比特币（BTC）价格预测：亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）认为BTC将在重新测试$ 76,500之前达到100,000美元

该预测是因为加密市场为发布美国核心PCE通货膨胀数据做准备，这是美联储货币政策的关键参考。

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes has once again made a splash in the crypto sphere with a bold prediction: Bitcoin is set to hit $110,000 before retesting the $76,500 level.

前Bitmex首席执行官Arthur Hayes再次以大胆的预测在加密货币领域中引起了轰动：比特币将在重新测试76,500美元之前达到110,000美元。

This prediction comes as the crypto market braces for the release of US core PCE inflation data, a key reference for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Hayes believes that the Fed's policy shift from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE) will be crucial in propelling Bitcoin to new highs.

这一预测是因为加密市场发布了美国核心PCE通货膨胀数据，这是美联储货币政策的关键参考。海耶斯认为，美联储从定量收紧（QT）到定量宽松（QE）的政策转变对于将比特币推向新高点至关重要。

"I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don't matter cause 'transitory inflation'. JAYPOW told me so. I'll expound on that in my next essay, that's the TLDR for your TikTok peanut brain," Hayes stated in an X (formerly Twitter) post.

“我敢打赌，$ btc在重新测试$76.5k。y？美联储将从Qt到Qe售价11万美元。

suggest that the Fed's dovish stance on inflation, as well as signals of political relaxation, will help boost investor confidence.

建议美联储对通货膨胀的艰难立场以及政治放松的信号，将有助于提高投资者的信心。

Technical indicators have also strengthened, supported by a long-term accumulation trend from large Bitcoin holders. This suggests that the market is still in a bullish phase, although there is no catalyst to trigger a parabolic spike in the near future.

技术指标也得到了加强，并得到了大型比特币持有人的长期积累趋势的支持。这表明市场仍处于看涨阶段，尽管在不久的将来没有催化剂引发抛物线飙升。

After Reaching the Peak, BTC May Experience a Correction to $76,500

达到顶峰后，BTC可能会经历$ 76,500的更正

Bitcoin's current price (25/3/25) has risen 1.80% and is trading at IDR 1,446,027,101 ($86,932), with daily trading volume surging 128% to $34.04 billion.

比特币目前的价格（25/3/25）上涨了1.80％，交易价格为1,446,027,101（86,932美元），每日交易量增加了128％至340.4亿美元。

This sharp rise was also reflected in the derivatives market, where open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts increased by 7.79% and surpassed IDR 928 trillion ($56 billion). This surge signals investors' optimistic sentiment towards BTC's future price movements.

这种急剧上升也反映在衍生品市场中，在该市场中，对比特币期货合约的开放兴趣增加了7.79％，超过了IDR 928万亿美元（560亿美元）。这种激增表明投资者对BTC未来价格变动的乐观情绪。

However, Hayes also cautioned that after reaching the peak of IDR 1.82 billion, a correction to IDR 1,266,684,000 ($76,500) is still possible. This is considered part of the natural cycle of the crypto market, which is known for its high volatility but tremendous profit potential.

但是，海斯还警告说，达到IDR 18.2亿的高峰，对IDR 1,266,684,000（76,500美元）的更正是可能的。这被认为是加密市场自然周期的一部分，该市场以其高波动性而闻名，但利润巨大。

As such, investors are asked to remain cautious even though the short-term outlook looks promising.

因此，即使短期前景看起来很有希望，投资者也被要求保持谨慎。

suggest that the Fed's dovish stance on inflation, as well as signals of political relaxation, will help boost investor confidence.

建议美联储对通货膨胀的艰难立场以及政治放松的信号，将有助于提高投资者的信心。

Technical indicators have also strengthened, supported by a long-term accumulation trend from large Bitcoin holders. This suggests that the market is still in a bullish phase, although there is no catalyst to trigger a parabolic spike in the near future.

技术指标也得到了加强，并得到了大型比特币持有人的长期积累趋势的支持。这表明市场仍处于看涨阶段，尽管在不久的将来没有催化剂引发抛物线飙升。

After Reaching the Peak, BTC May Experience a Correction to $76,500

达到顶峰后，BTC可能会经历$ 76,500的更正

Bitcoin's current price (25/3/25) has risen 1.80% and is trading at IDR 1,446,027,101 ($86,932), with daily trading volume surging 128% to $34.04 billion.

比特币目前的价格（25/3/25）上涨了1.80％，交易价格为1,446,027,101（86,932美元），每日交易量增加了128％至340.4亿美元。

This sharp rise was also reflected in the derivatives market, where open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts increased by 7.79% and surpassed IDR 928 trillion ($56 billion). This surge signals investors' optimistic sentiment towards BTC's future price movements.

这种急剧上升也反映在衍生品市场中，在该市场中，对比特币期货合约的开放兴趣增加了7.79％，超过了IDR 928万亿美元（560亿美元）。这种激增表明投资者对BTC未来价格变动的乐观情绪。

However, Hayes also cautioned that after reaching the peak of IDR 1.82 billion, a correction to IDR 1,266,684,000 ($76,500) is still possible. This is considered part of the natural cycle of the crypto market, which is known for its high volatility but tremendous profit potential.

但是，海斯还警告说，达到IDR 18.2亿的高峰，对IDR 1,266,684,000（76,500美元）的更正是可能的。这被认为是加密市场自然周期的一部分，该市场以其高波动性而闻名，但利润巨大。

As such, investors are asked to remain cautious even though the short-term outlook looks promising.

因此，即使短期前景看起来很有希望，投资者也被要求保持谨慎。

Institutions Rush BTC: ETFs and Corporates Drive Demand

机构Rush BTC：ETF和公司推动需求

Furthermore, institutional interest in Bitcoin has been steadily increasing in recent weeks, providing additional fuel for the next potential rally.

此外，最近几周对比特币的机构兴趣一直在稳步增加，为下一个潜在的集会提供了更多的燃料。

Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US recorded six consecutive days of inflows, signaling strong demand from institutional investors. BlackRock alone absorbed more than IDR8.89 trillion ($537 million) in the period, according to data from Farside Investors.

美国的现场比特币ETF连续六天记录了流入，这表明了机构投资者的强劲需求。根据Farside Investors的数据，仅贝莱德就吸收了超过IDR 8.89万亿美元（5.37亿美元）。

On the corporate side, Japanese company Metaplanet just bought 150 BTC worth around Rp1.25 trillion ($12.6 million), bringing its total holdings to 3,350 BTC. With an average purchase price of Rp1,379,330,192 ($83,801), the company has posted a 68.3% gain over the year.

在公司方面，日本公司Metaplanet刚刚购买了150 BTC，价值约1.25万亿卢比（1,260万美元），其总持股量达到3,350 BTC。该公司的平均购买价格为Rp1,379,330,192（83,801美元），该公司的收入比一年中的收益率为68.3％。

Meanwhile, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor also hinted at more BTC purchases in the near future.

同时，Microstrategy的Michael Saylor也暗示了在不久的将来购买了更多的BTC。

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