比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC以动量清除钥匙高点，但阻力迫在眉睫

比特币飙升至88500美元以上，刺穿了以前的当地高点，并发出了新的看涨浪潮。这次突破引发了近1亿美元的BTC短量清算，并且在整个更广泛的加密货币市场上触发了超过1.3亿美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) continued its blazing hot rally on Wednesday, rising above $88,500 and setting a new local high. This breakout also triggered nearly $100 million in BTC short liquidations and over $130 million across the broader crypto market.

比特币（BTC）在周三继续举行热烈的集会，上升到88,500美元以上，并设定了新的当地高点。这次突破还引发了近1亿美元的BTC简报，在整个更广泛的加密货币市场上触发了超过1.3亿美元。

The move also fully validated the recent bullish structure inside the daily TBO Cloud, putting Bitcoin firmly in consolidation mode with strong upward momentum.

此举还充分验证了每日TBO云中最近的看涨结构，使比特币牢固地处于巩固模式，并以强大的向上势头。

Two upper resistance ray targets are now in sight, the first just above $91,000 and the second just below $93,000. The top of the TBO Cloud aligns just above $93,000.

现在有两个高电阻射线目标，第一个射线目标仅在$ 91,000以上，而第二个则低于93,000美元。 TBO云的顶部对齐$ 93,000。

All of this sets the stage for a final run to $94,000–$95,000 within days. That price target has been in focus for weeks now, and technicals are lining up with the long-discussed Fibonacci retracement cluster between $94,500 and $95,000. These levels represent a confluence of the 0.618 Fib retracement from the current trend and the 1.618 extension from 2024—making them a textbook zone for resistance.

所有这些都使最后一盘的舞台在几天之内达到了94,000- $ 95,000。该价格目标已经开始关注数周了，而且技术人员正与长期讨论的斐波那契回斗集群在94,500美元至95,000美元之间排队。这些水平代表了从当前趋势中的0.618 FIB回撤和1.618延伸的汇合，从2024年开始将其汇合，使它们成为阻力的教科书区域。

At least one crypto trader, who has closely followed the Fibonacci structures throughout 2024, sees a "bullish count" setting up on the 3W chart, suggesting that a "strong bounce" is unfolding.

至少有一个加密货币交易员在2024年密切关注了斐波那契结构，他看到了3W图表上的“看涨计数”，这表明“强烈反弹”正在展开。

If there’s one good habit to learn from crypto, it’s skepticism. When everyone agrees, the market is usually preparing to shift.

如果有一个从加密货币中学习的好习惯，那就是怀疑。当每个人都同意时，市场通常都准备转移。

Right now, the mood has quickly changed from “extreme fear” to “disbelief” as Bitcoin continues to defy expectations.

目前，随着比特币继续抗拒期望，心情已经迅速从“极端恐惧”变成“难以置信”。

As BTC climbs closer to $95,000, expect to see FOMO-infused sentiment return, with traders setting even wilder price targets like $250,000.

随着BTC攀升接近95,000美元，预计会看到FOMO的情感回报，而交易员则设定了Wilder Plist Agarts，例如250,000美元。

But technical and psychological patterns suggest that a pullback is likely from that zone. If Bitcoin begins to stall, evidenced by smaller daily candles and declining momentum, then traders should prepare for a retrace to around $82,000.

但是技术和心理模式表明，该区域可能会撤退。如果比特币开始停滞不前，每天蜡烛较小和势头下降，那么交易者应准备回顾至82,000美元左右。

The market has followed similar behavior before. In late 2024, Bitcoin chopped sideways for six months, from April to October, before finally breaking out of the range.

市场之前已经遵循类似的行为。 2024年下半年，比特币从4月至10月侧面切断了六个月，然后最终脱离了范围。

The expectation of a repeat isn’t just based on patterns, but also seasonality. The old TradFi adage, “Sell in May and walk away,” has held true for Bitcoin in multiple past years.

