比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：先鋒加密資產最終會達到 10 萬美元水準嗎？

比特幣不斷創下新紀錄，投資人希望川普能帶來加密貨幣的黃金時代

Bitcoin price surged to a new all-time high on Friday morning, coming within spitting distance of the $100,000 level as a recent rally showed no signs of slowing down.

週五上午，比特幣價格飆升至歷史新高，距離 10 萬美元水平僅一步之遙，因為最近的漲勢沒有放緩的跡象。

The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading at $98,833 at press time, up nearly 3 percent over the past 24 hours. BTC has now gained more than 120 percent year-to-date.

截至發稿時，全球最大的加密貨幣交易價格為 98,833 美元，在過去 24 小時內上漲了近 3%。今年迄今為止，BTC 的漲幅已超過 120%。

A recent surge in funding rates and open interest on the futures market preceded the latest leg of the rally, putting the pioneer crypto asset within the $100,000 level.

在最近一輪上漲之前，期貨市場的融資利率和未平倉合約最近大幅上漲，使這一先鋒加密資產的價格達到了 10 萬美元的水平。

As Santiment data revealed that Bitcoin was poised to reach a six-figure market value for the first time in history, social media speculation exploded, with the asset now standing at a new all-time high of $99,000.

隨著 Santiment 數據顯示，比特幣的市值預計將首次達到六位數，社交媒體上的猜測隨之爆發，該資產目前已達到 99,000 美元的歷史新高。

Together, X, Reddit, Telegram, 4Chan, and BitcoinTalk were bringing up the $100K BTC price level at the fastest rate ever (naturally).

X、Reddit、Telegram、4Chan 和 BitcoinTalk 一起以有史以來最快的速度（自然地）將 BTC 價格提升至 10 萬美元。

The campaign cost cryptocurrency companies like Coinbase more than $130 million. Trump’s term also suggests higher budget deficits, possibly higher inflation, and adjustments to the dollar’s global role—all of which would boost the price of Bitcoin.

該活動讓 Coinbase 等加密貨幣公司損失超過 1.3 億美元。川普的任期也意味著更高的預算赤字、可能更高的通膨以及對美元全球角色的調整——所有這些都將推高比特幣的價格。

Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in the next few minutes appears more like a short-term end-of-rally goal than a turning point that would instantly push the asset to a much higher level.

比特幣在接下來的幾分鐘內達到 10 萬美元似乎更像是一個短期的反彈目標，而不是一個立即將資產推向更高水平的轉折點。

While it’s impossible to tell for sure whether the digital asset will remain above the $100,000 level for long, we can assume that a correction towards the $75,000/$80,000 range would be reasonable, especially in a market environment where the dollar has strengthened (+7 percent for the Dollar Index since the beginning of October), and headline interest rates have experienced a powerful rise (more than 90 basis points in two months).

雖然無法確定數位資產是否會長期保持在 100,000 美元以上的水平，但我們可以假設向 75,000 美元/80,000 美元區間進行修正是合理的，特別是在美元走強（+7%）的市場環境下自10月初以來的美元指數），整體利率經歷了強勁的上漲（兩個月內超過90個基點）。

A price correction in that direction is likely in play. A stronger “pullback” might also push prices back toward the previous high of roughly $74,000 in March 2024.

價格可能會朝這個方向調整。更強勁的「回檔」也可能將價格推回到 2024 年 3 月約 74,000 美元的先前高點。

However, historical data has shown that Bitcoin is popularly known for disappointing skeptics and maintaining its bullish momentum.

然而，歷史數據表明，比特幣因令懷疑者失望並保持看漲勢頭而聞名。