当今的比特币（BTC）价格超过85,000美元，因为市场为唐纳德·特朗普总统的解放日支撑

经过一些早期波动之后，由于市场为唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统的解放日做好准备，比特币在85,000美元以上定居了85,000美元。

After a bit of early-day volatility, Bitcoin settled above $85,000 as markets geared up for President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day.”

经过一些早期的波动之后，由于市场为唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统的“解放日”（Liberation Day）准备，比特币达到了85,000美元以上。

The crypto markets were mostly seen consolidating, with the total market cap now at $2.837 trillion, down by 0.83%.

加密货币市场大多是合并的，目前总市值为2.837万亿美元，下降了0.83％。

The Fear and Greed Index saw a decent bump, rising to 44, but remained in Fear territory.

恐惧和贪婪的指数看到了一个不错的颠簸，上升到44，但仍在恐惧领域中。

Altcoins followed Bitcoin’s lead, and most tokens posted little to no gains.

Altcoins遵循比特币的领先优势，大多数令牌几乎没有收获。

Why are crypto markets down today?

为什么今天的加密货币市场下跌？

Traders were jittery ahead of what President Donald Trump is calling “Liberation Day,” marked by a wave of new tariffs aimed at countries like China, Canada, and Mexico.

贸易商在唐纳德·特朗普总统所说的“解放日”之前都感到不安，这是针对中国，加拿大和墨西哥等国家的新关税浪潮。

The proposed 25% tariff on auto imports, plus broader duties on foreign goods, had investors worried we’re heading into another inflation spike, and that has typically acted as a bearish catalyst for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

拟议的25％的自动进口税率以及对外国商品的更广泛关税，让投资者担心我们会进入另一种通货膨胀率，这通常是像比特币这样的风险耗资资产的看跌催化剂。

While the tariffs are meant to cut the US trade deficit and boost homegrown manufacturing, traders are concerned that they could end up triggering a risk-off mood in global markets like crypto.

虽然关税旨在减少美国贸易赤字并提高本土制造业，但交易员担心他们可能最终会引发加密货币等全球市场的风险情绪。

Back in early March, when Trump hit Canada, Mexico, and China with tariffs, Bitcoin tumbled hard, from $105K to $92K overnight.

早在3月初，当特朗普以关税袭击加拿大，墨西哥和中国时，比特币艰难地跌落，一夜之间从105,000美元到92,000美元。

The community is concerned that history could repeat itself.

社区担心历史可以重演。

Higher import costs mean pricier goods for American consumers, which fuels inflation.

更高的进口成本意味着美国消费者的价格较高，这为通货膨胀提供了。

That typically drives investors toward traditional safe havens like gold, which hit a record high of $3,150 per ounce earlier today, or US Treasurys, instead of Bitcoin, which still trades more like tech stocks than digital gold.

这通常会驱使投资者朝着像黄金这样的传统避风港驱动，这在今天早些时候的每盎司3,150美元的创纪录高点，或者美国财政部，而不是比特币，而不是比特币，而比特币仍然比数字黄金更像技术股票。

And with the Fed in no rush to cut interest rates, the next move likely won’t come before June, there’s not much in terms of macro fuel to lift crypto prices right now.

由于美联储无需急于降低利率，因此下一步可能不会在六月之前出现，而在宏燃料中没有太多来提高加密货币价格。

CME’s FedWatch Tool puts the odds of no rate cut at the May 7 meeting at 83.5%, which doesn’t exactly inspire confidence.

CME的FedWatch工具将5月7日会议上的无率降低的几率降低了83.5％，这并不能完全激发信心。

Add all that up, and you’ve got a market that’s nervous, cautious, and not ready to go risk-on again.

添加所有这些，您拥有一个紧张，谨慎的市场，并且还没有准备好再次冒险。

For now, Bitcoin holding above $85K is a small win, but it risks a move in either direction, according to a number of analysts on X.

目前，根据X上的许多分析师的说法，持有$ 85K的比特币是一个很小的胜利，但它可能会朝任一方向前进。

Will Bitcoin go up?

