比特幣（BTC）價格預測：亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）認為BTC將在重新測試$ 76,500之前達到100,000美元

該預測是因為加密市場為發布美國核心PCE通貨膨脹數據做準備，這是美聯儲貨幣政策的關鍵參考。

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes has once again made a splash in the crypto sphere with a bold prediction: Bitcoin is set to hit $110,000 before retesting the $76,500 level.

前Bitmex首席執行官Arthur Hayes再次以大膽的預測在加密貨幣領域中引起了轟動：比特幣將在重新測試76,500美元之前達到110,000美元。

This prediction comes as the crypto market braces for the release of US core PCE inflation data, a key reference for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Hayes believes that the Fed's policy shift from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE) will be crucial in propelling Bitcoin to new highs.

這一預測是因為加密市場發布了美國核心PCE通貨膨脹數據，這是美聯儲貨幣政策的關鍵參考。海耶斯認為，美聯儲從定量收緊（QT）到定量寬鬆（QE）的政策轉變對於將比特幣推向新高點至關重要。

"I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don't matter cause 'transitory inflation'. JAYPOW told me so. I'll expound on that in my next essay, that's the TLDR for your TikTok peanut brain," Hayes stated in an X (formerly Twitter) post.

“我敢打賭，$ btc在重新測試$76.5k。y？美聯儲將從Qt到Qe售價11萬美元。

suggest that the Fed's dovish stance on inflation, as well as signals of political relaxation, will help boost investor confidence.

建議美聯儲對通貨膨脹的艱難立場以及政治放鬆的信號，將有助於提高投資者的信心。

Technical indicators have also strengthened, supported by a long-term accumulation trend from large Bitcoin holders. This suggests that the market is still in a bullish phase, although there is no catalyst to trigger a parabolic spike in the near future.

技術指標也得到了加強，並得到了大型比特幣持有人的長期積累趨勢的支持。這表明市場仍處於看漲階段，儘管在不久的將來沒有催化劑引發拋物線飆升。

After Reaching the Peak, BTC May Experience a Correction to $76,500

達到頂峰後，BTC可能會經歷$ 76,500的更正

Bitcoin's current price (25/3/25) has risen 1.80% and is trading at IDR 1,446,027,101 ($86,932), with daily trading volume surging 128% to $34.04 billion.

比特幣目前的價格（25/3/25）上漲了1.80％，交易價格為1,446,027,101（86,932美元），每日交易量增加了128％至340.4億美元。

This sharp rise was also reflected in the derivatives market, where open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts increased by 7.79% and surpassed IDR 928 trillion ($56 billion). This surge signals investors' optimistic sentiment towards BTC's future price movements.

這種急劇上升也反映在衍生品市場中，在該市場中，對比特幣期貨合約的開放興趣增加了7.79％，超過了IDR 928萬億美元（560億美元）。這種激增表明投資者對BTC未來價格變動的樂觀情緒。

However, Hayes also cautioned that after reaching the peak of IDR 1.82 billion, a correction to IDR 1,266,684,000 ($76,500) is still possible. This is considered part of the natural cycle of the crypto market, which is known for its high volatility but tremendous profit potential.

但是，海斯還警告說，達到IDR 18.2億的高峰，對IDR 1,266,684,000（76,500美元）的更正是可能的。這被認為是加密市場自然週期的一部分，該市場以其高波動性而聞名，但利潤巨大。

As such, investors are asked to remain cautious even though the short-term outlook looks promising.

因此，即使短期前景看起來很有希望，投資者也被要求保持謹慎。

suggest that the Fed's dovish stance on inflation, as well as signals of political relaxation, will help boost investor confidence.

建議美聯儲對通貨膨脹的艱難立場以及政治放鬆的信號，將有助於提高投資者的信心。

Technical indicators have also strengthened, supported by a long-term accumulation trend from large Bitcoin holders. This suggests that the market is still in a bullish phase, although there is no catalyst to trigger a parabolic spike in the near future.

技術指標也得到了加強，並得到了大型比特幣持有人的長期積累趨勢的支持。這表明市場仍處於看漲階段，儘管在不久的將來沒有催化劑引發拋物線飆升。

After Reaching the Peak, BTC May Experience a Correction to $76,500

達到頂峰後，BTC可能會經歷$ 76,500的更正

Bitcoin's current price (25/3/25) has risen 1.80% and is trading at IDR 1,446,027,101 ($86,932), with daily trading volume surging 128% to $34.04 billion.

比特幣目前的價格（25/3/25）上漲了1.80％，交易價格為1,446,027,101（86,932美元），每日交易量增加了128％至340.4億美元。

This sharp rise was also reflected in the derivatives market, where open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts increased by 7.79% and surpassed IDR 928 trillion ($56 billion). This surge signals investors' optimistic sentiment towards BTC's future price movements.

這種急劇上升也反映在衍生品市場中，在該市場中，對比特幣期貨合約的開放興趣增加了7.79％，超過了IDR 928萬億美元（560億美元）。這種激增表明投資者對BTC未來價格變動的樂觀情緒。

However, Hayes also cautioned that after reaching the peak of IDR 1.82 billion, a correction to IDR 1,266,684,000 ($76,500) is still possible. This is considered part of the natural cycle of the crypto market, which is known for its high volatility but tremendous profit potential.

但是，海斯還警告說，達到IDR 18.2億的高峰，對IDR 1,266,684,000（76,500美元）的更正是可能的。這被認為是加密市場自然週期的一部分，該市場以其高波動性而聞名，但利潤巨大。

As such, investors are asked to remain cautious even though the short-term outlook looks promising.

因此，即使短期前景看起來很有希望，投資者也被要求保持謹慎。

Institutions Rush BTC: ETFs and Corporates Drive Demand

機構Rush BTC：ETF和公司推動需求

Furthermore, institutional interest in Bitcoin has been steadily increasing in recent weeks, providing additional fuel for the next potential rally.

此外，最近幾週對比特幣的機構興趣一直在穩步增加，為下一個潛在的集會提供了更多的燃料。

Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US recorded six consecutive days of inflows, signaling strong demand from institutional investors. BlackRock alone absorbed more than IDR8.89 trillion ($537 million) in the period, according to data from Farside Investors.

美國的現場比特幣ETF連續六天記錄了流入，這表明了機構投資者的強勁需求。根據Farside Investors的數據，僅貝萊德就吸收了超過IDR 8.89萬億美元（5.37億美元）。

On the corporate side, Japanese company Metaplanet just bought 150 BTC worth around Rp1.25 trillion ($12.6 million), bringing its total holdings to 3,350 BTC. With an average purchase price of Rp1,379,330,192 ($83,801), the company has posted a 68.3% gain over the year.

在公司方面，日本公司Metaplanet剛剛購買了150 BTC，價值約1.25萬億盧比（1,260萬美元），其總持股量達到3,350 BTC。該公司的平均購買價格為Rp1,379,330,192（83,801美元），該公司的收入比一年中的收益率為68.3％。

Meanwhile, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor also hinted at more BTC purchases in the near future.

同時，Microstrategy的Michael Saylor也暗示了在不久的將來購買了更多的BTC。

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