比特币（BTC）价格轨迹仍然看涨，月度随机指标显示上涨势头

过去四个星期，比特币价格一直难以突破 10 万美元大关，主要在 9 万美元到 10 万美元之间波动。

Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) failure to decisively break above the $100,000 threshold over the past four weeks has largely seen the cryptocurrency trade within the $90,000 to $100,000 range. This correction and lackluster price action have caused a degree of bearish sentiment among traders, with some speculating that Bitcoin might have already reached its peak for the current cycle.

比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）在过去四个星期内未能果断突破 100,000 美元的门槛，很大程度上导致加密货币交易在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元的范围内。这种调整和低迷的价格走势引起了交易者一定程度的看跌情绪，一些人猜测比特币可能已经达到了当前周期的峰值。

However, some bullish proponents are still noting that Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains bullish as technical indicators continue to signal upward momentum. Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino highlighted a key observation on social media platform X, focusing on Bitcoin’s monthly stochastic indicator to suggest that Bitcoin’s bullish momentum is far from exhausted.

然而，一些看涨支持者仍然指出，由于技术指标继续显示出上涨势头，比特币的价格轨迹仍然看涨。加密货币分析师 Tony “The Bull” Severino 强调了社交媒体平台 X 上的一个关键观察，重点关注比特币的月度随机指标，表明比特币的看涨势头远未耗尽。

Monthly Stochastic Above 80 Signals Strong MomentumBitcoin’s waning bullish sentiment has continued into the last 24 hours, with the Crypto Fear And Greed Index now pointing to "Neutral" sentiment among crypto market participants. Nevertheless, this shortfall of greed/bullish sentiment may not necessarily translate to a looming downturn in the Bitcoin price, according to technical analysis.

月度随机指标高于 80 信号强劲势头比特币看涨情绪的减弱一直持续到过去 24 小时，加密货币恐惧和贪婪指数现在表明加密货币市场参与者的情绪为“中性”。然而，根据技术分析，这种贪婪/看涨情绪的不足可能不一定会转化为比特币价格迫在眉睫的下跌。

Crypto analyst Tony Severino pointed out that Bitcoin’s monthly stochastic oscillator, which is a tool used to measure market momentum, is still above the 80 level for bullish momentum. This indicates strong upward momentum, as the stochastic staying above this threshold historically aligns with significant price rallies.

加密货币分析师 Tony Severino 指出，比特币的月度随机震荡指标（用于衡量市场动能的工具）仍高于 80 的看涨动能水平。这表明强劲的上涨势头，因为历史上随机指标保持在这一阈值之上与价格的大幅上涨一致。

Interestingly, history shows that Bitcoin’s hold above this 80 level on the stochastic oscillator has always led to the continuation of the price rally. This trend is evident in the 2017, 2820, and January 2024 bull rallies, where Bitcoin bounced upwards multiple times on the 80 level and went on substantial upward moves each time. As such, the current ability to sustain this level shows that Bitcoin’s uptrend is still on track even after recent market fluctuations.

有趣的是，历史表明，比特币在随机震荡指标上保持在 80 水平之上总是会导致价格持续上涨。这种趋势在 2017 年、2820 年和 2024 年 1 月的牛市中很明显，比特币在 80 水平上多次反弹，并且每次都大幅上涨。因此，目前维持这一水平的能力表明，即使在最近的市场波动之后，比特币的上涨趋势仍然处于正轨。

Doji Candlestick Patterns Supports Bitcoin Price ContinuationAnother key observation from Severino’s analysis is the repeated occurrence of doji candlesticks in the Bitcoin price chart during its defense of the 80 level on the stochastic indicator. The 2017, 2020, and 2024 retests were highlighted by the formation of a doji candle during this period. Notably, these doji candles were formed over the monthly candlestick timeframe, revealing that the indecision dragged on for a few weeks, much like the current price action.

十字烛台模式支持比特币价格延续 Severino 分析中的另一个关键观察结果是，在比特币价格图表中随机指标守卫 80 水平期间，十字星烛台反复出现。 2017 年、2020 年和 2024 年的重新测试因在此期间十字星蜡烛的形成而突出。值得注意的是，这些十字星蜡烛是在每月烛台时间范围内形成的，表明犹豫不决持续了几周，就像当前的价格走势一样。

As it stands, Bitcoin’s price action between the $90,000 and $100,000 levels has led to the emergence of a doji on the monthly timeframe to complement the outlook of a price bounce on the stochastic indicator. The indecision reflected in this doji candlestick suggests that Bitcoin has yet to make a definitive move, with the options being either a significant breakout above $100,000 or a downturn below $90,000.

目前来看，比特币在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元水平之间的价格走势导致月度时间框架上出现十字星，以补充随机指标价格反弹的前景。该十字星烛台反映出的犹豫不决表明，比特币尚未做出明确的举动，要么大幅突破 100,000 美元，要么下跌至 90,000 美元以下。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $97,000 and is up by 2% in a 24-hour timeframe. In a previous technical analysis, Tony Severino highlighted $178,000 as a potential price target for Bitcoin.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 97,000 美元，24 小时内上涨了 2%。在之前的技术分析中，Tony Severino 强调 178,000 美元是比特币的潜在价格目标。