重复的期望不仅基于模式，还基于季节性。旧的Tradfi格言“五月出售并走开”，在过去的几年中一直在比特币中实现。

In both 2021 and 2023, selling in May and pulling back later in the year spared traders from extended periods of sideways chop. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but it’s a historically strong reason to approach May with caution.

在2021年和2023年，在五月出售，并在今年晚些时候退缩，从侧向仓库的长时间延长了交易者。当然，没有任何保证，但这是历史上有力的理由，可能会谨慎行事。

A TBO Close Long printed on the stablecoin dominance chart, just as it did before a major downtrend in September 2024. This is a key early signal that capital is rotating out of stablecoins and into crypto assets.

TBO关闭的长期印刷在Stablecoin优势图上，就像2024年9月的重大趋势之前一样。这是一个关键的早期信号，即资本正在从Stablecoins旋转并进入加密货币资产。

While it may take weeks for a full trend shift to play out, this signal is typically a precursor to broader market bullish activity.

虽然可能需要数周的时间才能进行全面的变化，但该信号通常是更广泛的市场看涨活动的先驱。

Traders should remain “expectant” rather than euphoric, as this rotation will be gradual.

交易者应保持“预期”而不是欣快，因为这种轮换将是逐渐的。

Bitcoin dominance closed above its February high of 64.34% and printed a TBO Breakout, indicating strong market preference for Bitcoin over altcoins.

比特币优势超过了2月的64.34％，并打印了TBO突破，这表明对比特币而不是Altcoins的市场偏爱。

Weekly RSI also pushed past its October 2024 high and now sits well above 80—an extremely bullish reading across all timeframes.

每周的RSI还推过了2024年10月的高高，现在远高于80岁，这是所有时间范围内的极端看涨阅读。

This dominance shift means that Bitcoin will likely continue leading the market, with ALTs struggling to keep up.

这种主导地位的转变意味着比特币可能会继续领导市场，而Alts努力跟上。

While there will be exceptions—like NEIRO on Ethereum (ETH), which surged 60% unexpectedly—most altcoins remain deeply oversold.

尽管会有例外 - 例如，在以太坊上的Neiro（ETH）出乎意料地飙升了60％，但大多数山寨币仍然深深地超越。

Red closes across both Top 10 Dominance and OTHERS.D confirm this lagging behavior. With capital rotating into Bitcoin and away from other assets, the current structure supports further BTC-led rallies, not broad-based altcoin recoveries.

红色在前十名的优势和其他方面都关闭。D确认这种滞后行为。随着资本旋转成比特币并远离其他资产，目前的结构支持了BTC领导的进一步集会，而不是基于广泛的AltCoin回收率。

There’s a reason Bitcoin is the foundation of every market update. While altcoins offer exciting short-term trades, BTC sets the tone for the entire market.

比特币是每个市场更新的基础是有原因的。尽管Altcoins提供令人兴奋的短期交易，但BTC为整个市场设定了基调。

When Bitcoin breaks out, low-cap coins usually explode in tandem. But when Bitcoin stalls or pulls back, low-caps collapse even harder.

当比特币爆发时，低型硬币通常会串联爆炸。但是，当比特币摊位或向后拉时，低帽子甚至更难崩溃。

That’s why a minimum 30% BTC allocation is not just conservative—it’s strategic. It ensures that even if Bitcoin trends down, a portion of your portfolio remains in the strongest asset.

这就是为什么最少30％的BTC分配不仅是保守的原因，而且是战略性的。它可以确保即使比特币趋势下降，您的一部分投资组合仍然是最强大的资产。

As the market pushes closer to $95,000, a pullback to $82,000 becomes a more realistic outcome. This wouldn’t be bearish, but part of a healthy market cycle before resuming a longer-term uptrend.

随着市场将接近$ 95,000的价格推高，回调至82,000美元成为更现实的结果。这不是看跌，但是在恢复长期上升趋势之前，这是健康市场周期的一部分。

If that pullback does materialize in May, expect a summer of

如果该回调确实在5月实现，请期待