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鏈上分析平台 CryptoQuant 的分析師 Axel Adler Jr 根據關鍵指標揭示了比特幣短期內更大反彈的潛力。
Bitcoin price analysis for September 22 reveals a promising uptick in the world’s largest cryptocurrency’s value. After suffering losses in August, BTC has shown a strong recovery, surging by nearly 10% in the past two weeks alone.
9 月 22 日的比特幣價格分析顯示,世界上最大的加密貨幣的價值有望上漲。在經歷了 8 月的損失之後,BTC 表現出了強勁的復甦,光是過去兩週就飆升了近 10%。
After registering a 24-hour high of $66,000 earlier today, Bitcoin has seen a slight retracement and is currently trading at $63,508, showing a 0.58% decrease in the past 24 hours.
在今天早些時候創下 66,000 美元的 24 小時高點後,比特幣出現了小幅回調,目前交易價格為 63,508 美元,過去 24 小時內下跌了 0.58%。
However, despite this minor setback, the asset’s seven-day performance remains in the green, with a 7.34% gain. BTC’s total market cap now stands at $1.21 trillion, while its 24-hour trading volume has also seen a significant increase, reaching $36.88 billion.
然而,儘管出現了這一小幅挫折,但該資產的 7 天表現仍保持綠色,漲幅為 7.34%。目前,BTC總市值達到1.21兆美元,24小時交易量也大幅成長,達368.8億美元。
Bitcoin’s price performance has attracted the attention of several analysts, including Axel Adler Jr, an analyst at the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant.
比特幣的價格表現吸引了多位分析師的關注,其中包括鏈上分析平台 CryptoQuant 的分析師 Axel Adler Jr。
Adler Jr has highlighted the potential for Bitcoin to see a bigger rally soon, based on key indicators.
阿德勒強調,根據關鍵指標,比特幣很快就有更大反彈的潛力。
Bitcoin’s key indicator pointing to a bigger rally
比特幣的關鍵指標預示著更大的反彈
Adler Jr’s analysis focuses on a significant shift observed in Bitcoin’s market activity, which appears to be gearing the crypto market up for a bullish momentum.
Adler Jr 的分析重點是比特幣市場活動中觀察到的重大轉變,這似乎正在為加密貨幣市場的看漲勢頭做好準備。
One of the focal points of Adler’s analysis is the “Exchange Flow Multiple,” which plays a crucial role in understanding the movement of Bitcoin on exchanges.
阿德勒分析的重點之一是“交易流量倍數”,它對於理解比特幣在交易所的走勢起著至關重要的作用。
This indicator measures the ratio between short-term (30-day) and long-term (365-day) Bitcoin inflows and outflows on exchanges. When this multiple declines, short-term exchange movements are considerably lower than long-term ones, which could point to decreased volatility.
此指標衡量交易所短期(30 天)和長期(365 天)比特幣流入和流出之間的比率。當這種倍數下跌時,短期匯率波動遠低於長期匯率波動,這可能表示波動性下降。
Adler Jr elaborates on this by highlighting two primary factors that influence the decline of Bitcoin Exchange Flow Multiple.
Adler Jr 對此進行了闡述,強調了影響比特幣交易流量倍數下降的兩個主要因素。
The CryptoQuant analyst mentioned Long-Term Holders Retaining Assets as the first factor. Also referred to as “HODLers,” long-term Bitcoin holders, when not actively trading their assets, prefer to hold onto them with the expectation of future price increases, which can lead to a decline in exchange flow multiple.
CryptoQuant 分析師提到,長期持有者保留資產是第一個因素。也稱為“HODLers”,長期比特幣持有者在不積極交易其資產時,更願意持有比特幣並期望未來價格上漲,這可能導致交易流量倍數下降。
The analyst also draws attention to the natural market correction and recovery process. The market typically needs time to stabilize after significant drops in Bitcoin’s price, and this stabilization period reduces exchange activity as investors wait for a clearer price direction. Adler Jr noted that a low exchange flow multiple in such contexts might reflect a “wait-and-see” attitude among investors, anticipating a favorable price shift before they re-enter the market actively.
分析師也提請注意市場的自然調整和復甦過程。在比特幣價格大幅下跌後,市場通常需要時間穩定下來,而隨著投資者等待更明確的價格方向,這個穩定期會減少交易活動。 Adler Jr 指出,在這種情況下,較低的交易流量倍數可能反映出投資者的「觀望」態度,他們預計在積極重新進入市場之前會出現有利的價格變化。
Drawing parallels to 2023’s bull market
與 2023 年的多頭市場相似
Adler Jr’s analysis further indicates that the current behavior of the Exchange Flow Multiple resembles patterns seen before previous rallies. Notably, similar low levels of the indicator were observed before the major market uptrend in 2023.
Adler Jr 的分析進一步表明,目前交易流量倍數的行為類似於先前反彈之前的模式。值得注意的是,在 2023 年主要市場上升趨勢之前,該指標也曾出現過類似的低水準。
Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks $66,000, But Analyst Warns Against Fresh Longs—Here’s Why
相關閱讀:比特幣突破 66,000 美元,但分析師警告不要新做多——原因如下
The CryptoQuant analyst disclosed that if history were to repeat itself, the current situation might set the stage for the next significant upward movement in Bitcoin’s price.
這位 CryptoQuant 分析師透露,如果歷史重演,目前的情況可能會為比特幣價格的下一次大幅上漲奠定基礎。
Bitcoin’s price analysis: Conclusion
比特幣價格分析:結論
Bitcoin’s price has shown promising resilience after recovering from August’s losses. Key indicators, such as the Exchange Flow Multiple, suggest that the upcoming period could bring a bigger rally for BTC.
從八月份的損失中恢復過來後,比特幣的價格表現出了良好的彈性。交易流量倍數等關鍵指標表明,未來一段時間可能會為比特幣帶來更大的反彈。
However, it remains crucial to monitor the broader market dynamics and macroeconomic factors to fully gauge the direction of Bitcoin’s price in the coming weeks.
然而,監控更廣泛的市場動態和宏觀經濟因素以充分判斷未來幾週比特幣價格的走向仍然至關重要。
Disclaimer: The above� mentioned analysis is based on a recent observation and is not financial advice. Traders and investors should always conduct their own research before making any high-risk venture.
免責聲明:上述分析是基於最近的觀察,並非財務建議。交易者和投資者在進行任何高風險投資之前應始終進行自己的研究。
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