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經過一些早期波動之後,由於市場為唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)總統的解放日做好準備,比特幣在85,000美元以上定居了85,000美元。
After a bit of early-day volatility, Bitcoin settled above $85,000 as markets geared up for President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day.”
經過一些早期的波動之後,由於市場為唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)總統的“解放日”(Liberation Day)準備,比特幣達到了85,000美元以上。
The crypto markets were mostly seen consolidating, with the total market cap now at $2.837 trillion, down by 0.83%.
加密貨幣市場大多是合併的,目前總市值為2.837萬億美元,下降了0.83%。
The Fear and Greed Index saw a decent bump, rising to 44, but remained in Fear territory.
恐懼和貪婪的指數看到了一個不錯的顛簸,上升到44,但仍在恐懼領域中。
Altcoins followed Bitcoin’s lead, and most tokens posted little to no gains.
Altcoins遵循比特幣的領先優勢,大多數令牌幾乎沒有收穫。
Why are crypto markets down today?
為什麼今天的加密貨幣市場下跌?
Traders were jittery ahead of what President Donald Trump is calling “Liberation Day,” marked by a wave of new tariffs aimed at countries like China, Canada, and Mexico.
貿易商在唐納德·特朗普總統所說的“解放日”之前都感到不安,這是針對中國,加拿大和墨西哥等國家的新關稅浪潮。
The proposed 25% tariff on auto imports, plus broader duties on foreign goods, had investors worried we’re heading into another inflation spike, and that has typically acted as a bearish catalyst for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
擬議的25%的自動進口稅率以及對外國商品的更廣泛關稅,讓投資者擔心我們會進入另一種通貨膨脹率,這通常是像比特幣這樣的風險耗資資產的看跌催化劑。
While the tariffs are meant to cut the US trade deficit and boost homegrown manufacturing, traders are concerned that they could end up triggering a risk-off mood in global markets like crypto.
雖然關稅旨在減少美國貿易赤字並提高本土製造業,但交易員擔心他們可能最終會引發加密貨幣等全球市場的風險情緒。
Back in early March, when Trump hit Canada, Mexico, and China with tariffs, Bitcoin tumbled hard, from $105K to $92K overnight.
早在3月初,當特朗普以關稅襲擊加拿大,墨西哥和中國時,比特幣艱難地跌落,一夜之間從105,000美元到92,000美元。
The community is concerned that history could repeat itself.
社區擔心歷史可以重演。
Higher import costs mean pricier goods for American consumers, which fuels inflation.
更高的進口成本意味著美國消費者的價格較高,這為通貨膨脹提供了。
That typically drives investors toward traditional safe havens like gold, which hit a record high of $3,150 per ounce earlier today, or US Treasurys, instead of Bitcoin, which still trades more like tech stocks than digital gold.
這通常會驅使投資者朝著像黃金這樣的傳統避風港驅動,這在今天早些時候的每盎司3,150美元的創紀錄高點,或者美國財政部,而不是比特幣,而不是比特幣,而比特幣仍然比數字黃金更像技術股票。
And with the Fed in no rush to cut interest rates, the next move likely won’t come before June, there’s not much in terms of macro fuel to lift crypto prices right now.
由於美聯儲無需急於降低利率,因此下一步可能不會在六月之前出現,而在宏燃料中沒有太多來提高加密貨幣價格。
CME’s FedWatch Tool puts the odds of no rate cut at the May 7 meeting at 83.5%, which doesn’t exactly inspire confidence.
CME的FedWatch工具將5月7日會議上的無率降低的機率降低了83.5%,這並不能完全激發信心。
Add all that up, and you’ve got a market that’s nervous, cautious, and not ready to go risk-on again.
添加所有這些,您擁有一個緊張,謹慎的市場,並且還沒有準備好再次冒險。
For now, Bitcoin holding above $85K is a small win, but it risks a move in either direction, according to a number of analysts on X.
目前,根據X上的許多分析師的說法,持有$ 85K的比特幣是一個很小的勝利,但它可能會朝任一方向前進。
Will Bitcoin go up?
比特幣會上升嗎?
