比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：就职典礼当天 BTC 将突破 10 万美元？

共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普获胜后，这一领先的数字资产价格大幅飙升，突破了今年 3 月份早些时候公布的 73737 美元的最高峰值。

Bitcoin (BTC) price may hit $100,000 by Inauguration Day, according to a new report by cryptocurrency custodian Copper.co.

根据加密货币托管商 Copper.co 的最新报告，比特币 (BTC) 的价格可能会在就职日当天达到 100,000 美元。

The report points to the recent surge in Bitcoin ETF inflows and the historical ETF accumulation trend, which suggests that BTC’s upward momentum could continue in the coming months.

该报告指出，近期比特币 ETF 流入量激增以及历史 ETF 增持趋势，这表明 BTC 的上涨势头可能在未来几个月持续。

At the time of writing, the total value of net assets held in spot BTC ETFs is $69.28 billion, which constitutes over 5% of the asset’s total market capitalization.

截至撰写本文时，现货 BTC ETF 持有的净资产总额为 692.8 亿美元，占资产总市值的 5% 以上。

notably, last month, the research firm predicted that Bitcoin ETFs could hold slightly under a million BTC by Election Day. These ETFs currently hold about 986,000 BTC, indicating that the firm’s assessment was largely accurate.

值得注意的是，上个月，该研究公司预测，到选举日，比特币 ETF 可能持有略低于 100 万枚比特币。这些 ETF 目前持有约 986,000 BTC，表明该公司的评估基本准确。

The rising popularity of Bitcoin ETFs highlights the increasing institutional interest in the digital asset. Recent reports indicate that the demand for spot Bitcoin ETF is currently at a 6-month high.

比特币 ETF 的日益普及凸显了机构对数字资产的兴趣日益浓厚。最近的报告表明，现货比特币 ETF 的需求目前处于 6 个月来的高位。

According to data from crypto ETF tracker SoSoValue, October 2024 was one of the most active months for BTC ETFs, with the financial products attracting roughly $3 billion in total net inflows.

根据加密 ETF 跟踪机构 SoSoValue 的数据，2024 年 10 月是 BTC ETF 最活跃的月份之一，这些金融产品吸引了约 30 亿美元的总净流入。

Betting Markets Still Not Bullish On Ethereum

博彩市场仍然不看好以太坊

While the top cryptocurrency by reported market cap has already entered uncharted territory in terms of price, the second-largest digital asset, Ethereum (ETH), continues to underperform.

虽然按报告市值计算的顶级加密货币在价格方面已经进入了未知领域，但第二大数字资产以太坊（ETH）的表现仍然不佳。

Citing betting markets, the report by Copper.co suggests that there is only about a 12% chance of ETH hitting a new all-time high this year.

Copper.co 的报告援引博彩市场的话说，今年 ETH 创下历史新高的可能性只有 12% 左右。

The report states:

报告指出：

“The lukewarm appeal of ETFs has dampened traders’ mood, though investors seem largely unfazed. While Ethereum is now inflationary, its year-to-date supply growth was just 89k Ether, compared to the 5.7 million coins that have moved into staking.”

“ETF 的冷淡吸引力打击了交易者的情绪，但投资者似乎基本不为所动。虽然以太坊现在处于通货膨胀状态，但其今年迄今为止的供应增长仅为 89k 以太币，而已投入质押的代币数量为 570 万枚。”

However, not all is gloomy for Ethereum ETFs. Recently, the State of Michigan disclosed that the Michigan Retirement System has invested nearly $10 million in ETH ETFs, which is more than its total investment in Bitcoin ETFs.

然而，以太坊 ETF 并非一切都黯淡。近日，密歇根州披露，密歇根退休系统已向 ETH ETF 投资近 1000 万美元，这比其对比特币 ETF 的投资总额还要多。

As the digital asset market is known for exhibiting high volatility over short periods, investors should exercise caution when considering the recent surge in crypto ETF product activities.

由于数字资产市场在短期内表现出高波动性，投资者在考虑近期加密 ETF 产品活动激增时应谨慎行事。

For example, on November 4, spot BTC ETFs experienced $541 million in single-day net outflows, the second-largest since January. BTC trades at $74,300 at press time, up 6.4% in the past 24 hours.

例如，11 月 4 日，现货 BTC ETF 单日净流出 5.41 亿美元，为 1 月以来第二高。截至发稿时，BTC 交易价格为 74,300 美元，过去 24 小时内上涨 6.4%。