Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: Arthur Hayes Thinks BTC Will Hit $100,000 Before Retesting $76,500

This prediction comes as the crypto market prepares for the release of US core PCE inflation data, which is a key reference for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes has once again made a splash in the crypto sphere with a bold prediction: Bitcoin is set to hit $110,000 before retesting the $76,500 level.

This prediction comes as the crypto market braces for the release of US core PCE inflation data, a key reference for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Hayes believes that the Fed's policy shift from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE) will be crucial in propelling Bitcoin to new highs.

"I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don't matter cause 'transitory inflation'. JAYPOW told me so. I'll expound on that in my next essay, that's the TLDR for your TikTok peanut brain," Hayes stated in an X (formerly Twitter) post.

suggest that the Fed's dovish stance on inflation, as well as signals of political relaxation, will help boost investor confidence.

Technical indicators have also strengthened, supported by a long-term accumulation trend from large Bitcoin holders. This suggests that the market is still in a bullish phase, although there is no catalyst to trigger a parabolic spike in the near future.

After Reaching the Peak, BTC May Experience a Correction to $76,500

Bitcoin's current price (25/3/25) has risen 1.80% and is trading at IDR 1,446,027,101 ($86,932), with daily trading volume surging 128% to $34.04 billion.

This sharp rise was also reflected in the derivatives market, where open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts increased by 7.79% and surpassed IDR 928 trillion ($56 billion). This surge signals investors' optimistic sentiment towards BTC's future price movements.

However, Hayes also cautioned that after reaching the peak of IDR 1.82 billion, a correction to IDR 1,266,684,000 ($76,500) is still possible. This is considered part of the natural cycle of the crypto market, which is known for its high volatility but tremendous profit potential.

As such, investors are asked to remain cautious even though the short-term outlook looks promising.

suggest that the Fed's dovish stance on inflation, as well as signals of political relaxation, will help boost investor confidence.

Technical indicators have also strengthened, supported by a long-term accumulation trend from large Bitcoin holders. This suggests that the market is still in a bullish phase, although there is no catalyst to trigger a parabolic spike in the near future.

After Reaching the Peak, BTC May Experience a Correction to $76,500

Bitcoin's current price (25/3/25) has risen 1.80% and is trading at IDR 1,446,027,101 ($86,932), with daily trading volume surging 128% to $34.04 billion.

This sharp rise was also reflected in the derivatives market, where open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts increased by 7.79% and surpassed IDR 928 trillion ($56 billion). This surge signals investors' optimistic sentiment towards BTC's future price movements.

However, Hayes also cautioned that after reaching the peak of IDR 1.82 billion, a correction to IDR 1,266,684,000 ($76,500) is still possible. This is considered part of the natural cycle of the crypto market, which is known for its high volatility but tremendous profit potential.

As such, investors are asked to remain cautious even though the short-term outlook looks promising.

Institutions Rush BTC: ETFs and Corporates Drive Demand

Furthermore, institutional interest in Bitcoin has been steadily increasing in recent weeks, providing additional fuel for the next potential rally.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US recorded six consecutive days of inflows, signaling strong demand from institutional investors. BlackRock alone absorbed more than IDR8.89 trillion ($537 million) in the period, according to data from Farside Investors.

On the corporate side, Japanese company Metaplanet just bought 150 BTC worth around Rp1.25 trillion ($12.6 million), bringing its total holdings to 3,350 BTC. With an average purchase price of Rp1,379,330,192 ($83,801), the company has posted a 68.3% gain over the year.

Meanwhile, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor also hinted at more BTC purchases in the near future.

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