比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：先锋加密资产最终会达到 10 万美元水平吗？

比特币不断创下新纪录，投资者希望特朗普能带来加密货币的黄金时代

Bitcoin price surged to a new all-time high on Friday morning, coming within spitting distance of the $100,000 level as a recent rally showed no signs of slowing down.

周五上午，比特币价格飙升至历史新高，距离 10 万美元水平仅一步之遥，因为最近的涨势没有放缓的迹象。

The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading at $98,833 at press time, up nearly 3 percent over the past 24 hours. BTC has now gained more than 120 percent year-to-date.

截至发稿时，全球最大的加密货币交易价格为 98,833 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了近 3%。今年迄今为止，BTC 的涨幅已超过 120%。

A recent surge in funding rates and open interest on the futures market preceded the latest leg of the rally, putting the pioneer crypto asset within the $100,000 level.

在最近一轮上涨之前，期货市场的融资利率和未平仓合约最近大幅上涨，使这一先锋加密资产的价格达到了 10 万美元的水平。

As Santiment data revealed that Bitcoin was poised to reach a six-figure market value for the first time in history, social media speculation exploded, with the asset now standing at a new all-time high of $99,000.

随着 Santiment 数据显示，比特币的市值有望首次达到六位数，社交媒体上的猜测随之爆发，该资产目前已达到 99,000 美元的历史新高。

Together, X, Reddit, Telegram, 4Chan, and BitcoinTalk were bringing up the $100K BTC price level at the fastest rate ever (naturally).

X、Reddit、Telegram、4Chan 和 BitcoinTalk 一起以有史以来最快的速度（自然地）将 BTC 价格提升至 10 万美元。

The campaign cost cryptocurrency companies like Coinbase more than $130 million. Trump’s term also suggests higher budget deficits, possibly higher inflation, and adjustments to the dollar’s global role—all of which would boost the price of Bitcoin.

该活动让 Coinbase 等加密货币公司损失超过 1.3 亿美元。特朗普的任期还意味着更高的预算赤字、可能更高的通胀以及对美元全球角色的调整——所有这些都将推高比特币的价格。

Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in the next few minutes appears more like a short-term end-of-rally goal than a turning point that would instantly push the asset to a much higher level.

比特币在接下来的几分钟内达到 100,000 美元似乎更像是一个短期的反弹目标，而不是一个立即将资产推向更高水平的转折点。

While it’s impossible to tell for sure whether the digital asset will remain above the $100,000 level for long, we can assume that a correction towards the $75,000/$80,000 range would be reasonable, especially in a market environment where the dollar has strengthened (+7 percent for the Dollar Index since the beginning of October), and headline interest rates have experienced a powerful rise (more than 90 basis points in two months).

虽然无法确定数字资产是否会长期保持在 100,000 美元以上的水平，但我们可以假设向 75,000 美元/80,000 美元区间进行修正是合理的，特别是在美元走强（+7%）的市场环境下自10月初以来的美元指数），整体利率经历了强劲的上涨（两个月内超过90个基点）。

A price correction in that direction is likely in play. A stronger “pullback” might also push prices back toward the previous high of roughly $74,000 in March 2024.

价格可能会朝这个方向调整。更强劲的“回调”也可能将价格推回到 2024 年 3 月约 74,000 美元的先前高点。

However, historical data has shown that Bitcoin is popularly known for disappointing skeptics and maintaining its bullish momentum.

然而，历史数据表明，比特币因令怀疑者失望并保持看涨势头而闻名。