比特幣 (BTC) 價格飆升至 8 萬美元以上的歷史新高，但漲勢能否持續？

隨著全球市場興趣和投機活動的加劇，比特幣價格飆升至歷史新高，突破 8 萬美元。

Bitcoin price has soared to a new all-time high amid heightened global market interest and speculation. Several factors have contributed to this surge, including the recent U.S. presidential election and Donald Trump’s victory.

隨著全球市場興趣和投機活動的加劇，比特幣價格飆升至歷史新高。有幾個因素導致了這一激增，包括最近的美國總統大選和唐納德·川普的勝利。

The Trump administration’s newfound endorsement of cryptocurrency, a stark shift from its initial skepticism, has amplified investor confidence in the sector. Trump’s pro-crypto stance and the uncertainty surrounding traditional financial markets have likely fueled Bitcoin’s rapid ascent as investors opt for decentralized assets to hedge against economic instability.

川普政府對加密貨幣的新認可，與其最初的懷疑態度形成鮮明對比，增強了投資者對該行業的信心。川普的支持加密貨幣立場和傳統金融市場的不確定性可能推動了比特幣的快速上漲，因為投資者選擇去中心化資產來對沖經濟不穩定。

Moreover, the upcoming fiscal policies under Trump’s leadership hint at possible leniency toward digital assets, further enhancing Bitcoin’s appeal. Painting a new ATH places Bitcoin in the “price discovery” phase, characterized by intense volatility and unpredictable price movements as BTC tests uncharted territory.

此外，川普領導下即將出台的財政政策暗示可能對數位資產採取寬鬆政策，進一步增強了比特幣的吸引力。繪製新的 ATH 將比特幣置於「價格發現」階段，其特點是隨著 BTC 測試未知領域，劇烈波動和不可預測的價格變動。

With a complex mix of geopolitical factors, Bitcoin’s future trajectory could shape the broader crypto market for months.

由於地緣政治因素錯綜複雜，比特幣的未來軌跡可能會在數月內塑造更廣泛的加密貨幣市場。

Navigating The Future: Potential Consolidation Ahead?

引領未來：未來是否有潛在的整合？

Bitcoin’s record-breaking run has left traders and investors debating the sustainability of its rally. While BTC’s recent spike seems impressive, on-chain data and trading metrics suggest that this bullish wave may soon encounter headwinds.

比特幣破紀錄的上漲讓交易員和投資者對其上漲的可持續性產生了爭論。雖然比特幣最近的飆升似乎令人印象深刻，但鏈上數據和交易指標表明，這波看漲浪潮可能很快就會遇到阻力。

Derivatives data reveals a 40.69% increase in trading volume, reaching $82.08 billion, and a 4.07% uptick in open interest, signaling heightened market activity and speculative buying interest. This often indicates strong capital inflows but also sets the stage for potential volatility if sentiment shifts.

衍生性商品數據顯示，交易量成長 40.69%，達到 820.8 億美元，未平倉合約成長 4.07%，顯示市場活動和投機性買盤興趣增強。這通常表示資本流入強勁，但如果情緒發生變化，也可能引發潛在波動。

However, this rapid ascent has also triggered the “Extreme Greed” level on the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, now at 78. This level historically precedes price pullbacks as overbought conditions become more likely.

然而，這種快速上升也引發了比特幣恐懼和貪婪指數的「極度貪婪」水平，目前為 78。

On-chain data reveals that long-term holders transfer Bitcoin to exchanges, a move often interpreted as a precursor to profit-taking. The behavior suggests that some investors may be preparing to capitalize on recent gains, potentially increasing selling pressure.

鏈上數據顯示，長期持有者將比特幣轉移到交易所，這一舉動通常被解釋為獲利了結的前兆。這種行為表明，一些投資者可能正準備利用近期的漲幅，這可能會增加拋售壓力。

Traders should remain cautious. While the current uptrend reflects strong demand, high leverage and elevated open interest could introduce volatility, especially if large players initiate liquidation events.

交易者應保持謹慎。雖然當前的上升趨勢反映了強勁的需求，但高槓桿率和未平倉合約增加可能會帶來波動，特別是如果大型參與者發動清算事件。

Moreover, independent crypto analyst CredibleCrypto warned that Bitcoin could see a significant correction, potentially dropping to $50,000.

此外，獨立加密貨幣分析師 CredibleCrypto 警告稱，比特幣可能會出現大幅回調，有可能跌至 50,000 美元。

The analyst’s predicted scenario suggests that BTC’s current rally may be nearing exhaustion, with increased profit-taking and shifting sentiment likely to trigger a substantial downturn soon.

分析師的預測情景表明，比特幣當前的漲勢可能已接近耗盡，獲利回吐的增加和情緒的轉變可能很快就會引發大幅下滑。

BTC Bulls Trying To Push Past $80k

BTC 多頭試圖突破 8 萬美元

Meanwhile, the BTC/USD pair dropped below $80,000 after the token reached its new all-time high around $80,120 on Nov. 10. However, bulls are trying to push the token above the $80,000 price mark.

與此同時，在 11 月 10 日該代幣觸及 80,120 美元左右的歷史新高後，BTC/美元貨幣對跌破 80,000 美元。

If Bitcoin continues its rally, pushing past its recent ATH would bring Bitcoin close to the 0.382 Fib resistance level at $81,870. Moreover, breaking and consolidating past the immediate resistance level would help BTC price rise to the resistance around $85,550.

如果比特幣繼續上漲，突破最近的 ATH 將使比特幣接近 0.382 Fib 阻力位 81,870 美元。此外，突破並鞏固突破當前阻力位將有助於 BTC 價格上漲至 85,550 美元左右的阻力位。

The OG crypto token would likely suffer a correction before it breaks past the resistance levels. Supporting this prediction is the overbought RSI level, currently at 76.57 on the daily charts.

OG 加密代幣在突破阻力位之前可能會經歷調整。支持這項預測的是超買 RSI 水平，目前日線圖為 76.57。

Overbought RSI levels often precede a price reversal for an asset, which is why traders often start selling once the momentum oscillator exceeds 70, the overbought threshold.

超買 RSI 水準通常先於資產價格反轉，這就是為什麼交易者經常在動量震盪指標超過 70（超買閾值）時開始拋售。

If a sell-off occurs, the BTC price can expect support near the $75,470 mark. However, failure of the immediate support level could force Bitcoin’s price to test its 20-day EMA (red) support level at $71,000 before recovering.

如果發生拋售，BTC 價格預計將在 75,470 美元關卡附近得到支撐。然而，如果未能立即達到支撐位，可能會迫使比特幣價格在恢復之前測試其 20 日均線（紅色）支撐位 71,000 美元。