比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC以動量清除鑰匙高點，但阻力迫在眉睫

比特幣飆升至88500美元以上，刺穿了以前的當地高點，並發出了新的看漲浪潮。這次突破引發了近1億美元的BTC短量清算，並且在整個更廣泛的加密貨幣市場上觸發了超過1.3億美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) continued its blazing hot rally on Wednesday, rising above $88,500 and setting a new local high. This breakout also triggered nearly $100 million in BTC short liquidations and over $130 million across the broader crypto market.

比特幣（BTC）在周三繼續舉行熱烈的集會，上升到88,500美元以上，並設定了新的當地高點。這次突破還引發了近1億美元的BTC簡報，在整個更廣泛的加密貨幣市場上觸發了超過1.3億美元。

The move also fully validated the recent bullish structure inside the daily TBO Cloud, putting Bitcoin firmly in consolidation mode with strong upward momentum.

此舉還充分驗證了每日TBO雲中最近的看漲結構，使比特幣牢固地處於鞏固模式，並以強大的向上勢頭。

Two upper resistance ray targets are now in sight, the first just above $91,000 and the second just below $93,000. The top of the TBO Cloud aligns just above $93,000.

現在有兩個高電阻射線目標，第一個射線目標僅在$ 91,000以上，而第二個則低於93,000美元。 TBO雲的頂部對齊$ 93,000。

All of this sets the stage for a final run to $94,000–$95,000 within days. That price target has been in focus for weeks now, and technicals are lining up with the long-discussed Fibonacci retracement cluster between $94,500 and $95,000. These levels represent a confluence of the 0.618 Fib retracement from the current trend and the 1.618 extension from 2024—making them a textbook zone for resistance.

所有這些都使最後一盤的舞台在幾天之內達到了94,000- $ 95,000。該價格目標已經開始關注數週了，而且技術人員正與長期討論的斐波那契回鬥集群在94,500美元至95,000美元之間排隊。這些水平代表了從當前趨勢中的0.618 FIB回撤和1.618延伸的匯合，從2024年開始將其匯合，使它們成為阻力的教科書區域。

At least one crypto trader, who has closely followed the Fibonacci structures throughout 2024, sees a "bullish count" setting up on the 3W chart, suggesting that a "strong bounce" is unfolding.

至少有一個加密貨幣交易員在2024年密切關注了斐波那契結構，他看到了3W圖表上的“看漲計數”，這表明“強烈反彈”正在展開。

If there’s one good habit to learn from crypto, it’s skepticism. When everyone agrees, the market is usually preparing to shift.

如果有一個從加密貨幣中學習的好習慣，那就是懷疑。當每個人都同意時，市場通常都準備轉移。

Right now, the mood has quickly changed from “extreme fear” to “disbelief” as Bitcoin continues to defy expectations.

目前，隨著比特幣繼續抗拒期望，心情已經迅速從“極端恐懼”變成“難以置信”。

As BTC climbs closer to $95,000, expect to see FOMO-infused sentiment return, with traders setting even wilder price targets like $250,000.

隨著BTC攀升接近95,000美元，預計會看到FOMO的情感回報，而交易員則設定了Wilder Plist Agarts，例如250,000美元。

But technical and psychological patterns suggest that a pullback is likely from that zone. If Bitcoin begins to stall, evidenced by smaller daily candles and declining momentum, then traders should prepare for a retrace to around $82,000.

但是技術和心理模式表明，該區域可能會撤退。如果比特幣開始停滯不前，每天蠟燭較小和勢頭下降，那麼交易者應準備回顧至82,000美元左右。

The market has followed similar behavior before. In late 2024, Bitcoin chopped sideways for six months, from April to October, before finally breaking out of the range.

市場之前已經遵循類似的行為。 2024年下半年，比特幣從4月至10月側面切斷了六個月，然後最終脫離了範圍。

The expectation of a repeat isn’t just based on patterns, but also seasonality. The old TradFi adage, “Sell in May and walk away,” has held true for Bitcoin in multiple past years.

