Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: Arthur Hayes Promises Fantastic Surge to $250,000 by the End of 2025

This prediction comes amid speculation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will adopt a quantitative easing (QE) policy again.

Jakarta, Pintu News – The world’s oldest and most influential cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), is back in the spotlight after Arthur Hayes predicted a fantastic price surge to $250,000 or around Rp4.18 billion by the end of 2025.

This prediction comes amid speculation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will adopt a quantitative easing (QE) policy again. This move is believed to boost fiat money supply and significantly strengthen the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s rise this time is not just about market trends, but also related to global macroeconomic policies.

Check out the full analysis below!

Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin will skyrocket?

Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer of Maelstrom, stated that the price of Bitcoin is heavily influenced by market expectations of the future supply of fiat money.

In his article on Substack dated April 1, 2025, Hayes argues that if the Fed switches from a policy of balance sheet reduction (QT) to quantitative easing (QE), Bitcoin is poised to rise sharply. According to him, Bitcoin’s local low point occurred last month at $76,500 (1.27 billion IDR), and now it’s time for the price to shoot towards $250,000.

The Fed’s policy shift began on April 1, with a reduction in the number of Treasury auctions from $25 billion to $5 billion per month. Although mortgage-backed bond redemptions remain at $35 billion, excess funds from the redemptions may be reallocated to Treasuries.

Hayes calls this a disguised form of QE. If it is officially announced, he believes Bitcoin will “scream up” as global liquidity will increase dramatically.

Also read: 7-Eleven Korea Accepts CBDC Payments, Trial Period Starts on April 1 – June 30, 2025!

Another Analyst: More Realistic Target at $132,000

While Hayes is optimistic about the $250,000 target, other analysts have a more conservative view.

Jamie Coutts, a crypto analyst at Real Vision, projects that Bitcoin’s price will reach $132,000 (2.2 billion IDR) by the end of 2025, based on the growth of the global money supply (M2).

This prediction still points to a bullish trend, but is well below Hayes’ estimate. Factors such as inflationary pressures, economic growth, and geopolitics remain key determinants of crypto price direction.

Data from Polymarket, the largest decentralized prediction platform, shows that only 9% of users believe Bitcoin could break $250,000 this year. In contrast, the majority, 60%, predict the price will stop at around $110,000 (1.83 billion) IDR.

This divergence of views highlights the high uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, which is always influenced by monetary policy dynamics and global sentiment.

Also read: XRP Price Prediction April 4, 2025: Successfully Breaks Large Pennant Pattern, Target at $3.31?

Global Momentum and Short-Term Risks

Hayes also added that geopolitical tensions, including President Donald Trump’s new tariff policy, could drive crypto price spikes.

According to Cointelegraph, with a possible “flood of dollars” from the Fed, countries like China may respond by easing their monetary policies. This would increase the global currency supply and boost demand for crypto assets like Bitcoin.

However, not all signals are positive. Nexo’s Stella Zlatareva warns that macroeconomic news still heavily influences Bitcoin’s short-term movements.

He mentioned that while the long-term position remains bullish, the current momentum is still tied to uncertainties such as the tariff decision and stock market dynamics.

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This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.