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链上分析平台 CryptoQuant 的分析师 Axel Adler Jr 根据关键指标揭示了比特币短期内出现更大反弹的潜力。
Bitcoin price analysis for September 22 reveals a promising uptick in the world’s largest cryptocurrency’s value. After suffering losses in August, BTC has shown a strong recovery, surging by nearly 10% in the past two weeks alone.
9 月 22 日的比特币价格分析显示,世界上最大的加密货币的价值有望上涨。在经历了 8 月份的损失之后,BTC 表现出了强劲的复苏,仅过去两周就飙升了近 10%。
After registering a 24-hour high of $66,000 earlier today, Bitcoin has seen a slight retracement and is currently trading at $63,508, showing a 0.58% decrease in the past 24 hours.
在今天早些时候创下 66,000 美元的 24 小时高点后,比特币出现了小幅回调,目前交易价格为 63,508 美元,过去 24 小时内下跌了 0.58%。
However, despite this minor setback, the asset’s seven-day performance remains in the green, with a 7.34% gain. BTC’s total market cap now stands at $1.21 trillion, while its 24-hour trading volume has also seen a significant increase, reaching $36.88 billion.
然而,尽管出现了这一小幅挫折,该资产的 7 天表现仍然保持绿色,涨幅为 7.34%。目前,BTC总市值达到1.21万亿美元,24小时交易量也大幅增长,达到368.8亿美元。
Bitcoin’s price performance has attracted the attention of several analysts, including Axel Adler Jr, an analyst at the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant.
比特币的价格表现吸引了多位分析师的关注,其中包括链上分析平台 CryptoQuant 的分析师 Axel Adler Jr。
Adler Jr has highlighted the potential for Bitcoin to see a bigger rally soon, based on key indicators.
阿德勒强调,根据关键指标,比特币很快就有更大反弹的潜力。
Bitcoin’s key indicator pointing to a bigger rally
比特币的关键指标预示着更大的反弹
Adler Jr’s analysis focuses on a significant shift observed in Bitcoin’s market activity, which appears to be gearing the crypto market up for a bullish momentum.
Adler Jr 的分析重点是比特币市场活动中观察到的重大转变,这似乎正在为加密货币市场的看涨势头做好准备。
One of the focal points of Adler’s analysis is the “Exchange Flow Multiple,” which plays a crucial role in understanding the movement of Bitcoin on exchanges.
阿德勒分析的重点之一是“交易流量倍数”,它对于理解比特币在交易所的走势起着至关重要的作用。
This indicator measures the ratio between short-term (30-day) and long-term (365-day) Bitcoin inflows and outflows on exchanges. When this multiple declines, short-term exchange movements are considerably lower than long-term ones, which could point to decreased volatility.
该指标衡量交易所短期(30 天)和长期(365 天)比特币流入和流出之间的比率。当这种倍数下跌时,短期汇率波动远低于长期汇率波动,这可能表明波动性下降。
Adler Jr elaborates on this by highlighting two primary factors that influence the decline of Bitcoin Exchange Flow Multiple.
Adler Jr 对此进行了阐述,强调了影响比特币交易流量倍数下降的两个主要因素。
The CryptoQuant analyst mentioned Long-Term Holders Retaining Assets as the first factor. Also referred to as “HODLers,” long-term Bitcoin holders, when not actively trading their assets, prefer to hold onto them with the expectation of future price increases, which can lead to a decline in exchange flow multiple.
CryptoQuant 分析师提到,长期持有者保留资产是第一个因素。也称为“HODLers”,长期比特币持有者在不积极交易其资产时,更愿意持有比特币并期望未来价格上涨,这可能导致交易流量倍数下降。
The analyst also draws attention to the natural market correction and recovery process. The market typically needs time to stabilize after significant drops in Bitcoin’s price, and this stabilization period reduces exchange activity as investors wait for a clearer price direction. Adler Jr noted that a low exchange flow multiple in such contexts might reflect a “wait-and-see” attitude among investors, anticipating a favorable price shift before they re-enter the market actively.
分析师还提请注意市场的自然调整和复苏过程。在比特币价格大幅下跌后,市场通常需要时间稳定下来,而随着投资者等待更明确的价格方向,这个稳定期会减少交易活动。 Adler Jr 指出,在这种情况下,较低的交易流量倍数可能反映出投资者的“观望”态度,他们预计在积极重新进入市场之前会出现有利的价格变化。
Drawing parallels to 2023’s bull market
与 2023 年的牛市相似
Adler Jr’s analysis further indicates that the current behavior of the Exchange Flow Multiple resembles patterns seen before previous rallies. Notably, similar low levels of the indicator were observed before the major market uptrend in 2023.
Adler Jr 的分析进一步表明,当前交易流量倍数的行为类似于之前反弹之前的模式。值得注意的是,在 2023 年主要市场上升趋势之前,该指标也出现过类似的低水平。
Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks $66,000, But Analyst Warns Against Fresh Longs—Here’s Why
相关阅读:比特币突破 66,000 美元,但分析师警告不要新做多——原因如下
The CryptoQuant analyst disclosed that if history were to repeat itself, the current situation might set the stage for the next significant upward movement in Bitcoin’s price.
这位 CryptoQuant 分析师透露,如果历史重演,目前的情况可能会为比特币价格的下一次大幅上涨奠定基础。
Bitcoin’s price analysis: Conclusion
比特币价格分析:结论
Bitcoin’s price has shown promising resilience after recovering from August’s losses. Key indicators, such as the Exchange Flow Multiple, suggest that the upcoming period could bring a bigger rally for BTC.
从八月份的损失中恢复过来后,比特币的价格表现出了良好的弹性。交易流量倍数等关键指标表明,未来一段时间可能会给比特币带来更大的反弹。
However, it remains crucial to monitor the broader market dynamics and macroeconomic factors to fully gauge the direction of Bitcoin’s price in the coming weeks.
然而,监控更广泛的市场动态和宏观经济因素以充分判断未来几周比特币价格的走向仍然至关重要。
Disclaimer: The above� mentioned analysis is based on a recent observation and is not financial advice. Traders and investors should always conduct their own research before making any high-risk venture.
免责声明:上述分析基于最近的观察,并非财务建议。交易者和投资者在进行任何高风险投资之前应始终进行自己的研究。
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