According to trading firm QCP Capital, today’s tariff announcement is just the beginning of an extended period of bearish momentum.
據貿易公司QCP Capital稱,今天的關稅公告只是看跌勢頭的長時間的開始。
In a note to investors, QCP warned that retaliation from nations like China and Mexico could escalate tensions fast.
QCP在給投資者的聲明中警告說,中國和墨西哥等國家的報復可能會迅速升級。
“The US seems increasingly intent on isolating itself in pursuit of more favorable trading terms,” they said, adding that the countries on the receiving end are “not likely to concede.”
他們補充說:“美國似乎越來越想孤立自己,以追求更有利的交易條款。”他補充說,接收端的國家“不太可能承認”。
QCP analysts expect all risk assets to “remain under pressure,” for the time being.
QCP分析師預計所有風險資產暫時將“保持壓力”。
However, some believe a recession could actually turn out bullish for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
但是,有些人認為經濟衰退實際上可能會證明比特幣和其他風險資產的看漲。
If growth slows sharply, the Fed may be forced to pivot, slashing interest rates and possibly restarting quantitative easing to stimulate the economy.
如果增長急劇減慢,則可能會被迫樞轉,削減利率,並可能重新啟動定量寬鬆以刺激經濟。
That kind of liquidity boost has historically favoured assets like crypto, which tend to thrive when borrowing is cheap and markets are flush with cash.
這種流動性提昇在歷史上一直偏愛像加密貨幣這樣的資產,當借貸廉價時,這種流動性往往會蓬勃發展,而市場則以現金為單位。
A recession could come into play if the tariff-driven inflation squeezes consumers while business investment stalls, dragging down GDP.
如果關稅驅動的通貨膨脹擠壓消費者,而商業投資攤位拖延了GDP,則可能會發揮衰退。
If that’s paired with tighter credit and weak global demand, the Fed may have no choice but to reverse course.
如果這與更緊密的信貸和疲軟的全球需求配對,那麼美聯儲可能別無選擇,只能逆轉路線。
In terms of technical analysis, Bitcoin was “one Daily Candle Close away” from setting up for a potential breakout, according to Rekt Capital.
根據Rekt Capital的說法,在技術分析方面,比特幣是“每日蠟燭關閉”。
According to the analyst, if bulls manage to push a daily close above the descending blue line and hold that level on a retest, we could see a shift in momentum toward a new technical uptrend.
根據分析師的說法,如果公牛設法將每天的每日靠近降落的藍線並保持重新測試,我們可以看到動量的轉變向新的技術上升趨勢。
Others like Captain Faibik also added to the bullish outlook.
像Faibik上尉這樣的其他人也增加了看漲的觀點。
Seem like Ready for an imminent Breakout..
似乎準備好即將突破。
When writing, Bitcoin was slowly climbing toward $87K, but for the move to hold, it needs to stay above $84K, according to analyst AlphaBTC.
分析師Alphabtc表示,寫作時,比特幣正在慢慢攀升至8.7萬美元,但要舉行此舉,它需要保持在8.4萬美元以上。
A break below that support level could trigger a deeper correction, with the first key level to watch being the March 14 low of around $79,900.
低於該支持水平的休息可能會引發更深入的校正,而第一個關鍵水平是3月14日低約$ 79,900。
Nevertheless, there’s a strong chance the market, along with Bitcoin, could drop once Trump officially announces the tariffs, just like it has during similar announcements in recent months.
儘管如此,一旦特朗普正式宣布關稅,市場也很有可能與比特幣一起下降,就像近幾個月來類似公告一樣。
Altcoins stay still
Altcoins靜止不動
Over the past day, the altcoin market rose 5% to $1.15 trillion, with the Altcoin Season Index showing a reading of 15.
在過去的一天中,Altcoin市場上漲了5%,達到11.15萬億美元,而Altcoin季節指數顯示為15。
Despite this, some major altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH), XRP (XRP), and BNB (BNB) were slightly down 1-2%, while others like Solana (
儘管如此,某些主要的山寨幣,例如以太坊(ETH),XRP(XRP)和BNB(BNB)略低1-2%,而其他類似於Solana(
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