比特币会上升吗？

According to trading firm QCP Capital, today’s tariff announcement is just the beginning of an extended period of bearish momentum.

据贸易公司QCP Capital称，今天的关税公告只是看跌势头的长时间的开始。

In a note to investors, QCP warned that retaliation from nations like China and Mexico could escalate tensions fast.

QCP在给投资者的声明中警告说，中国和墨西哥等国家的报复可能会迅速升级。

“The US seems increasingly intent on isolating itself in pursuit of more favorable trading terms,” they said, adding that the countries on the receiving end are “not likely to concede.”

他们补充说：“美国似乎越来越想孤立自己，以追求更有利的交易条款。”他补充说，接收端的国家“不太可能承认”。

QCP analysts expect all risk assets to “remain under pressure,” for the time being.

QCP分析师预计所有风险资产暂时将“保持压力”。

However, some believe a recession could actually turn out bullish for Bitcoin and other risk assets.

但是，有些人认为经济衰退实际上可能会证明比特币和其他风险资产的看涨。

If growth slows sharply, the Fed may be forced to pivot, slashing interest rates and possibly restarting quantitative easing to stimulate the economy.

如果增长急剧减慢，则可能会被迫枢转，削减利率，并可能重新启动定量宽松以刺激经济。

That kind of liquidity boost has historically favoured assets like crypto, which tend to thrive when borrowing is cheap and markets are flush with cash.

这种流动性提升在历史上一直偏爱像加密货币这样的资产，当借贷廉价时，这种流动性往往会蓬勃发展，而市场则以现金为单位。

A recession could come into play if the tariff-driven inflation squeezes consumers while business investment stalls, dragging down GDP.

如果关税驱动的通货膨胀挤压消费者，而商业投资摊位拖延了GDP，则可能会发挥衰退。

If that’s paired with tighter credit and weak global demand, the Fed may have no choice but to reverse course.

如果这与更紧密的信贷和疲软的全球需求配对，那么美联储可能别无选择，只能逆转路线。

In terms of technical analysis, Bitcoin was “one Daily Candle Close away” from setting up for a potential breakout, according to Rekt Capital.

根据Rekt Capital的说法，在技术分析方面，比特币是“每日蜡烛关闭”。

According to the analyst, if bulls manage to push a daily close above the descending blue line and hold that level on a retest, we could see a shift in momentum toward a new technical uptrend.

根据分析师的说法，如果公牛设法将每天的每日靠近降落的蓝线并保持重新测试，我们可以看到动量的转变向新的技术上升趋势。

Others like Captain Faibik also added to the bullish outlook.

像Faibik上尉这样的其他人也增加了看涨的观点。

Seem like Ready for an imminent Breakout..

似乎准备好即将突破。

When writing, Bitcoin was slowly climbing toward $87K, but for the move to hold, it needs to stay above $84K, according to analyst AlphaBTC.

分析师Alphabtc表示，写作时，比特币正在慢慢攀升至8.7万美元，但要举行此举，它需要保持在8.4万美元以上。

A break below that support level could trigger a deeper correction, with the first key level to watch being the March 14 low of around $79,900.

低于该支持水平的休息可能会引发更深入的校正，而第一个关键水平是3月14日低约$ 79,900。

Nevertheless, there’s a strong chance the market, along with Bitcoin, could drop once Trump officially announces the tariffs, just like it has during similar announcements in recent months.

尽管如此，一旦特朗普正式宣布关税，市场也很有可能与比特币一起下降，就像近几个月来类似公告一样。

Altcoins stay still

Altcoins静止不动

Over the past day, the altcoin market rose 5% to $1.15 trillion, with the Altcoin Season Index showing a reading of 15.

在过去的一天中，Altcoin市场上涨了5％，达到11.15万亿美元，而Altcoin季节指数显示为15。

Despite this, some major altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH), XRP (XRP), and BNB (BNB) were slightly down 1-2%, while others like Solana (

尽管如此，某些主要的山寨币，例如以太坊（ETH），XRP（XRP）和BNB（BNB）略低1-2％，而其他类似于Solana（