比特币（BTC）价格预测：到2025年底，亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes

这一预测是在猜测美国美联储（美联储）将再次采用定量宽松（QE）政策的原因。

Jakarta, Pintu News – The world’s oldest and most influential cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), is back in the spotlight after Arthur Hayes predicted a fantastic price surge to $250,000 or around Rp4.18 billion by the end of 2025.

Pintu新闻雅加达 - 世界上最古老，最有影响力的加密货币（BTC），在亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）预测到2025年底，亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）预测，亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）预测出色的价格上涨至25万美元或41.8亿卢比之后。

This prediction comes amid speculation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will adopt a quantitative easing (QE) policy again. This move is believed to boost fiat money supply and significantly strengthen the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s rise this time is not just about market trends, but also related to global macroeconomic policies.

这一预测是在猜测美国美联储（美联储）将再次采用定量宽松（QE）政策的原因。据信这一举动可以提高菲亚特货币供应，并大大加强加密货币市场。这次比特币的崛起不仅涉及市场趋势，而且与全球宏观经济政策有关。

Check out the full analysis below!

查看下面的完整分析！

Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin will skyrocket?

亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）认为比特币会飞涨吗？

Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer of Maelstrom, stated that the price of Bitcoin is heavily influenced by market expectations of the future supply of fiat money.

Bitmex的创始人兼Maelstrom首席投资官Arthur Hayes表示，比特币的价格受到市场对未来FIAT货币供应的市场期望的影响。

In his article on Substack dated April 1, 2025, Hayes argues that if the Fed switches from a policy of balance sheet reduction (QT) to quantitative easing (QE), Bitcoin is poised to rise sharply. According to him, Bitcoin’s local low point occurred last month at $76,500 (1.27 billion IDR), and now it’s time for the price to shoot towards $250,000.

海斯在他的替代文章中，海耶斯认为，如果美联储从资产负债表减少（QT）转换为定量宽松（QE）（QE），则比特币有望急剧上升。据他介绍，比特币的当地低点上个月的价格为76,500美元（12.7亿IDR），现在是时候售价25万美元了。

The Fed’s policy shift began on April 1, with a reduction in the number of Treasury auctions from $25 billion to $5 billion per month. Although mortgage-backed bond redemptions remain at $35 billion, excess funds from the redemptions may be reallocated to Treasuries.

美联储的政策转变始于4月1日，国库拍卖数量从250亿美元减少到每月50亿美元。尽管抵押贷款支持的债券赎回仍为350亿美元，但赎回中的超额资金可能会重新分配给国债。

Hayes calls this a disguised form of QE. If it is officially announced, he believes Bitcoin will “scream up” as global liquidity will increase dramatically.

海耶斯称其为宽松的伪装形式。如果正式宣布，他认为比特币将“尖叫”，因为全球流动性将大大增加。

Also read: 7-Eleven Korea Accepts CBDC Payments, Trial Period Starts on April 1 – June 30, 2025!

另请阅读：7-11韩国接受CBDC付款，试用期从2025年4月1日至6月30日开始！

Another Analyst: More Realistic Target at $132,000

另一位分析师：更现实的目标，$ 132,000

While Hayes is optimistic about the $250,000 target, other analysts have a more conservative view.

尽管海斯对25万美元的目标感到乐观，但其他分析师却有更保守的看法。

Jamie Coutts, a crypto analyst at Real Vision, projects that Bitcoin’s price will reach $132,000 (2.2 billion IDR) by the end of 2025, based on the growth of the global money supply (M2).

Real Vision的加密分析师Jamie Coutts预测，根据全球货币供应（M2）的增长，到2025年底，比特币的价格将达到132,000美元（22亿IDR）。

This prediction still points to a bullish trend, but is well below Hayes’ estimate. Factors such as inflationary pressures, economic growth, and geopolitics remain key determinants of crypto price direction.

该预测仍然表明了看涨的趋势，但远低于海耶斯的估计。通货膨胀压力，经济增长和地缘政治等因素仍然是加密价格方向的关键决定因素。

Data from Polymarket, the largest decentralized prediction platform, shows that only 9% of users believe Bitcoin could break $250,000 this year. In contrast, the majority, 60%, predict the price will stop at around $110,000 (1.83 billion) IDR.

来自最大的分散预测平台Polymarket的数据表明，只有9％的用户认为比特币今年可能会损失250,000美元。相比之下，大多数人（60％）预测，价格将停止约110,000美元（18.3亿）IDR。

This divergence of views highlights the high uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, which is always influenced by monetary policy dynamics and global sentiment.

这种观点的差异突出了加密货币市场的高度不确定性，该市场始终受到货币政策动态和全球情绪的影响。

Also read: XRP Price Prediction April 4, 2025: Successfully Breaks Large Pennant Pattern, Target at $3.31?

另请阅读：XRP价格预测2025年4月4日：成功打破了大型班丹特模式，目标是3.31美元？

Global Momentum and Short-Term Risks

全球势头和短期风险

Hayes also added that geopolitical tensions, including President Donald Trump’s new tariff policy, could drive crypto price spikes.

海斯还补充说，包括唐纳德·特朗普总统的新关税政策在内的地缘政治紧张局势可能会推动加密货币价格上涨。

According to Cointelegraph, with a possible “flood of dollars” from the Fed, countries like China may respond by easing their monetary policies. This would increase the global currency supply and boost demand for crypto assets like Bitcoin.

根据Cointelegraph的说法，美联储可能会“大量的美元”，像中国这样的国家可以通过放松其货币政策来做出回应。这将增加全球货币供应，并提高对比特币等加密资产的需求。

However, not all signals are positive. Nexo’s Stella Zlatareva warns that macroeconomic news still heavily influences Bitcoin’s short-term movements.

但是，并非所有信号都是正面的。 Nexo的Stella Zlatareva警告说，宏观经济新闻仍然严重影响比特币的短期运动。

He mentioned that while the long-term position remains bullish, the current momentum is still tied to uncertainties such as the tariff decision and stock market dynamics.

他提到，尽管长期位置仍然看涨，但目前的势头仍然与不确定性（例如关税决定和股票市场动态）息息相关。

That’s the latest information about crypto news today. Get more information about crypto academy from beginner to expert level only at Pintu Academy and enrich your knowledge about the world of crypto and blockchain.

这是今天有关加密新闻的最新信息。仅在Pintu Academy的初学者到专家级别，获取有关加密学院的更多信息，并丰富您对加密和区块链世​​界的了解。

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在Google News上关注我们，以获取有关加密和区块链技术的最新信息。立即通过Google Play商店或应用商店下载Pintu Crypto，享受简单安全的加密交易体验。

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仅在Pintu Pro上使用高级交易工具（例如Pro图表，各种订单类型和投资组合跟踪器）体验Web交易。如果您没有帐户，请单击注册Pintu，或者如果您已经注册，请单击登录Pintu。

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

该内容旨在丰富读者的信息。 Pintu从各种相关来源收集这些信息，并且不受外部政党的影响。请注意，资产的过去绩效并不能确定其预计的未来绩效。加密交易活动具有高风险和波动性，在投资之前始终进行自己的研究并使用冷现金。买卖比特币和其他加密资产投资的所有活动都是读者的责任。