比特幣（BTC）價格軌跡仍然看漲，月度隨機指標顯示上漲勢頭

過去四個星期，比特幣價格一直難以突破 10 萬美元大關，主要在 9 萬美元到 10 萬美元之間波動。

Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) failure to decisively break above the $100,000 threshold over the past four weeks has largely seen the cryptocurrency trade within the $90,000 to $100,000 range. This correction and lackluster price action have caused a degree of bearish sentiment among traders, with some speculating that Bitcoin might have already reached its peak for the current cycle.

比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）在過去四週內未能果斷突破 100,000 美元的門檻，很大程度上導致加密貨幣交易在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元的範圍內。這種調整和低迷的價格走勢引起了交易者一定程度的看跌情緒，有些人猜測比特幣可能已經達到了當前週期的峰值。

However, some bullish proponents are still noting that Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains bullish as technical indicators continue to signal upward momentum. Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino highlighted a key observation on social media platform X, focusing on Bitcoin’s monthly stochastic indicator to suggest that Bitcoin’s bullish momentum is far from exhausted.

然而，一些看漲支持者仍然指出，由於技術指標繼續顯示出上漲勢頭，比特幣的價格軌跡仍然看漲。加密貨幣分析師 Tony “The Bull” Severino 強調了社交媒體平台 X 上的一個關鍵觀察，重點關注比特幣的月度隨機指標，表明比特幣的看漲勢頭遠未耗盡。

Monthly Stochastic Above 80 Signals Strong MomentumBitcoin’s waning bullish sentiment has continued into the last 24 hours, with the Crypto Fear And Greed Index now pointing to "Neutral" sentiment among crypto market participants. Nevertheless, this shortfall of greed/bullish sentiment may not necessarily translate to a looming downturn in the Bitcoin price, according to technical analysis.

月度隨機指標高於 80 訊號強勁勢頭比特幣看漲情緒的減弱一直持續到過去 24 小時，加密貨幣恐懼和貪婪指數現在表明加密貨幣市場參與者的情緒為「中性」。然而，根據技術分析，這種貪婪/看漲情緒的不足可能不一定會轉化為比特幣價格迫在眉睫的下跌。

Crypto analyst Tony Severino pointed out that Bitcoin’s monthly stochastic oscillator, which is a tool used to measure market momentum, is still above the 80 level for bullish momentum. This indicates strong upward momentum, as the stochastic staying above this threshold historically aligns with significant price rallies.

加密貨幣分析師 Tony Severino 指出，比特幣的月度隨機震盪指標（用於衡量市場動能的工具）仍高於 80 的看漲動能水準。這表明強勁的上漲勢頭，因為歷史上隨機指標保持在這一閾值之上與價格的大幅上漲一致。

Interestingly, history shows that Bitcoin’s hold above this 80 level on the stochastic oscillator has always led to the continuation of the price rally. This trend is evident in the 2017, 2820, and January 2024 bull rallies, where Bitcoin bounced upwards multiple times on the 80 level and went on substantial upward moves each time. As such, the current ability to sustain this level shows that Bitcoin’s uptrend is still on track even after recent market fluctuations.

有趣的是，歷史表明，比特幣在隨機震盪指標上保持在 80 水平之上總是會導致價格持續上漲。這種趨勢在 2017 年、2820 年和 2024 年 1 月的牛市中很明顯，比特幣在 80 水平上多次反彈，並且每次都大幅上漲。因此，目前維持這一水平的能力表明，即使在最近的市場波動之後，比特幣的上漲趨勢仍然處於正軌。

Doji Candlestick Patterns Supports Bitcoin Price ContinuationAnother key observation from Severino’s analysis is the repeated occurrence of doji candlesticks in the Bitcoin price chart during its defense of the 80 level on the stochastic indicator. The 2017, 2020, and 2024 retests were highlighted by the formation of a doji candle during this period. Notably, these doji candles were formed over the monthly candlestick timeframe, revealing that the indecision dragged on for a few weeks, much like the current price action.

十字燭台模式支持比特幣價格延續 Severino 分析中的另一個關鍵觀察結果是，在比特幣價格圖表中隨機指標守衛 80 水平期間，十字星燭台反覆出現。 2017 年、2020 年和 2024 年的重新測試因在此期間十字星蠟燭的形成而突出。值得注意的是，這些十字星蠟燭是在每月燭台時間範圍內形成的，表明猶豫不決持續了幾週，就像當前的價格走勢一樣。

As it stands, Bitcoin’s price action between the $90,000 and $100,000 levels has led to the emergence of a doji on the monthly timeframe to complement the outlook of a price bounce on the stochastic indicator. The indecision reflected in this doji candlestick suggests that Bitcoin has yet to make a definitive move, with the options being either a significant breakout above $100,000 or a downturn below $90,000.

目前來看，比特幣在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元水平之間的價格走勢導致月度時間框架上出現十字星，以補充隨機指標價格反彈的前景。該十字星燭台反映出的猶豫不決表明，比特幣尚未做出明確的舉動，要么大幅突破 10 萬美元，要么下跌至 9 萬美元以下。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $97,000 and is up by 2% in a 24-hour timeframe. In a previous technical analysis, Tony Severino highlighted $178,000 as a potential price target for Bitcoin.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 97,000 美元，24 小時內上漲了 2%。在先前的技術分析中，Tony Severino 強調 178,000 美元是比特幣的潛在價格目標。