulation of Bitcoin by institutional players, particularly BlackRock, adds further weight to the bullish sentiment. Just this past week, BlackRock purchased 4,460 BTC worth $289 million, bringing their total Bitcoin holdings to over 362,000 BTC.
機構投資者(尤其是貝萊德)持續累積比特幣,進一步增強了看漲情緒。就在上週,貝萊德購買了 4,460 個比特幣,價值 2.89 億美元,使其持有的比特幣總數超過 362,000 個比特幣。
This trend continued with additional purchases of 1,434 BTC and 5,894 BTC, totaling approximately 363,626 BTC valued at around $23.68 billion. BlackRock’s sustained investment in Bitcoin suggests a strong belief in its potential price appreciation, possibly in the near term.
這一趨勢繼續持續,額外購買了 1,434 BTC 和 5,894 BTC,總計約 363,626 BTC,價值約 236.8 億美元。貝萊德對比特幣的持續投資表明其堅信其價格可能在短期內升值。
The involvement of institutional investors like BlackRock also lends credibility to Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. Their participation encourages more traditional investors to enter the market, potentially leading to further price increases. As more institutions adopt Bitcoin into their portfolios, the narrative surrounding it shifts from speculative to mainstream, attracting a broader audience of investors.
貝萊德等機構投資者的參與也增強了比特幣作為合法資產類別的可信度。他們的參與鼓勵更多傳統投資者進入市場,可能導致價格進一步上漲。隨著越來越多的機構將比特幣納入其投資組合,圍繞它的敘事從投機轉向主流,吸引了更廣泛的投資者。
The regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is also evolving, with discussions around Bitcoin ETFs gaining traction. Should the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approve a Bitcoin ETF, it could open the floodgates for institutional investment, pushing Bitcoin’s price even higher.
圍繞加密貨幣的監管環境也在不斷變化,圍繞比特幣 ETF 的討論越來越受歡迎。如果美國證券交易委員會(SEC)批准比特幣 ETF,可能會為機構投資打開大門,從而推高比特幣的價格。
Additionally, as more countries begin to recognize Bitcoin as a valid form of payment and store of value, the overall acceptance of Bitcoin increases. This growing legitimacy helps to stabilize the market and attract long-term investors, who are less likely to panic during market downturns.
此外,隨著越來越多的國家開始承認比特幣是一種有效的支付方式和價值儲存手段,比特幣的整體接受度也在增加。這種日益增長的合法性有助於穩定市場並吸引長期投資者,他們在市場低迷期間不太可能感到恐慌。
With historical patterns, market dynamics, and strong institutional backing all converging, the possibility of Bitcoin reaching new ATHs in November appears increasingly likely. As traders and investors keep a close eye on market developments, the combination of the Ichimoku Cloud indicator, the Gaussian Channel’s signal, and BlackRock’s significant purchases create a robust foundation for a potential bullish run.
隨著歷史模式、市場動態和強大的機構支持的共同作用,比特幣在 11 月達到新 ATH 的可能性似乎越來越大。隨著交易者和投資者密切關注市場發展,一目均衡表雲指標、高斯通道訊號以及貝萊德的大量購買的結合為潛在的看漲奠定了堅實的基礎。
If these factors align effectively, Bitcoin may not only achieve new highs but also solidify its position in higher price ranges as 2024 progresses. With a growing community of both retail and institutional investors, Bitcoin’s journey toward new all-time highs may be just beginning.
如果這些因素有效結合,隨著 2024 年的進展,比特幣不僅可能創下新高,還會鞏固其在更高價格區間的地位。隨著散戶和機構投資者群體的不斷壯大,比特幣邁向歷史新高的旅程可能才剛開始。
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