比特幣（BTC）價格預測：到2025年底，亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes

這一預測是在猜測美國美聯儲（美聯儲）將再次採用定量寬鬆（QE）政策的原因。

Jakarta, Pintu News – The world’s oldest and most influential cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), is back in the spotlight after Arthur Hayes predicted a fantastic price surge to $250,000 or around Rp4.18 billion by the end of 2025.

Pintu新聞雅加達 - 世界上最古老，最有影響力的加密貨幣（BTC），在亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）預測到2025年底，亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）預測，亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）預測出色的價格上漲至25萬美元或41.8億盧比之後。

This prediction comes amid speculation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will adopt a quantitative easing (QE) policy again. This move is believed to boost fiat money supply and significantly strengthen the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s rise this time is not just about market trends, but also related to global macroeconomic policies.

這一預測是在猜測美國美聯儲（美聯儲）將再次採用定量寬鬆（QE）政策的原因。據信這一舉動可以提高菲亞特貨幣供應，並大大加強加密貨幣市場。這次比特幣的崛起不僅涉及市場趨勢，而且與全球宏觀經濟政策有關。

Check out the full analysis below!

查看下面的完整分析！

Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin will skyrocket?

亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）認為比特幣會飛漲嗎？

Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer of Maelstrom, stated that the price of Bitcoin is heavily influenced by market expectations of the future supply of fiat money.

Bitmex的創始人兼Maelstrom首席投資官Arthur Hayes表示，比特幣的價格受到市場對未來FIAT貨幣供應的市場期望的影響。

In his article on Substack dated April 1, 2025, Hayes argues that if the Fed switches from a policy of balance sheet reduction (QT) to quantitative easing (QE), Bitcoin is poised to rise sharply. According to him, Bitcoin’s local low point occurred last month at $76,500 (1.27 billion IDR), and now it’s time for the price to shoot towards $250,000.

海斯在他的替代文章中，海耶斯認為，如果美聯儲從資產負債表減少（QT）轉換為定量寬鬆（QE）（QE），則比特幣有望急劇上升。據他介紹，比特幣的當地低點上個月的價格為76,500美元（12.7億IDR），現在是時候售價25萬美元了。

The Fed’s policy shift began on April 1, with a reduction in the number of Treasury auctions from $25 billion to $5 billion per month. Although mortgage-backed bond redemptions remain at $35 billion, excess funds from the redemptions may be reallocated to Treasuries.

美聯儲的政策轉變始於4月1日，國庫拍賣數量從250億美元減少到每月50億美元。儘管抵押貸款支持的債券贖回仍為350億美元，但贖回中的超額資金可能會重新分配給國債。

Hayes calls this a disguised form of QE. If it is officially announced, he believes Bitcoin will “scream up” as global liquidity will increase dramatically.

海耶斯稱其為寬鬆的偽裝形式。如果正式宣布，他認為比特幣將“尖叫”，因為全球流動性將大大增加。

Also read: 7-Eleven Korea Accepts CBDC Payments, Trial Period Starts on April 1 – June 30, 2025!

另請閱讀：7-11韓國接受CBDC付款，試用期從2025年4月1日至6月30日開始！

Another Analyst: More Realistic Target at $132,000

另一位分析師：更現實的目標，$ 132,000

While Hayes is optimistic about the $250,000 target, other analysts have a more conservative view.

儘管海斯對25萬美元的目標感到樂觀，但其他分析師卻有更保守的看法。

Jamie Coutts, a crypto analyst at Real Vision, projects that Bitcoin’s price will reach $132,000 (2.2 billion IDR) by the end of 2025, based on the growth of the global money supply (M2).

Real Vision的加密分析師Jamie Coutts預測，根據全球貨幣供應（M2）的增長，到2025年底，比特幣的價格將達到132,000美元（22億IDR）。

This prediction still points to a bullish trend, but is well below Hayes’ estimate. Factors such as inflationary pressures, economic growth, and geopolitics remain key determinants of crypto price direction.

