比特币 (BTC) 价格飙升至 80,000 美元以上的历史新高，但涨势能否持续？

随着全球市场兴趣和投机活动的加剧，比特币价格飙升至历史新高，突破 80,000 美元。

Bitcoin price has soared to a new all-time high amid heightened global market interest and speculation. Several factors have contributed to this surge, including the recent U.S. presidential election and Donald Trump’s victory.

随着全球市场兴趣和投机活动的加剧，比特币价格飙升至历史新高。有几个因素导致了这一激增，包括最近的美国总统大选和唐纳德·特朗普的胜利。

The Trump administration’s newfound endorsement of cryptocurrency, a stark shift from its initial skepticism, has amplified investor confidence in the sector. Trump’s pro-crypto stance and the uncertainty surrounding traditional financial markets have likely fueled Bitcoin’s rapid ascent as investors opt for decentralized assets to hedge against economic instability.

特朗普政府对加密货币的新认可，与其最初的怀疑态度形成鲜明对比，增强了投资者对该行业的信心。特朗普的支持加密货币立场和传统金融市场的不确定性可能推动了比特币的快速上涨，因为投资者选择去中心化资产来对冲经济不稳定。

Moreover, the upcoming fiscal policies under Trump’s leadership hint at possible leniency toward digital assets, further enhancing Bitcoin’s appeal. Painting a new ATH places Bitcoin in the “price discovery” phase, characterized by intense volatility and unpredictable price movements as BTC tests uncharted territory.

此外，特朗普领导下即将出台的财政政策暗示可能对数字资产采取宽松政策，进一步增强了比特币的吸引力。绘制新的 ATH 将比特币置于“价格发现”阶段，其特点是随着 BTC 测试未知领域，剧烈波动和不可预测的价格走势。

With a complex mix of geopolitical factors, Bitcoin’s future trajectory could shape the broader crypto market for months.

由于地缘政治因素错综复杂，比特币的未来轨迹可能会在数月内塑造更广泛的加密货币市场。

Navigating The Future: Potential Consolidation Ahead?

引领未来：未来是否有潜在的整合？

Bitcoin’s record-breaking run has left traders and investors debating the sustainability of its rally. While BTC’s recent spike seems impressive, on-chain data and trading metrics suggest that this bullish wave may soon encounter headwinds.

比特币破纪录的上涨让交易员和投资者对其上涨的可持续性产生了争论。虽然比特币最近的飙升似乎令人印象深刻，但链上数据和交易指标表明，这波看涨浪潮可能很快就会遇到阻力。

Derivatives data reveals a 40.69% increase in trading volume, reaching $82.08 billion, and a 4.07% uptick in open interest, signaling heightened market activity and speculative buying interest. This often indicates strong capital inflows but also sets the stage for potential volatility if sentiment shifts.

衍生品数据显示，交易量增长 40.69%，达到 820.8 亿美元，未平仓合约增长 4.07%，表明市场活动和投机性买盘兴趣增强。这通常表明资本流入强劲，但如果情绪发生变化，也可能引发潜在波动。

However, this rapid ascent has also triggered the “Extreme Greed” level on the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, now at 78. This level historically precedes price pullbacks as overbought conditions become more likely.

然而，这种快速上升也引发了比特币恐惧和贪婪指数的“极度贪婪”水平，目前为 78。从历史上看，随着超买情况变得更有可能出现，该水平先于价格回调。

On-chain data reveals that long-term holders transfer Bitcoin to exchanges, a move often interpreted as a precursor to profit-taking. The behavior suggests that some investors may be preparing to capitalize on recent gains, potentially increasing selling pressure.

链上数据显示，长期持有者将比特币转移到交易所，这一举动通常被解释为获利了结的前兆。这种行为表明，一些投资者可能正准备利用近期的涨幅，从而可能增加抛售压力。

Traders should remain cautious. While the current uptrend reflects strong demand, high leverage and elevated open interest could introduce volatility, especially if large players initiate liquidation events.

交易者应保持谨慎。虽然当前的上升趋势反映了强劲的需求，但高杠杆率和未平仓合约增加可能会带来波动，特别是如果大型参与者发起清算事件。

Moreover, independent crypto analyst CredibleCrypto warned that Bitcoin could see a significant correction, potentially dropping to $50,000.

此外，独立加密货币分析师 CredibleCrypto 警告称，比特币可能会出现大幅回调，有可能跌至 50,000 美元。

The analyst’s predicted scenario suggests that BTC’s current rally may be nearing exhaustion, with increased profit-taking and shifting sentiment likely to trigger a substantial downturn soon.

分析师的预测情景表明，比特币当前的涨势可能已接近耗尽，获利回吐的增加和情绪的转变可能很快就会引发大幅下滑。

BTC Bulls Trying To Push Past $80k

BTC 多头试图突破 8 万美元

Meanwhile, the BTC/USD pair dropped below $80,000 after the token reached its new all-time high around $80,120 on Nov. 10. However, bulls are trying to push the token above the $80,000 price mark.

与此同时，在 11 月 10 日该代币触及 80,120 美元左右的历史新高后，BTC/美元货币对跌破 80,000 美元。然而，多头正试图将该代币推高至 80,000 美元的价格大关。

If Bitcoin continues its rally, pushing past its recent ATH would bring Bitcoin close to the 0.382 Fib resistance level at $81,870. Moreover, breaking and consolidating past the immediate resistance level would help BTC price rise to the resistance around $85,550.

如果比特币继续上涨，突破最近的 ATH 将使比特币接近 0.382 Fib 阻力位 81,870 美元。此外，突破并巩固突破当前阻力位将有助于 BTC 价格上涨至 85,550 美元左右的阻力位。

The OG crypto token would likely suffer a correction before it breaks past the resistance levels. Supporting this prediction is the overbought RSI level, currently at 76.57 on the daily charts.

OG 加密代币在突破阻力位之前可能会经历调整。支持这一预测的是超买 RSI 水平，目前日线图上为 76.57。

Overbought RSI levels often precede a price reversal for an asset, which is why traders often start selling once the momentum oscillator exceeds 70, the overbought threshold.

超买 RSI 水平通常先于资产价格反转，这就是为什么交易者经常在动量振荡器超过 70（超买阈值）时开始抛售。

If a sell-off occurs, the BTC price can expect support near the $75,470 mark. However, failure of the immediate support level could force Bitcoin’s price to test its 20-day EMA (red) support level at $71,000 before recovering.

如果发生抛售，BTC 价格预计将在 75,470 美元关口附近得到支撑。然而，如果未能立即达到支撑位，可能会迫使比特币价格在恢复之前测试其 20 日均线（红色）支撑位 71,000 美元。