重複的期望不僅基於模式，還基於季節性。舊的Tradfi格言“五月出售並走開”，在過去的幾年中一直在比特幣中實現。

In both 2021 and 2023, selling in May and pulling back later in the year spared traders from extended periods of sideways chop. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but it’s a historically strong reason to approach May with caution.

在2021年和2023年，在五月出售，並在今年晚些時候退縮，從側向倉庫的長時間延長了交易者。當然，沒有任何保證，但這是歷史上有力的理由，可能會謹慎行事。

A TBO Close Long printed on the stablecoin dominance chart, just as it did before a major downtrend in September 2024. This is a key early signal that capital is rotating out of stablecoins and into crypto assets.

TBO關閉的長期印刷在Stablecoin優勢圖上，就像2024年9月的重大趨勢之前一樣。這是一個關鍵的早期信號，即資本正在從Stablecoins旋轉並進入加密貨幣資產。

While it may take weeks for a full trend shift to play out, this signal is typically a precursor to broader market bullish activity.

雖然可能需要數週的時間才能進行全面的變化，但該信號通常是更廣泛的市場看漲活動的先驅。

Traders should remain “expectant” rather than euphoric, as this rotation will be gradual.

交易者應保持“預期”而不是欣快，因為這種輪換將是逐漸的。

Bitcoin dominance closed above its February high of 64.34% and printed a TBO Breakout, indicating strong market preference for Bitcoin over altcoins.

比特幣優勢超過了2月的64.34％，並打印了TBO突破，這表明對比特幣而不是Altcoins的市場偏愛。

Weekly RSI also pushed past its October 2024 high and now sits well above 80—an extremely bullish reading across all timeframes.

每週的RSI還推過了2024年10月的高高，現在遠高於80歲，這是所有時間範圍內的極端看漲閱讀。

This dominance shift means that Bitcoin will likely continue leading the market, with ALTs struggling to keep up.

這種主導地位的轉變意味著比特幣可能會繼續領導市場，而Alts努力跟上。

While there will be exceptions—like NEIRO on Ethereum (ETH), which surged 60% unexpectedly—most altcoins remain deeply oversold.

儘管會有例外（例如Neiro在以太坊上（ETH），它出乎意料地飆升了60％，但大多數Altcoins仍然深深地超越。

Red closes across both Top 10 Dominance and OTHERS.D confirm this lagging behavior. With capital rotating into Bitcoin and away from other assets, the current structure supports further BTC-led rallies, not broad-based altcoin recoveries.

紅色在前十名的優勢和其他方面都關閉。 D確認這種滯後行為。隨著資本旋轉成比特幣並遠離其他資產，目前的結構支持了BTC領導的進一步集會，而不是基於廣泛的AltCoin回收率。

There’s a reason Bitcoin is the foundation of every market update. While altcoins offer exciting short-term trades, BTC sets the tone for the entire market.

比特幣是每個市場更新的基礎是有原因的。儘管Altcoins提供令人興奮的短期交易，但BTC為整個市場設定了基調。

When Bitcoin breaks out, low-cap coins usually explode in tandem. But when Bitcoin stalls or pulls back, low-caps collapse even harder.

當比特幣爆發時，低型硬幣通常會串聯爆炸。但是，當比特幣攤位或向後拉時，低帽子甚至更難崩潰。

That’s why a minimum 30% BTC allocation is not just conservative—it’s strategic. It ensures that even if Bitcoin trends down, a portion of your portfolio remains in the strongest asset.

這就是為什麼最少30％的BTC分配不僅是保守的原因，而且是戰略性的。它可以確保即使比特幣趨勢下降，您的一部分投資組合仍然是最強大的資產。

As the market pushes closer to $95,000, a pullback to $82,000 becomes a more realistic outcome. This wouldn’t be bearish, but part of a healthy market cycle before resuming a longer-term uptrend.

隨著市場將接近$ 95,000的價格推高，回調至82,000美元成為更現實的結果。這不是看跌，但是在恢復長期上升趨勢之前，這是健康市場週期的一部分。

If that pullback does materialize in May, expect a summer of

如果該回調確實在5月實現，請期待