該預測仍然表明了看漲的趨勢，但遠低於海耶斯的估計。通貨膨脹壓力，經濟增長和地緣政治等因素仍然是加密價格方向的關鍵決定因素。

Data from Polymarket, the largest decentralized prediction platform, shows that only 9% of users believe Bitcoin could break $250,000 this year. In contrast, the majority, 60%, predict the price will stop at around $110,000 (1.83 billion) IDR.

來自最大的分散預測平台Polymarket的數據表明，只有9％的用戶認為比特幣今年可能會損失250,000美元。相比之下，大多數人（60％）預測，價格將停止約110,000美元（18.3億）IDR。

This divergence of views highlights the high uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, which is always influenced by monetary policy dynamics and global sentiment.

這種觀點的差異突出了加密貨幣市場的高度不確定性，該市場始終受到貨幣政策動態和全球情緒的影響。

Also read: XRP Price Prediction April 4, 2025: Successfully Breaks Large Pennant Pattern, Target at $3.31?

另請閱讀：XRP價格預測2025年4月4日：成功打破了大型班丹特模式，目標是3.31美元？

Global Momentum and Short-Term Risks

全球勢頭和短期風險

Hayes also added that geopolitical tensions, including President Donald Trump’s new tariff policy, could drive crypto price spikes.

海斯還補充說，包括唐納德·特朗普總統的新關稅政策在內的地緣政治緊張局勢可能會推動加密貨幣價格上漲。

According to Cointelegraph, with a possible “flood of dollars” from the Fed, countries like China may respond by easing their monetary policies. This would increase the global currency supply and boost demand for crypto assets like Bitcoin.

根據Cointelegraph的說法，美聯儲可能會“大量的美元”，像中國這樣的國家可以通過放鬆其貨幣政策來做出回應。這將增加全球貨幣供應，並提高對比特幣等加密資產的需求。

However, not all signals are positive. Nexo’s Stella Zlatareva warns that macroeconomic news still heavily influences Bitcoin’s short-term movements.

但是，並非所有信號都是正面的。 Nexo的Stella Zlatareva警告說，宏觀經濟新聞仍然嚴重影響比特幣的短期運動。

He mentioned that while the long-term position remains bullish, the current momentum is still tied to uncertainties such as the tariff decision and stock market dynamics.

他提到，儘管長期位置仍然看漲，但目前的勢頭仍然與不確定性（例如關稅決定和股票市場動態）息息相關。

That’s the latest information about crypto news today. Get more information about crypto academy from beginner to expert level only at Pintu Academy and enrich your knowledge about the world of crypto and blockchain.

這是今天有關加密新聞的最新信息。僅在Pintu Academy的初學者到專家級別，獲取有關加密學院的更多信息，並豐富您對加密和區塊鏈世​​界的了解。

Follow us on Google News to get the latest information about crypto and blockchain technology. Enjoy an easy and secure crypto trading experience by downloading Pintu Crypto via Google Play Store or App Store now.

在Google News上關注我們，以獲取有關加密和區塊鏈技術的最新信息。立即通過Google Play商店或應用商店下載Pintu Crypto，享受簡單安全的加密交易體驗。

Experience web trading with advanced trading tools such as pro charting, various order types, and portfolio tracker only at Pintu Pro. Click Register Pintu if you don’t have an account or click Login Pintu if you are already registered.

僅在Pintu Pro上使用高級交易工具（例如Pro圖表，各種訂單類型和投資組合跟踪器）體驗Web交易。如果您沒有帳戶，請單擊註冊Pintu，或者如果您已經註冊，請單擊登錄Pintu。

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

該內容旨在豐富讀者的信息。 Pintu從各種相關來源收集這些信息，並且不受外部政黨的影響。請注意，資產的過去績效並不能確定其預計的未來績效。加密交易活動具有高風險和波動性，在投資之前始終進行自己的研究並使用冷現金。買賣比特幣和其他加密資產投資的所有活動都是讀者的責任。