比特币（BTC）的价格变动仍然是高度不可预测的，在看涨和看跌趋势之间摇摆

比特币[BTC]的价格变动仍然是不可预测的，在看涨和看跌趋势之间摇摆。

Bitcoin [BTC]’s price movements have been highly unpredictable of late, swinging between bullish and bearish trends.

比特币[BTC]的价格变动在最近的趋势和看跌趋势之间摇摆不定。

As this volatility continues, Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone has issued a pessimistic outlook, warning that Bitcoin could potentially drop to $10,000.

随着这种波动的继续，彭博分析师迈克·麦格隆（Mike McGlone）发表了悲观的前景，警告说，比特币可能会降至10,000美元。

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McGlone’s warning

麦格隆的警告

Amid signs of an overheated risk market while gold continues its upward trajectory, the analyst stated that, “Gold is up about the same amount in 2025 to March 13—about 15%—that Bitcoin is down. But with Bitcoin at about $80,000, what stops those trajectories? About a 6% decline in the S&P 500 could suggest what matters.”

分析师在迹象表明风险市场过热的迹象中，而黄金持续其向上的轨迹，“黄金在2025年至3月13日的数量上涨了大约相同的数量，即15％ - 比特币正在下降。但是，由于比特币约为80,000美元，什么阻止了这些轨迹？标准普尔500指数大约下降了6％，这可能表明重要的是。”

The analyst went on to draw historical parallels, noting that BTC emerged in 2009 during the stock market’s downturn following the mortgage crisis.

分析师继续绘制历史性的相似之处，并指出，在抵押贷款危机之后，在股市下跌期间，BTC出现在2009年。

“$100,000 Bitcoin Might Lose A Zero, Favoring Gold— #Bitcoin was born about when the #stockmarket bottomed in 2009 and has been a leader of one of the greatest risk-asset rallies in history, which may suggest what matters,” McGlone added.

McGlone补充说：“ 100,000美元的比特币可能会失去零，偏爱黄金 - #bitcoin诞生于#stockmarket于2009年触底时，并且是历史上最伟大的风险资产集会之一的领导者，这可能暗示了重要的事情。”

Community reacts

社区反应

Replying to this prediction, Dave Weisberger took to X to enumerate a hypothetical worst-case scenario in which Bitcoin adoption stalls, gold narrative investors exit, the stock market collapses, and BTC’s beta remains stable—suggesting that under such extreme conditions, Bitcoin’s price could decline.

在回答这一预测时，戴夫·韦斯伯格（Dave Weisberger）列举了一种假设的最坏情况，在这种情况下，比特币采用摊位，黄金叙事投资者退出，股票市场崩溃和BTC的Beta beta仍然稳定 - 在这种极端情况下，比特币的价格可能会下降。

However, he immediately dismissed these possibilities and stated, “Needless to say, I think NONE of the above will happen with A CHANCE the stock market crashes, which, of course, would trigger a flood of liquidity…”

但是，他立即驳回了这些可能性，并说：“不用说，以上都不会发生以上股市崩溃，这当然会触发大量的流动性……”

Further sharing his optimism on Bitcoin, investor and entrepreneur Ben Marzinella highlighted the possibility of "losing a zero" from Bitcoin's price in a year's time.

进一步分享了他对比特币，投资者和企业家本·马尔皮内拉（Ben Marzinella）的乐观态度，强调了一年内比特币价格“失去零”的可能性。

Source: Ben Marzinella/X

资料来源：Ben Marzinella/X

However, if this major crash unfolds, the impact could be far more severe than anticipated, as highlighted by Bitcoin maximalist Joe Buchner, who stated, “If BTC dropped to 10k I think we’d be in a larger global issue than worrying about that. WWIII maybe would be in play and even then I think BTC would get flooded with $ for safety.”

但是，如果发生这种重大崩溃，那么比特币最大主义者乔·布赫纳（Joe Buchner）强调的那样，这种影响可能比预期的要严重得多。第二次世界大战也许会在发挥作用，即使那样，我认为BTC会为安全而被淹没。”

Bitcoin’s current market trend

比特币的当前市场趋势

Yet, despite the prevailing market concerns and bearish predictions, Bitcoin continues to show resilience as it trades at $84,288.24 and has increased by 0.46% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap.

然而，尽管CoinMarketCap称，尽管市场上有广泛的市场关注和看跌预测，但比特币的交易价格仍在84,288.24美元，并且在过去24小时内增长了0.46％。

As BTC navigates this turbulent phase, technical indicators provide valuable insights. Notably, the MACD and RSI suggest that BTC remains in a bullish phase, which could be related to the recent price action and hints at potential upward momentum.

当BTC导航这一动荡阶段时，技术指标提供了宝贵的见解。值得注意的是，MACD和RSI表明BTC仍处于看涨阶段，这可能与最近的价格行动有关，并暗示了潜在的向上势头。

Source: TradingView

资料来源：TradingView

Therefore, while skepticism and bearish narratives persist, market dynamics indicate that Bitcoin’s trajectory is still unfolding, leaving investors watching closely for the next big move.

因此，尽管怀疑和看跌叙事持续存在，但市场动态表明，比特币的轨迹仍在发展，使投资者密切关注下一个大举动。